Tang Jinzhao:4.3黄金周五休市携非农数据来袭，资本主义有大...

　　交易核心价值观：多空交易本无对错，只是在合适的时候做相应的策略，很多人发现设了止损总是会被掉，只是因为没有把握好正确的位置，勇气是控制恐惧心理，而不是心里毫无恐惧，什么都可以失去，不可以失去希望，什么都可以没有，不可以没有信心。在这个市场上如何才能把握潮流，就是跟随趋势，趋势来了，无形的力量就在推着你的向前，在goldforeign exchangeIt is still important for the market to make profits. What is the secret to profitability? The answer is very simple, and the simplest is also something that people overlook. The most precious things are also free, just like the air we breathe and the sunlight shining on us. What is the secret to making money? It's actually very simple. Throw aside all the news and fundamentals, return to rationality, analyze independently, and follow the trend.

　　在投资方面有操作上面的问题可以添加来笔者交流，态度决定一切，细节决定成败。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点时机，请关注唐金召指导微信：（TJZ0168）Will be provided in real-time.

Gold trend analysis:

　　本周五非农报告适逢耶稣受难日，黄金futures交易暂停，不过，投资者可关注非农报告对美元指数的走势。而在下周一开盘后，非农表现可能会令黄金交易出现异动，投资者届时需要予以关注。受美元和美债收益率回落提振，现货黄金周四(4month1day)上涨逾1%。现货黄金周四收报1729.31dollar/Ounces, up21.59USD or1.26%The highest touch in the plate1730.66dollar/ounce.COMEXgold futures 6Monthly contract increase12.8USD, increase0.75%Report1728.4dollar/盎司。但在黄金走势上，下周预计冲高1732一线前期高点，不一定突破，请勿盲目追高。

　　黄金个人观点：盘面来看，月线价格在22The monthly moving average is supported, with expectations for this month rising first and then falling later. Looking at the daily chart, the strong buying power of the Great Yang has eaten up the lost land on Tuesday, so this power will continue. At least the strong Yang on the daily chart has limited the space for today's decline. The Great Yang on the daily chart is only a significant correction of the downward trend, but it is still too early to say a reversal because the positive line has been excessively pulled up, and the moving average cannot keep up, which is the second significant upward trend, The daily chart still needs to be confirmed again and again. As the market is closed on Friday, it is expected to be confirmed by next Tuesday. Therefore, in terms of time, bulls will continue. From a four hour perspective, the current price has experienced a setback after encountering obstacles. In this situation, there are expected to be two situations: one is a slight decline and a direct upward trend, forming a sharp upward trend; the other is that the gold price has undergone a downward trend. For the moving average, a direct significant upward trend is not enough time, and at least two to three factors need to be correctedK线才能继续展开一次上行后正式走日图的确认，所以对于下周偏向于修正，以时间来换取空间修复指标的超买，所以单阳上行不可怕，能否持续是关键。从多周期来量化来看，日线上方重点*stay1738-1740Here, the upper limit is1760For the upcoming week60That's not realistic either. And the four hour chart is expected to repeat two to three timesKFrom a horizontal to vertical perspective, if the price rebound is too deep, it directly affects the continuity of the upward trend, so for the expected decline1705就是比较理想的多单入场点。综合来看，下周操作上唐金召建议上方重点关注1738-1740Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis;

　　4month1Japan and the United States saw a slight increase in crude oil, while Iran's exports increasedOPEC+Lowering demand expectations has raised concerns among bulls and attracted widespread market attentionOPEC+The ministerial meeting to be held within the day will discuss5Monthly production level, widely expected by the marketOPEC+The current scale of production reduction will be maintained, which may provide support for oil prices. The attitude of Saudi Arabia needs to be closely monitored. Technically speaking, oil prices are temporarily in a volatile trend, with significant short-term fluctuations and a slight bias towards bearish positions in the short term.

From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACDThe dead cross signal continues, and the mid track of the Bollinger Line has a significant impact on oil prices. In the short term, there is a possibility of once again exploring the support of the offline track of the Bollinger Line. Currently57.02Nearby, if the support is breached, increase the neutral bearish signal; Further support reference2month4Daily low point55.30Nearby, then54.87Location, which is33.64-67.98Upward trend38.2%Retract position. Focus on100Daily moving average53.34Nearby support,1month13Daily high point53.93The location also needs attention, as it is located in the1The month is a period of strong resistance, which has now transformed into a period of strong support. Due to the interweaving of moving averages, the short-term variables are relatively large;KDJGold fork operation, oil prices still hold55Daily moving average59.15Above, if we regain the upward trend and break through the middle track of the Bollinger Line62.16Above, there will be an increase in bullish signals in the future.

　　4From an hour's perspective, it oscillates; Continue to pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Line58.74-62.06Regional breakthrough situation. at presentMACDDead fork, if it falls below the Brin line58.74Nearby support increases short-term bearish signals. becauseKDJApproaching the overbought area, if the oil price adheres to the support near the lower track of the Bollinger Line and rebounds to the middle track of the Bollinger Line60.40Above, short-term bullish signals will be added. Further reference57.25-63.13区域突破情况，该区域的突破将为中线走势指明方向。综合来看，原油下周一操作思路上唐金召个人建议以先空后多，上方关注62.0-62.5Resistance, short-term focus below60.0-59.5Frontline support.

　　做投资需要对走势进行分析和判断，看错了走势就别说了，但经常是你判断对行情却没赚到钱，这是为什么，其中最关键的因素就是行情走势的振荡，你分析行情的时候是静态的分析，是没有任何杂念的分析，笔者总结了投资者在市场中常犯的几大错误。

　　一，喜欢抄底：尤其是处于历史低位的价格。看到自己的成本比别人都低，心里简直是乐开了花。却没有想到，一个价格既然已创出了历史新低，那么很可能还会有很多新低出现，甚至用不了几个月你的帐户资金就被腰斩了。抄底抄底，最后抄死自己。

　　二，不愿止损：这个问题相关的文章很多，有的散户见一次止损后没几天金价又涨了回来，下次就抱有侥幸心理不再止损，这是不行的。就我而言，决不容许出现超过10%的亏损。“截断亏损，让利润奔跑”，确是至理名言啊。但话又说回来，如果你没有自己的赢利模式，你的结局也就是买入，止损，再买入再止损。

　　三，不敢追高：许多散户都有恐高症，认为金价已经涨上去了，再去追涨被套住了怎么办?其实金价的涨跌与价位的高低并没有必然的联系，关键在于 “势”，在上涨趋势形成后介入安全性是很高的，而且短期内获利很大，核心问题在于如何判断上升趋势是否已经形成，这在不同的市场环境中有不同的标准，比如在大牛市2011年之前，早上起来眼睛睁开买多就晚上数钱数到手抽筋，而在弱市中如2013year4month15日，这往往是多头陷阱。对趋势的判断能力是衡量炒手水平的重要标准之一。

　　四，自我怀疑不信任：很多朋友分析昨天行情头头是道，判断今天走势模棱两可，制定好的策略不去执行，前怕狼后怕虎。笔者唐金召常讲：一个没有目标的人是可悲的，但一个没有执行力的人是可笑的。没有目标的人将在这个市场为别人实现目标，没有计划的人终将有一天被别人计划。

　　五，交易没有节奏感：对主力的操盘方法没有一个系统的认识，炒金就像盲人摸象，毫无章法，运气好时也能赢两把，运气不好了就一败涂地。所以散户总是唱“为什么受伤的总是我”的那个人，但可怜之人必有可恨之处。

　　六，追涨杀跌成通病： 在交易中不愿放过每一个机会，看见大盘涨了一点就急忙杀入，根本不清楚自己能有几成胜算，结果一下又被套住了，其实这是由于水平低下，缺乏自信所致，如果你能有几套适用于不同环境市场的赢利模式，那么不管金价涨、跌还是盘整，你都有稳健的获利办法，你就能从容不迫的等待趋势明朗时再介入，把风险降到最低。

　　七，不懂势难乘势： 不能区分牛市和熊市的操作方法，散户们总是抱有多头思维，总是想着第二天要涨或跌，昨天日线收阳就想着阳，反之想着跌，可谓是市场虐他千百遍，他却待市场如初恋。我们要做的就是像猎豹一样，时机不成熟 决不动手，一旦出手，至少要有七成以上的胜算。好的猎手一定是能耐得住寂寞的。

The simplest way for a person to truly survive in a market is to find their own fatal mistakes and correct them. For someone who doesn't know how to self discover and review, elimination is only a matter of time. This market will never eliminate people with learning ability, but those with education may not be able to survive. The "leftover" are the king, and trading is a reflection of human nature, far away from the environment and people that cause you to lose money, People are always products of the environment, and whether you collaborate with a professional team or a "gang" is worth re examining.

This article is written by Tang Jinzhao（VX：TJZ0168）Original submission, I interpret world economic news and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!