李钜鑫：现货黄金反复回踩后企稳 下周黄金向上突破的可...

I don't know if this post will exist in the market, or how long it will last. It's not important. The important thing is that it can bring hope to you who are losing money and find the right direction for you who are lost. Regardless of the duration of its existence, I only hope that friends who need help can see this paragraph. Only by being able to help you can it have meaning, otherwise it will be just a useless post!As the saying goes, 'Ten years to sharpen a sword',I have witnessed too many things from nothing to existence, from existence to nothingness. This is a harvest season. In addition to reaping profits, you can also reap a lot on the investment market,For example, friends, mentality, or me, I don't expect these few thousand words to dispel all your concerns. After all, practice is the only criterion for testing truth. What you and I need is just an opportunity. No matter how much you lose or what point set, I will only accompany you to the trading stop and provide the most suitable advice for you. I will try my best to give reasonable advice in a steady manner. Meeting fate is fate, missing fate is fate, and fate is fate in your hands. If you want to find me, you can single track Li Juxin; Sincerely wish you can find a more suitable one and make money!，(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　基本面解读

　　我们还没有走出困境，仍然在关注疫情。美联储将不得不在危机后调整策略。美联储现在面临的问题是如何保持平衡，如何避免先发制人或过于被动。 在我们完全摆脱疫情之前，不会抢先讨论缩减量化宽松的问题。未来几个月的一些通胀上升将是暂时的，但也有一些可能不是。股市市值与GDP之比处于历史高位水平，信贷息差趋紧，房地产市场也处于高位。担心过度冒险的潜在风险积累。美元走势体现出人们对美国经济的看法。拜登的基建计划有望推高生产效率。在购买美国国债方面，美联储不缺乏购买力。如果10年期美债收益率上涨，我不会感到惊讶。

United States3monthPPIAnnual rate recorded4.2%, creating2011年以来新高，超过预期，这表明潜在的通货膨胀压力继续在整个经济中建立。汽油柴油、居民用电、化工、炼钢产品、禽肉加工等指标均走高。不过，有分析师指出，从本月开始，数据将开始下降。因为一年前疫情暴发，去年基数较低，令3月数据同比增幅可能较大，美联储可能认为跳升是暂时的。

　　美国总统拜登发布2021year1月份入主白宫以来的首份预算提案，寻求2022财年预算提高8.4%, to1.52万亿美元。拜登寻求国会山批准2022财年向防务拨款7530亿美元，并为非国防类预算建议7690亿美元的开支。希望为电动汽车和充电站拨款6亿美元，建议针对气候变化问题实施超过140亿美元投资。希望阻止向前总统特朗普的边境墙提供建设资金，并取消与之相关的现有资金安排。拜登要求向美国疾控中心(CDC)和资金紧张的学校追加资金支持。

　　美国将很快达到其通胀目标，我们离此还很远。欧洲经济复苏延缓但并未脱轨。复苏将在2021年下半年加快步伐，经济将取得长足发展。如若需要延长或扩大紧急抗疫购债计划(PEPP)，那么我们会这么做

　　投资者在考虑供应增加以及新冠疫情大流行对燃料需求的影响。由于石油输出国组织及其包括俄罗斯在内的盟国(OPEC+)决定在5Month to7月间逐步增加20010000 barrels/天的石油供应，本周美布两油可能录得2%-3%的跌幅。考虑到投资者权衡这些因素，油价预计将在60dollar-70美元区间交易。

　　由于石油输出国组织及其包括俄罗斯在内的盟国(OPEC+)决定在5Month to7月间逐步增加20010000 barrels/天的石油供应，本周美布两油可能录得2%-3%的跌幅。与此同时，投资者继续评估供需动态，主要经济体新出台的新冠病毒限制措施再次引发了人们对全球能源需求复苏不稳定的担忧。

Technical analysis

　　XAUUSD~gold~1Hour level

　　

　　黄金，昨天的走势持续回调，日线级别收出带长下影的阴线，整体上属于止涨看空的信号，下影线暗示着下方支撑有效。再从1小时级别来看，走势虽然下跌，但没有创出新低，且MACD指标出现金叉，多头量能柱开始出现。综合这些信息得出结论，下周一走势开盘后会有调整震荡，需要关注趋势线附近的价格反应，预期调整到位后还会有上涨的空间。因此，下周一的日内交易思路首先考虑逢低做多，不要盲目追多，耐心等待价格回调至下方趋势线的支撑区间布局多单，目标看上方压力区间位置。

　　XAUUSDTrading strategy(Go long)

　　进场点：1730Nearby, stop loss point:1720，止盈点：1750~1770

　　XAGUSD~silver~1Hour level

　　

　　白银，昨天的走势也是持续回调，日线级别收出带长下影的阴线，整体上属于止涨看空的正锤信号，下影线暗示着下方支撑有效。再从1小时级别来看，走势虽然下跌，但没有创出新低，且MACD指标出现金叉，多头量能柱开始出现。综合这些信息得出结论，下周一走势开盘后会有调整震荡，需要关注趋势线附近的价格反应，预期调整到位后还会有上涨的空间。因此，下周一的日内交易思路首先考虑逢低做多，不要盲目追多，耐心等待价格回调至下方趋势线的支撑区间布局多单，目标看上方压力区间位置。

　　XAGUSDTrading strategy(Go long)

　　进场点：24.8Nearby, stop loss point:23.7Stop point:26.3~27.2

　　USOIL~crude oil~1Hour level

　　

　　原油，昨天的走势依然是窄幅震荡，日线级别收出小阴线，整体上属于成交量萎缩的看空信号，属于调整浪的一部分。再从1小时级别来看，走势横向运动，没有创出新低也没有创出新高，MACDIndicator in0轴附近盘旋，多空量能柱交替出现。综合这些信息得出结论，下周一走势开盘后依然会有调整震荡，需要关注趋上方压力位置的价格反应，预期调整到位后还会下跌。因此，下周一的日内交易思路首先考虑逢高做空，不要盲目追空，耐心等待价格反弹至上方压力线区间布局空单，目标看下方支撑区间位置。

　　USOILTrading strategy(Short selling)

　　进场点：60.0Nearby, stop loss point:61.5Stop point:57.5~55.0

　　(声明：以上分析仅代表笔者个人观点，不构成具体操作，据此操作，盈亏自负，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。)

　　以下是我的群内现价喊单。平时我都有实时布局现价喊单供大家跟上，我这个人比较直白，看准的行情我都不会保留，只要看准的单子我都会通过群内现价喊单给大家进场！！大家主要还是以本人私下实时布局为主，我都会没有保留的指导！！！因为大的行情需要及时把握，如果没有把握到就可能做成损单！相信这个大家都有体会！！！郑重承诺添加到我的朋友，想让我喊单的说一声就行，也可以告诉你正确的做单手法和心态，锁单的各种解法。这个是让你扭亏为盈的关键！

　　

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This article is provided by Li Juxin. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Juxin explains a set online, pays back losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:（GOLD68668）Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.