◣ Tang Jinzhao:4.11黄金原油下周最新涨跌预测分析及操作建议◥

Article Summary:goldcrude oilTechnical analysis. How to stir fry gold and crude oil for beginners. What to do with losses on investment in gold and crude oil?Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil.Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil.Gold crude oil strategy.How to analyze the market for investing in international gold, paper, and silver? What do you think of today's bullish gold, oily paper, and bullish silver? How to recover losses from investing in spot gold? How to operate the gold paper and silver short line? What are the current gold resistance and support levels? How should beginners make orders when investing in gold, paper, and silver? Will London gold prices continue to rise today? Will paper and silver still fall? What recent news will affect the trend of gold paper and silver? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold? Analysis of today's market trend and operational suggestions for gold, oil paper, and silver. Will spot gold continue to rise today? Will Meiyuan Oil Paper Silver Still Fall? How to operate international gold paper and silver today?

Core values of trading: Long short trading is not right or wrong, but only makes corresponding strategies at the appropriate time. Many people find that setting a stop loss will always be lost because they have not grasped the correct position. Courage is to control fear, not to have no fear in the heart. Everything can be lost, hope cannot be lost, everything can be lost, confidence cannot be lost. How to grasp the trend in this market is to follow the trend. When the trend comes, intangible forces are pushing you forward, in goldforeign exchangeIt is still important for the market to make profits. What is the secret to profitability? The answer is very simple, and the simplest is also something that people overlook. The most precious things are also free, just like the air we breathe and the sunlight shining on us. What is the secret to making money? It's actually very simple. Throw aside all the news and fundamentals, return to rationality, analyze independently, and follow the trend. In terms of investment, there are operational issues that can be added to the author's communication. Attitude determines everything, and details determine success or failure. The article can only provide a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point timing, please follow Tang Jinzhao's guidance WeChat:（TJZ0168）Will be provided in real-time.

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

　　黄金消息面：周五（4month9日）现货黄金窄幅震荡。金价近期触底强势反弹突破1744一线阻力，日内或延续涨势，建议投资者逢低做多，并关注1764一线阻力。周四（4month8日）金价大涨1.04%，因美元和美债收益率均下跌，且美联储重申其鸽派政策立场也提升了黄金吸引力。另外，初请失业金数据不佳也提振了金价。不过，股市再创新高以及美国经济复苏的预期不断上涨等因素限制了金价的走势，黄金ETFPosition holding3月大幅减持也令市场担忧。短线金价可能继续上涨，中长线走势不容乐观。衡量美股波动风险的VIX恐慌指数周四最低跌至16.55，创逾一年新低，显示市场避险情绪寥寥，这在一定程度上限制了金价的涨幅。分析师认为，较快的原材料价格上涨最终将传导至消费领域，推升物价上涨。目前市场预期3monthCPI数据也将大幅提高，这将为市场对通胀上涨的预期提供数据支撑。一般情况下，通胀预期的上涨，会给金价提供支撑，因为投资者会买入黄金保值增值。当然，美元指数也可能会受到数据的支撑，在短线可能会限制金价的上涨空间，需要予以留意。

　　黄金技术面：从周线级别金价沿下降通道从高位下滑，不过受阻于2019year5月以来的上行趋势线反弹，本周录涨逾1%并逼近50%Retreat position1763。若能强势涨破1763一线，下周有望测试下降通道上轨，若受阻于1763一线，则下周可能承压下跌。日线级别短线来看，金价周四强势涨破23.6%Retreat position1744一线，暗示市场目前看涨情绪高涨，日内或延续涨势。中长线看，在突破下跌通道前都不能被认为是多头的强势回归。目前尽管W底反弹行情相当清晰，但仍需观察进一步的走势情况。唐金召认为上行方面，3month18Daily high1755将是一个小阻力，进一步将看向11month30Daily low1764一线阻力。短线掉头下破1743概率较大，不过也可能回踩此一水平再继续上涨。后市若跌破1743一线，则下看重要阻力位1720, and1700附近的阻力则是再下一个重要关口。综合来看，短线操作思路上唐金召个人建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1760-1765Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加唐金召一对一指导交流【官微:TJZ0168】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

　　原油消息面：美原油本周下跌3.1%to59.34dollar/桶，继上周小涨后，本周恢复跌势。全球疫情的再度重燃，给油市需求复苏前景蒙上了阴影，导致本周油价再度下滑。另外，对阿斯利康疫苗的疑虑、伊朗原油可能被解封以及OPEC+5月起恢复增产的担忧也一直存在。不过，美国经济在今年料将大幅提升，美联储维持宽松货币政策也有助于油市信心的恢复。与此同时，全球石油供应不断增加。交易员称，俄罗斯4月初的产量较3月的平均水平有所上升。而随着美国和其他大国就重启伊朗核协议进行谈判，伊朗受到的部分制裁可能被解除，这将增加全球石油供应。随着美国和其他大国就重启伊朗核协议进行谈判，伊朗受到的部分制裁可能被解除，这将增加全球石油供应。仍需要注意的是，当前OPECAnd nonOPEC剩余产能充沛，需求复苏的同时也需要关注供应增长以及库存水平，尤其是OPEC的限产政策，如果产生短期供需错配，意味着油价中期有上涨空间。

　　原油技术面：原油昨日拉锯震荡收平，日图十字K线收盘，最高反弹60.0Lowest to58.11.But the closing still closed at59.50附近，整体还是维持在区间内拉锯，并未实质性破位，而是宽幅拉锯走过山车。日线双十字收平，短期还将继续维持这种震荡拉锯走法，操作上也是超短线应对。有空间及时落袋不贪恋。不然拉锯中不出单又会被拍回原位。宽幅区间在62.30-57.30等待选择方向。日内短线的收敛区间关注61.20-58.11。4小时维持在此前的区间内运行，布林道也开始收口，目前的拉锯是为了日线和周线选择方向当中，由于此前连续的十字K线，趋势上进入钝化，多空胶着阶段，在趋势明朗之前，会伴随这种宽幅的洗盘震荡，可能暂时还不会形成有效的突破，短线暂且维持区间操作。综合来看，下周短线操作思路上唐金召建议以反弹做空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注61.8-62.3Resistance, short-term focus below57.8-58.3Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and closing opportunities, Tang Jin will provide real-time information. Welcome to follow! Add WeChat:TJZ0168Consult Tang Jinzhao for real-time guidance tips.

　　做投资需要对走势进行分析和判断，看错了走势就别说了，但经常是你判断对行情却没赚到钱，这是为什么，其中最关键的因素就是行情走势的振荡，你分析行情的时候是静态的分析，是没有任何杂念的分析，笔者总结了投资者在市场中常犯的几大错误。

　　一，喜欢抄底：尤其是处于历史低位的价格。看到自己的成本比别人都低，心里简直是乐开了花。却没有想到，一个价格既然已创出了历史新低，那么很可能还会有很多新低出现，甚至用不了几个月你的帐户资金就被腰斩了。抄底抄底，最后抄死自己。

　　二，不愿止损：这个问题相关的文章很多，有的散户见一次止损后没几天金价又涨了回来，下次就抱有侥幸心理不再止损，这是不行的。就我而言，决不容许出现超过10%的亏损。“截断亏损，让利润奔跑”，确是至理名言啊。但话又说回来，如果你没有自己的赢利模式，你的结局也就是买入，止损，再买入再止损。

　　三，不敢追高：许多散户都有恐高症，认为金价已经涨上去了，再去追涨被套住了怎么办?其实金价的涨跌与价位的高低并没有必然的联系，关键在于 “势”，在上涨趋势形成后介入安全性是很高的，而且短期内获利很大，核心问题在于如何判断上升趋势是否已经形成，这在不同的市场环境中有不同的标准，比如在大牛市2011年之前，早上起来眼睛睁开买多就晚上数钱数到手抽筋，而在弱市中如2013year4month15日，这往往是多头陷阱。对趋势的判断能力是衡量炒手水平的重要标准之一。

　　四，自我怀疑不信任：很多朋友分析昨天行情头头是道，判断今天走势模棱两可，制定好的策略不去执行，前怕狼后怕虎。笔者唐金召常讲：一个没有目标的人是可悲的，但一个没有执行力的人是可笑的。没有目标的人将在这个市场为别人实现目标，没有计划的人终将有一天被别人计划。

　　五，交易没有节奏感：对主力的操盘方法没有一个系统的认识，炒金就像盲人摸象，毫无章法，运气好时也能赢两把，运气不好了就一败涂地。所以散户总是唱“为什么受伤的总是我”的那个人，但可怜之人必有可恨之处。

　　六，追涨杀跌成通病： 在交易中不愿放过每一个机会，看见大盘涨了一点就急忙杀入，根本不清楚自己能有几成胜算，结果一下又被套住了，其实这是由于水平低下，缺乏自信所致，如果你能有几套适用于不同环境市场的赢利模式，那么不管金价涨、跌还是盘整，你都有稳健的获利办法，你就能从容不迫的等待趋势明朗时再介入，把风险降到最低。

　　七，不懂势难乘势： 不能区分牛市和熊市的操作方法，散户们总是抱有多头思维，总是想着第二天要涨或跌，昨天日线收阳就想着阳，反之想着跌，可谓是市场虐他千百遍，他却待市场如初恋。我们要做的就是像猎豹一样，时机不成熟 决不动手，一旦出手，至少要有七成以上的胜算。好的猎手一定是能耐得住寂寞的。

The simplest way for a person to truly survive in a market is to find their own fatal mistakes and correct them. For someone who doesn't know how to self discover and review, elimination is only a matter of time. This market will never eliminate people with learning ability, but those with education may not be able to survive. The "leftover" are the king, and trading is a reflection of human nature, far away from the environment and people that cause you to lose money, People are always products of the environment, and whether you collaborate with a professional team or a "gang" is worth re examining.

This article is written by Tang Jinzhao（VX：TJZ0168）Original submission, I interpret world economic news and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!