Xiao Qiansheng:4.5Gold and SilverTD原油实时行情解析

　　做交易最根本的心理障碍是如何处理风险。交易成功的两项最基本规则就是：停损和持长。一方面截断亏损，控制被动。另一方面盈利趋势未走完，就不轻易出场，要让利润充分增长。但是知易行难，知行合一更难。这里除了操盘交易技术以外，更多的是投资者需要拥有一个好的心态。止损的可控性质能够使我们保持良好的心态。盯住止损不考虑利润并非不追求利润，而恰恰是最好的利润追求方法，因为利润是做对之后耐心持仓等待出来的，而不是频繁交易创造出来的。

I am Xiao Qiansheng (レ Xin:xqs59168）Currently, there is a significant impact on global financial markets (such as internationalgold，TDGold and silver,crude oil，foreign exchangeandfutures市场）具有深入而独特的见解、如果你有什么烦恼，苦闷可与我来聊聊。

　　　　黄金技术分析

　　黄金如期1677一路强势反弹，已经上涨第三天，而且非农大幅利空，前期1718reach1743横盘整理上轨也是距离很近，没有必要在去追多了，当然回落继续买入，交易必须有格局和节奏，这样你才能多空转换完美把握，熟悉盘面都是知道现在行情就是熟悉节奏1718reach1743区域震荡，高抛低吸就好，当然破位1718那就是1703and1689去了，月线前期提示1155reach1270上涨通道牛熊分界点1640区域，也就是说只要还是在上方震荡，随时有报复反弹，全球宽松通胀后期一定显现，无非前期涨幅过大，避险没有大选前明显，所以黄金调整，但是一定清楚，现在的避险由以前的关税摩擦，现在升级到地缘政治和抱团制裁，而且有升级之势。所以黄金在调整前期1676技术超跌严重出现绝望诞生做多信号，基本面新的避险也在升级，更重要前期充分调整，所以新的买盘再次推动上行。通胀预期在避险在，那就是单边下跌概率低，就如同2011year1920见顶调整也是在1803reach1530区域横盘2年才选择方向，现在影响黄金因素太多，日线双底反弹绝望诞生做多信号继续有效，那就是顺势参与回落多不变。当然2074reach1966压力下跌通道强压1803位置，后期只有突破这里才能多头强势打开上行空间，要不又是多头自救的反弹而已。当然交易依然关注小时和日线的交易机会。

　　周五因为休市暂停交易，但是我们预期走势1745附近调整，好像最后触及1737区域，非农利空导致低开目前运行1728附近，当然前面说了现在行情1718reach1743区域震荡。那么周一尽量保持高抛低吸就好，历史不会简单重复必有惊人相似，上次1676反弹也是如出一辙，一路反弹三天最后触及1738然后调整1699附近再次启动上涨1755区域，那么本次也是压力位置1737上遇到非农利空开启调整，那就是说做多做好两手准备，第一震荡区域下轨1718附近，同时如图破位极限那就是1699区域。消息都是推动行情涨跌助推器，但是不会改变趋势，首先月线上行一直没有破位，那么回落依然反复震荡，全球宽松后期肯定有通胀出现，至少1670下暂时没有400美金空间，只有经过充分反弹以后，后期在有下跌才是关键，暂时黄金缺一个区域震荡，日线双底走势能否成立，那就是看下周1745颈线得失，如果突破那就是1765reach1785even to the extent that1803去了，日线绝望诞生做多信号前期1765也是出现过，最多反弹1960区域开始下跌也是200美金幅度上涨，本次也是同样出现绝望诞生做多信号，而且如果配合双底形态成立，那么反弹还有上行空间，这也是我们敢于一路做多不带目标，回落做多突破追多的原因，也许当时你们觉得逆势，经过连续两天上涨，本周也许看清一色趋势多开始追多了，甚至有机构预测要突破2000位置了，跟风追涨杀跌这就是现实，所谓所有人看到的趋势一定是行情终结的开始，市场二八定律永恒，提前蛰伏多空转换一直是我们制胜法宝目前看黄金又回到1718reach1743区域震荡，那么日线偏多，那就是回落继续买入就好，暂时分时和日线没有出现做空信号，不去参与，因为上涨走势压力都是给你突破的，一定明白一点趋势上涨，所谓的压力都是瞬间突破横盘继续拉升形同虚设。趋势下跌所有支撑都是无效的，上涨只看支撑买入突破追涨就好。综合上述操作思路如下：

Pressure:1745--1765

Support:1719----1703

　　　-Analysis of crude oil market:

　　原油区间拉锯延续性不足，周四亚盘守住昨日低点再回升震荡，重新来考验61.10高点的阻力，4小时大区间62.0-57.0震荡思路不变，目前处于中性位置的收敛震荡，短线先关注61.0-59.0区间拉锯。4From an hour's perspective, it oscillates; Continue to pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Line58.74-62.06Regional breakthrough situation. at presentMACDDead fork, if it falls below the Brin line58.74Nearby support increases short-term bearish signals. becauseKDJApproaching the overbought area, if the oil price adheres to the support near the lower track of the Bollinger Line and rebounds to the middle track of the Bollinger Line60.40Above, short-term bullish signals will be added. Further reference57.25-63.13区域突破情况，该区域的突破将为中线走势指明方向。综合来看，今日操作思路上乾升个人建议以先空后多，上方关注62.0-62.5Resistance, short-term focus below60.0-59.5Frontline support.

　　　　黄金TDTrend:

GoldTDReport collection356.68Closing down1.52%or5.52元，反弹关注358.5附近压力，突破上看362.5关键阻力，突破短线偏多，上看364.5-365.5附近。反之1710美元下依旧有创新低可能，回撤关注355附近能否形成有效支撑夯实双底形态，如国际黄金有效破位1678美元将打开新的下跌空间，下看1600and1559Around the US dollar.

SilverTDTrend:

SilverTDReport collection5010Closing down2.26%or116点，反弹关注5020压力，突破上看5100关键阻力，如能继续突破短线偏多，上看5190整数位附近及以上。反之24.6美元下偏空，依旧有再创新低可能，回撤关注4950Support.

　　　　黄金白银被套，如何快速解：

　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?

　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.

　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.

　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.

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When you finish reading Qian Sheng's article, Qian Sheng will understand that you are looking for a teacher who can lead you to make stable money. I am not only a guiding teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. We welcome like-minded people to come and have a long conversation! There are no unsuccessful investments, only unsuccessful trading models. The market is constantly changing every day, and every order team teacher is very cautious in their thinking, ensuring that every order must make a profit and exit. Every order is made through thoughtful judgment, and a day or two is luck. What about a week? How about two weeks? Whether it's internal or group posting strategies, or major financial websites, team teachers are all asking for orders at current prices, with evidence to check and evidence to rely on! The operation of two to three orders every day does not require overnight wealth, only the safety of falling into the bag! The profit is very high, I take nine points alone, one point depends on luck, and eight points depends on strength! I am so confident. If you sincerely accompany me, I will do my best.

This article was submitted by Xiao Qiansheng. I have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Professional and technical director Xiao Qiansheng has provided online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.