Tan Xinsheng:4.12黄金走势面临拐点 操作上区间震荡对待

goldInformation analysis:

上周五现货黄金险失守1730关口，最终小幅回升并收于1740上方，周一亚盘开盘现货黄金在1740关口附近徘徊。上周五晚，美国总统拜登寻求将2022Fiscal Year Budget Increase8.4%, to1.52Trillion US dollars. Sources have revealed that Biden will hold a meeting with lawmakers on infrastructure and employment plans this Monday. Another total amount is expected to be1A long-term social expenditure plan of around trillions of dollars will also be released. Biden's financial plan is affecting the nerves of global markets, and the calm of the bond market is about to be disrupted.

The Fed's firm stance of maintaining loose policies has temporarily overshadowed inflation concerns.2021The reflation trade that dominated the bond market at the beginning of the year has eased somewhat, and the inflation expectations measurement indicators previously driven by the Federal Reserve's ultra loose policy and huge fiscal stimulus have stagnated at high levels and have not yet received sustained support from actual data. The same applies to the yield curve, as US bond yields have fallen from their recent peak.

Looking ahead to this week, Federal Reserve officials will be speaking out intensively, Powell will make two appearances, while the United StatesCPIAnd retail sales data have received much attention.

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Gold market analysis:

周线上，周线收带长上影线小阳线，目前5Zhou and10周均线向下走平，MACD向下运行开始走平，KDJ向上运行，指标无明显方向。黄金周线上周反弹冲击10周均线附近压力有所回落，但回调不大，仍然保持在1730关口上方，整体看周线继续震荡蓄势，空间逐步缩小，应该距离突破走出方向不远了。上方就是重点关注1760关口的突破与否，若成功，到时候就真是中期上涨行情了，时间上也要持续几个月，在没有向上突破之前还是有可能重新下跌探底1720and1700关口及下方支撑，周线若跌破站稳1676也是会打开下方空间，起码要跌至1650-1600附近，突破前还可以在1676-1760Sell high and buy low in the interval.

日线上，黄金日线收带下影线阴线，目前5Japan and Japan10日均线仍向上运行，MACDRun up,KDJ向下拐头有粘合迹象，指标看涨的同时会伴随一定的回落。黄金日线上周一度突破1755创出新高至1758上方，但周五没有延续上涨而受阻于1757出现回落震荡，不过并没有跳水暴跌，还是处于高位震荡中，这样看整体还是震荡偏多一些，除非本周日线能跌破1720-1730支撑，若如此，那么将重新下跌探底考验1700附近及下方支撑，若企稳再1720-1730支撑上方就会继续震荡蓄势，之后大概率向上突破。目前暂时不能确定到底是形成双底还是双顶，需等待1760-1676区间走出方向才能出结果。本周关注1760-1676大区间和1720-1760小区间，都可以在突破前尝试高抛低吸，确认突破后顺势跟进。

综上所述，本周谭鑫晟还是会先以区间震荡对待，等确认出方向之后操作上再做进一步的跟随。今日操作上黄金上方先关注上周五美盘反弹的高点1746-1748区域能否形成压制，其次是1751-1753Area and1757-1760区域的高点；下方先关注1736-1733Region, followed by1731-1730Area and1724-1721区域。操作上反弹高位受阻空，回落支撑位有效做多。

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1Gold rebound1746-1748If there is effective obstruction near the area, empty orders will be placed to stop losses1753Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1741-1740Near the area, take a look down1735-1730Nearby the area, held in a broken position

2Gold falling back1736-1733If the support near the area is effective, lay out multiple orders and stop losses1730Next, let's take a look at the target first1740-1741Near the area, please take a look up1746-1748Nearby the area, held in a broken position

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作为一个合格的投资者需要谨记，大部分时间应该以观望为主，耐心等待最佳的时机，需要避免频繁进场，操作上不要试图抓获所有波幅，也不要奢望对每一段行情都判断正确，应该少而精！相识是缘，相知则是份。谭鑫晟坚信有缘千里终相识，无份擦肩乃天命。投资的路途很漫长，一时的得失只是途中的冰山一角。要知道智者千虑必有一失，愚者千虑必有一得。当你的能力还驾驭不了你的目标时，那就应该沉下来历练，只有通过学习、交易、总结，你才会明白，其实自己真的不是不被市场接纳，只是以前不愿意改变而已。目前本团队福利限时发放，加入本团队实盘指导，即可享受免费的行情分析以及实盘交流现货投资学习 Opportunity, welcome to come for consultation and exchange, to review the current price list, accuracy!