Tan Xinsheng:4.8黄金走势能否突破钳制 今晚鲍威尔讲话是关键

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goldInformation analysis:

Thursday(4month8day)亚洲时段，现货黄金小幅下跌，震荡交投于1735附近。周三(4month7day)金价下跌，美国强劲的经济数据提振了人们对经济迅速复苏的希望，削弱了黄金的吸引力。另外股市高企，市场对经济反弹充满信心，投资者避险意愿不强。不过，美联储官员们仍然认为目前有必要继续维持量化宽松政策，这对金价构成重要的支撑。短线金价可能仍有一定的上涨空间。

日内关注今晚今晚19:30，欧洲央行将公布3Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting.20:30初请失业金数据，该数据可能小幅向好，并拖累金价走势。今晚24:00， 美联储主席鲍威尔参加虚拟国际货币基金组织研讨会，投资者需留意鲍威尔的讲话内容。鲍威尔讲话可能成为金价走势的重要“催化剂”。

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Gold market analysis:

Wednesday（4month7day)现货黄金走势维持1745-1730区间震荡，日线收带下影线小阴线。目前5Japan and Japan10日均线偏向上运行，MACDRun up,KDJ向上运行但有拐头向下态势出现，指标显示在看涨的同时会有一定的回落。黄金日线大格局上看就是在1676-1755大区间内波动，未来还需要进一步突破1755才能真正形成双底，否则在1676-1755区间内继续震荡几个月也不是没有可能，甚至新低也是可能的。在没有突破1755-1676前还是可以在大区间内高抛低吸，更多以低位布局多单为主，多单可以尝试博弈中线。日内重点关注1745-1755压力，这里受阻可以做空，关注1720-1730支撑，短期金价回调企稳可以低多，一旦跌破1720就要重新下跌回踩1700附近及下方支撑。

4小时图上看，黄金目前处于高位震荡颠簸，目前短期均线EMA5andEMA10死叉向下运行，MACDRun down,KDJ向下运行，指标看跌。黄金短期还是震荡偏多，不过目前陷入到高位区间震荡中，下方关注1720支撑，不跌破的情况下还是在高位区间震荡的，仍然有可能高位震荡蓄势后冲击新高，上方重点关注1745and1755压力，不能突破受阻就还可能出现大幅回落，所以突破1755-1720前可以在此区间内高抛低吸，突破后就可以顺势跟进，特别是向上将是中期转多。日内则关注1745-1720section.

综上所述，金价自1677-1678附近连续冲高短期逐步显现出冲高疲态，今日先关注短期1745-1730区间震荡表现，区间未破前进行高空低多操作，区间破位在做一定跟随。今日上方先关注1741-1743区域压制，其次是1745高点压制，下方先关注1730关口支撑，其次是1727附近前期回调后反弹的起涨点，然后是1722-1720区域的关键防守支撑。操作上短线先以偏空进行，等待回调企稳之后在进场多单！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1Gold1741-743Short selling and stop loss near the area1746Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1735-1730Near the area, take a look down1727区域，若连续破位则下看1722-1720region

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As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!