Tan Xinsheng:4.12黄金今日走势分析操作建议

goldInformation analysis:

美元指数上周上涨似乎遭遇到强大的阻力，上周一便失守93关口，周四晚更是险些失守92关口，为今年以来表现最差的一周。美债收益率走势与美元相似，上周自1.75%震荡下滑，最低至1.61%。加之美联储会议纪要披露货币政策仍将继续维持一段时间，这些因素共同提振了金价的上涨。不过，鉴于美国经济数据的强劲以及美股不断创新高，黄金上涨之路并非一帆风顺。

上周五美国PPI数据的受到美国劳工统计局官网的崩溃而推迟发布，等待过程引发市场焦虑情绪，黄金和美债都遭到抛售，反而是美元指数短线拉升，但很快自高点回落。而投资者们都纷纷关注，美债和美元复苏企稳真能在本周延续吗？

值得一提的是，上周五晚拜登公布了庞大支出计划的又一壮举——将2022Fiscal Year Budget Increase8.4%, to1.52万亿美元。另一项总额料为1A long-term social expenditure plan of around trillions of dollars will also be released. Biden's financial plan is affecting the nerves of global markets, and the calm of the bond market is about to be disrupted.

Looking ahead to this week, Federal Reserve officials will be speaking out intensively, Powell will make two appearances, while the United StatesCPIAnd retail sales data have received much attention.

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Gold market analysis:

现货黄金上周开盘最低回落1721后逐步震荡向上反弹接连突破1730，1740and1750关口，特别是周二和周四都出现了一波反弹拉涨，周三震荡盘整，其中周四涨幅高达25USD to1758附近一度逼近1760关口，遗憾周五未能延续周四的升势在区间顶部承压回撤，美盘前现货黄金还出现一波短暂的恐慌性抛售跌致使金价跌至1731险些失守1730关口，不过好在未破而企稳反弹至1746附近，此后一直处于1746-1741区间震荡盘整，上周五现货黄金收盘于1743附近。周线收带上影线阳线结束两连跌。日线收带下影线阴线。

上周黄金冲高受阻回落陷入震荡，目前暂时不能确定到底是形成双底还是双顶，需等待1760-1676区间走出方向才能出结果！谭鑫晟综合分析各级别走势以及指标后，本周黄金走势行情需要关注以下几点：

1、本周金价若是1760关口破位后市将进一步测试1764-1765(50Daily moving average)，如明显突破将为金价进一步上涨奠定基础，后市将去测试1676-1959section38.2%Retreat position1784-1785区域近，最终将致力于收复1800美元整数关口。反之，后市金价一旦在1760关口以及上方阻力位出现受阻，那么黄金后市依然有再次下跌的风险！

2、若金价回落至1740关口下方，金价将再次测试1731-1730Region（4month7Rihe4month9日共同低点区域），如金价失守1730Pass, then4month5Daily low point1721and1720关口大概率会受到考验。跌破该区域位置可能会消除积极前景并引发一些技术性卖盘。空头之后将挑战1706-1705区域（进入4月份起涨）以及1700关口并拖累金价重新指向双底支撑1677-1676区域附近。

综上所述，那么在本周谭鑫晟还是会先以大区间震荡对待，等确认出方向之后操作上再做进一步的跟随。即，黄金上方先关注上周五美盘反弹的高点1746-1748区域能否形成压制，其次是1751-1753Area and1757-1760区域的高点；下方先关注1741-1740Region, followed by1731-1730Area and1727-1725-1721；上周五金价收盘在1743附近，属于不上不下的尴尬点位，本周一谭鑫晟在操作上做出以1740关口为基准的一个布局，进可攻，退可守！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

周一操作上谭鑫晟认为先不要急于进场，我会以1740关口为基准进行布局，周一开盘后1740关口支撑有效则先看涨一波，反弹上方高位受阻后在进行空单布局；若开盘后回落破位1740关口则空一波，等回落企稳后在进行多单布局。

Full day real-time online guidance WeChat:SCLC415】This article was written and released by Tan Xinsheng. Please indicate the source for reprinting. Because of the delay of network push and the timeliness of sending documents, the above content belongs to personal analysis. Real time market risk control needs to be flexible to deal with, and eliminate the risk of carrying orders. The content is only for reference. Investors should bear their own operational risk accordingly!

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