Xie Hongyuan:4.5黄金走势小幅涨跌,是否在蓄力暴跌暴涨,

goldMessage analysis:

接下来仍是非常关键的一周，因为这是短期和长期的较量；美国3月非农数据和拜登政府新基建计划两者之间影响谁大谁小的较量。黄金暴涨是因为市场预期拜登3万亿美元新基建计划会引发新一轮通货膨胀，利好避险资产，利好黄金。然而，上周五虽然休假，美国3月季调后非农数据照常公布。数据显示，美国3Non-agricultural employment increased in the month91.6Wan, for last year8月以来最大增幅，远超预期的增加66万，上个月增加37.9万，数据大幅利空黄金。所以，数据短期利空黄金，基本面长期利多黄金，这是短期和长期之间的较量，尽管方向看涨不变，但在进场点位的选择上非常关键。

黄金操作思路：{1}Step back1718-1716先短多，防守1711, Objective1730-1735.

                      （2）上方见1738-1740Empty, defensive1746, Objective1728-1718.

crude oil技术面分析：原油从周线上来看，原油自高位回落短期见顶后，周线三连阴，周四OPEC Agreeing to gradually increase production is seen as a affirmation of demand growth expectations. Oil prices hit their largest increase in nearly a week on Thursday and closed for the first time this week with a positive cross star, changing the recent decline in oil pricesKDJDead fork,MADC快慢线金叉但是红能开始缩量，周均线金叉，原油短线有回落风险，不过整体仍然是多头占优，下方关注60.4Nearby support, further focus on medium rail54.4Support bullish sentiment, with a focus on the upper echelons63Nearby resistance, if it can break through63附近阻力，则进一步增加看涨信号，反之仍有回落风险！

　　原油从日线上来看，上周四大阳收线，指标上KDJThe golden cross, the daily moving average is reorganized into a golden cross upwards,MACD死叉，绿能逐渐缩量，暗示本周有进一步上涨迹象，不过原油近期都是宽幅震荡的行情，且整体承压中轨明显，所以本周重点关注中轨得失，若能有效突破中轨62附近阻力，则原油重拾涨势，反之则重归震荡行情，综合来看，原油今日操作思路上谢鸿远个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注62.5-63.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60.0-59.5Frontline support.