Li Juxin:4.8黄金原油多空拉锯，后市是涨是跌？附全面走...

I don't know if this post will exist in the market, or how long it will last. It's not important. The important thing is that it can bring hope to you who are losing money and find the right direction for you who are lost. Regardless of the duration of its existence, I only hope that friends who need help can see this paragraph. Only by being able to help you can it have meaning, otherwise it will be just a useless post!As the saying goes, 'Ten years to sharpen a sword',I have witnessed too many things from nothing to existence, from existence to nothingness. This is a harvest season. In addition to reaping profits, you can also reap a lot on the investment market,For example, friends, mentality, or me, I don't expect these few thousand words to dispel all your concerns. After all, practice is the only criterion for testing truth. What you and I need is just an opportunity. No matter how much you lose or what point set, I will only accompany you to the trading stop and provide the most suitable advice for you. I will try my best to give reasonable advice in a steady manner. Meeting fate is fate, missing fate is fate, and fate is fate in your hands. If you want to find me, you can single track Li Juxin; Sincerely wish you can find a more suitable one and make money!，(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　=====goods in stockgoldMarket trend analysis=====

Wednesday（4month7Day)COMEX期金和现货黄金小幅下跌，因上方面临重要阻力位。近期若能突破，则多头有望延续涨势。操作上仍建议投资者以逢低做多为主。不过，美国经济数据的强劲及美股持坚等因素继续压制金价上行空间，IMF上调全球经济预期也利空避险黄金。我们仍处于黄金与美国国债收益率和美元走势负相关的阶段，所以美元与美债的任何走势都会导致黄金呈现相反方向的走势。美元疲弱会令美元计价的大宗商品对海外买家而言变便宜而提高吸引力，国债收益率下降则会提高投资者对不孳息的黄金的兴趣。此外，海外新冠疫情的恶化，也吸引更多的资金重新涌入金市，给金价提供上涨动能。分析师说“我们将谨慎地从(Global)Learn from the lessons of the financial crisis, that is:不要太快撤走支持。我们将鼓励所有有能力的发达国家……为了全球经济的整体增长继续支持全球复苏。”这意味着美国未来的财政刺激将延续，货币政策也继续维持宽松，在中长线利好金价。日内重点关注美联储3月货币政策会议纪要，市场参与者将寻求有关紧缩政策时机的新线索，另外美国2月贸易帐数据将出炉，分析师预计，美国2月份贸易逆差将达到创纪录水平705亿美元，逆差扩大将利空美元，利多黄金。

　　黄金从技术面看，日线级别上，黄金空头暂时处于守势，金价W底反弹，在突破1720附近阻力后继续上涨，且颈线突破在即。短线来看，多头若想维持上涨趋势必须突破上方重要阻力位1750一线，若日内再度承压于1750一线，则可能陷入横盘震荡或回踩1720一线支撑。中长线看，金价仍处于下行通道之中，在突破通道上轨之前，黄金难言强势。不过从更大级别的周线来看，金价似乎获得了一条长期趋势线的有力支撑，这将帮助金价暂时企稳后反弹。李钜鑫认为上行方面，初步阻力关注1750，进一步阻力位关注11month30Daily low1764as well as1790一线。下行方面，初步支撑关注1720Frontline, further attention1700的心理关口，以及1451-2075Interval61.8%Retreat position1688一线。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李钜鑫建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1748-1753Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1710Frontline support.

　　=====internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis=====

Wednesday（4month7日）美国原油小幅下跌，徘徊于60关口下方，因早间美国石油协会(API)According to the published data,API成品油库存超预期增加，汽油库存增加455.3Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase281万桶；周二油价上涨，因上日大跌超过4%之后吸引了低接买盘，同时美国和中国公布的强劲经济数据也擦亮了复苏前景，短期需要EIA原油库存系列数据和美伊谈判的进展情况。本周API原油库存连续第二周下降，但产品库存的大幅上升令人意外。总体来看，国际货币基金组织将今年全球经济增长预期上调至6%，美国经济数据的利好，以及美国政府预计随着更多人出行，今年夏季汽油需求将增加，这些因素都在中长线给油价上行提供支撑，但需要注意的是，沙特表示将在7月前逐步退出目前10010000 barrels/日的额外自愿减产，这意味着市场供应将再增加10010000 barrels/日，而印度和欧盟等地新冠病例增加令交易商保持谨慎，任何新的限制措施都将打压需求，短线油价的下行风险仍未排除。此外，短期还要关注美国重返伊朗核协议问题的进一步消息。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别来看，MACD绿柱缩短，暗示看跌动能有所下降。短线来看，油价在57.25-62.27区间内宽幅震荡，空头依然稍占上风，多头暂处守势，但也不遑多让。上方面临3month8日高位以来的趋势线压力。后市若能突破趋势线的压力，则意味着多头将重启涨势，若持续承压且难以逾越，后市可能引发更大的跌幅。中长线看，上涨趋势在回调行情结束后仍将有望维持，空头在57.26一线遇到强大的阻力短期恐难突破。从更大级别的周线来看，近几周尽管油价不断下跌，但接连出现长下影线暗示下方支撑强劲，企稳迹象初显。李钜鑫认为上行方面，初步阻力关注60大关，这是重要的心理关口，进一步阻力关注61Gateway and62.26。下行方面，初步支撑关注58.77Frontline, further attention58关口及阶段低位57.26, falling below57.26或将引发新一轮下跌。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李钜鑫建议以反弹做空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注61.8-62.3Resistance, short-term focus below57.8-58.3Frontline support.

　　以下是我的群内现价喊单。平时我都有实时布局现价喊单供大家跟上，我这个人比较直白，看准的行情我都不会保留，只要看准的单子我都会通过群内现价喊单给大家进场！！大家主要还是以本人私下实时布局为主，我都会没有保留的指导！！！因为大的行情需要及时把握，如果没有把握到就可能做成损单！相信这个大家都有体会！！！郑重承诺添加到我的朋友，想让我喊单的说一声就行，也可以告诉你正确的做单手法和心态，锁单的各种解法。这个是让你扭亏为盈的关键！

　

　

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This article is provided by Li Juxin. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Juxin explains a set online, pays back losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:（GOLD68668）Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.