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Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.
Message analysis:
周一周二,10年期美国国债收益率连续走强,再次涨至1.7%附近,美国国债收益率的上涨压制了gold的反弹。周二亚盘,黄金下探1728后迅速回升,最高触及1736附近再次大幅下滑,最低跌至1725附近。截至发稿,黄金报价在1727.15dollar/ounce.
美国国债收益率重返1.7%, CPI全场瞩目,黄金1730支撑不再摇摇欲坠!
昨日周一,受益于经济成长加速和通胀上升的预期,美国国债收益率出现温和反弹,基准的10年期美国国债收益率上涨至1.673%,对黄金构成了较大的下行压力。
今日周二,美国财政部将新发行的三年期和10年期国债,预计国债收益率今日还将有较大波动。
美国国债收益率重返1.7%!CPI全场瞩目,黄金摇摇欲坠
在美债收益率回升至1.7%附近后,市场正持续等待美国本周关键数据的发布,包括周二消费者物价指数,还有周四的零售数据。
其中,今晚22:30The United States will announce3monthCPIdata,。权威媒体调查显示,美国3Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual expected growth2.5%,升幅高于上月的1.7%。 U.S.A3Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPI年率料上升1.5%,升幅也高于上月的1.3%。
数天前公布的美国生产者物价指数(PPI)数据意外强劲,美国3monthPPI月率上涨1%,年率升幅达到4.2%, for2011year9月以来的最高水平。毫无疑问,这增加了此次CPI的上行风险。
周一,纽约联储最新的消费者预期调查显示,一年期通胀预期中值升至3.2%,为近七年来最高水平。
强于预期的CPI数据预计会继续提振美债收益率,并威胁到黄金作为通货膨胀对冲工具的吸引力,因为它们增加了持有黄金的机会成本,再次打压黄金。
日内黄金走势分析:
黄金早盘先涨后跌,萧亦坤早盘策略已经非常明确,反弹1736附近直接空,线下1735果断干空,如期下跌1728一线!制定交易计划就要严格执行,顺势而为方能立于不败之地!欧盘黄金反弹还是继续空!
黄金当前还是空头下跌走势,昨日反弹遇阻1745后回落,今日反弹1736一线再次回落,一旦破位凌晨1727低点,将会继续下行,大概率跌至1720位置!跌势依旧,欧盘反弹继续空!依托1736压力还是继续空!
黄金弱势下跌,而且反弹幅度有限,温水煮青蛙,跌幅只会逐步加深!反弹先顺势干空,策略不变,1736附近空!
欧盘操作思路
Gold1736Empty, stop loss1743, Objective1727-1720;
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本文由萧亦坤供稿(XFL118866),本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对crude oil、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究,技术总监萧亦坤在线解一套,亏损回本,一对一实时指导)由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。
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