Wang Decheng:4.8methanolPTA原油棉花期货后市行情分析和操作建议

    做交易最重要的2Point: Firstly, it is necessary to understand the analysis of a market trend; The second is to understand risk control, and as an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts; Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!

     好了，言归正传。现在开始分析甲醇、PTA、crude oil、棉花主力futures的后市行情走势。

   甲醇主力合约：

    今日甲醇小区间整理几十点收盘2468小阳线一带，2-6Expected maintenance projects for methanol in the month involve production capacity of up to2000Ten thousand tons, of which the specific maintenance time of some projects in this volume still needs further follow-up. From the perspective of distribution time, maintenance projects are mostly concentrated in3Mid to late4month;2Month5Month and6There is not much involvement for the time being. Affected by the dual control of energy consumption in Inner Mongolia, some methanol enterprises in the Ordos region have reduced their production burden10-20%For example, Rongxin, New Austria, and Northwest Energy have all reduced their burden. Planned maintenance for the first half of next week in the second phase of the New Olympics; Rongxin3Mid month planned rotation inspection; Northwest Energy4There is a maintenance plan for the month. Weekly destocking of port inventory. by2021year3month4On the day, the total social inventory of methanol at ports in East and South China is62.9210000 tons, down from last week6.92Ten thousand tons. The arrival volume of East China ships at the port is lower than expected, and some warehouse areas have transshipment of goods, so the overall inventory has mainly decreased.

   On short-term operation, methanol2105合约，目前甲醇逐渐整理上涨走强行情形态，笔者王德诚建议甲醇回调2426and2400Support multiple orders entering in batches above.

   PTA主力合约：

     PTA逐渐整理上涨60Multiple point reporting4660小阳线一带行情，上游原料：12Japan AsiaPXMarket closing price859.33dollar/tonCFRChina and841.33beautiful/tonFOBSouth Korea, up from the previous working day14dollar/Tons. yesterdayMXThe price is771dollar/tonCFRTaiwan, Rising7dollar/Tons; Naphtha price622dollar/tonCFRJapan, Rising6.25dollar/Tons. Spot price:PTASpot Market East China Region Quotation4400Previous transaction-105仓单库存：郑商所PTA注册仓单为367913，较上一个交易日-4470张，有效预报为3962张。

    短线操作上，PTA2109CurrentlyPTA蓄势发力走强行情走势，笔者建议PTACallback4522and4508支撑上方分批进场多单策略。

   原油主力合约：

    今日原油盘整波动洗盘10Report at around o'clock386小阴线一带，在大规模财政措施、持续宽松的货币政策以及经济重新开放的刺激下，2021The economic growth rate of the United States may reach6.5%； It is expected that the economic growth rate of the United States will be2022Annual decrease3.5%And in the2023reach2024Gradually decreasing in the year2%。全球最大对冲基金桥水的联席首席投资官Greg表示，全球经济即将迎来新一轮通胀浪潮，或迫使美联储较原计划提前采取加息行动。全球经济复苏，带动原油需求恢复，但阿斯利康疫苗出现副作用，欧洲各国暂停接种，影响市场对疫苗的信心。

    短线操作上，原油2105合约，原油区间整理蓄势有望反弹行情走势，笔者建议回调380Support multiple orders entering in batches above.

   棉花主力合约：

    今日棉花高位承压逐渐回落200Multiple point reporting14980小阴线形态，国际方面USDA 3月供需报告中，下调美国棉花产量和年末库存，美棉价格大跌，ICE期棉跌幅超4%。郑棉本月以来行情向下，从高位16540element/吨跌至15600element/吨，从长期来看，预计郑棉近期跌势放缓或呈震荡走势。下游：纺纱企业利润仍存，但接货速度有所放缓，半月来的期货价格走低使得纺织企业观望情绪渐升，纱线企业开始调价。有关数据显示，2021year1月坯布库存为14.94天，纱线库存为9.21天，环比同比均有所下滑。去年10月开始纺织产业回暖，纺企接单排到今年4月，生产利润高企，目前仍有补棉花库存需求。

    短线操作上，棉花2105合约，棉花日线级别破位下跌走势形态，笔者王德诚建议冲高15120and15200压力下方分批进场空单。

    拒绝高利诱惑，坚持理性投资。投资有风险，不要想着一夜暴富，也不要觉得完全赚不到钱，市场就在那，总有强者胜出。交易是不断成长的过程，在交易中不断学习，在学习中不断总结经验，总有一天，你也会成为那塔尖上的人。笔者王德诚，专业期货分析师，多家财经媒体撰稿人，期货从业资格证编号T329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。