Chen Yibo:4.5黄金原油最新操作建议

InternationalgoldAnalysis of the latest market trend:

　　黄金消息面解析：上周以来，美债收益率上涨动能有所消退，之前的涨势出现疲态，如今日本大型保险商正考虑再次买入美债，暗示美债收益率的进一步上涨空间可能受到限制，也反映了市场情绪的变化，这也暗示金价的进一步下行空间可能受到限制。尤其是金价在1677After gaining support nearby, Kuaixun rebounded to1730附近，暗示逢低买盘强劲，技术面也有双重底的可能性，黄金多头中长线的机会正在增加。

　　黄金技术面分析：因美元和美债收益率回落，而严峻的美国周度失业金数据给经济复苏前景蒙上了一层阴影，增加了黄金的避险吸引力，现货黄金在经历两连跌后迎来反弹，周四一度飙升近23美元，刷新近三日高点至1730.66dollar/盎司；日图来看，布林带持续收口，金价在3month8日低点和布林带下轨双重支撑后展开反弹，强势收复1700关口布林带中轨，下方“W”底的形态得到了巩固，金价或将迎来一波涨势，多头目标看向3month25Daily high point1745.57and3month18Daily high point1755.49；

Gold from4小时图看，金价在1678附近获得支撑后呈现“V”型反转的走势，并强势突破布林带中轨，目前MACDandKDJ金叉运行，指示金价仍具备一定的上行动能，上方初步阻力关注1733.45，该位置是此次“V”型走势的顶部，若突破，预计金价会直接向上冲击布林带上轨1743.27；不过，由于短线涨幅较大，且金价在1733.45下方涨势开始放缓，随着KDJ进入超买区域，同时也需要警惕金价震荡回落的风险，布林带中轨1709.42是下方初步支撑所在，若金价回落至该位置下方则不排除再次试探1700关口的风险；综合来看，随着金价强势收复1700Gateway and5日均线，金价短线仍具备较强的上行动能，所以黄金今日操作思路上陈亦博建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅；上方短期关注阻力1735.5、1745.5；下方短期关注支撑1715、1710；目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者陈亦博不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：18664848236）

　　futuresbeautifulcrude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend:

　　原油消息面解析：刚刚过去的一周，国际油价整体呈现震荡走势，OPEC+Agreeing to gradually increase production is seen as a affirmation of demand growth expectations, global economic data is optimistic, global stock markets are rising, providing support for oil prices, butOPEC下调需求预期并上调供给预期，再加上欧美新冠疫情再度恶化，油价仍受到威胁，投资者需要提防油价震荡下行的风险。面对外部和内部的增产压力，OPEC+Thursday（4month1Agreed on (date)5-7The month gradually increases oil production. According to the statement of the Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan,OPEC+In less than a month, the second unexpected decision was made by the member states, who decided to5-7Month increases daily crude oil production by over100Ten thousand barrels; At the beginning of this week, there were widespread expectations from the outside worldOPEC+Possible extension of production restriction measures; butOPEC+Reaching a gradual increase in production agreement is a positive expectation for sustained demand growth and still provides support for oil prices.

　　原油技术面分析：原油从周线上来看，原油自高位回落短期见顶后，周线三连阴，周四OPEC Agreeing to gradually increase production is seen as a affirmation of demand growth expectations. Oil prices hit their largest increase in nearly a week on Thursday and closed for the first time this week with a positive cross star, changing the recent decline in oil pricesKDJDead fork,MADC快慢线金叉但是红能开始缩量，周均线金叉，原油短线有回落风险，不过整体仍然是多头占优，下方关注60.4Nearby support, further focus on medium rail54.4Support bullish sentiment, with a focus on the upper echelons63Nearby resistance, if it can break through63附近阻力，则进一步增加看涨信号，反之仍有回落风险！

　　原油从日线上来看，上周四大阳收线，指标上KDJThe golden cross, the daily moving average is reorganized into a golden cross upwards,MACD死叉，绿能逐渐缩量，暗示本周有进一步上涨迹象，不过原油近期都是宽幅震荡的行情，且整体承压中轨明显，所以本周重点关注中轨得失，若能有效突破中轨62附近阻力，则原油重拾涨势，反之则重归震荡行情，综合来看，原油今日操作思路上陈亦博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注62.5-63.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60.0-59.5一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者陈亦博微信：18664848236  Get daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!