陈亦博：黄金白银行情走势分析，黄金下周开盘是涨是跌

internationalgoldTrend analysis:



　　黄金技术面分析，日图来观察，大阳绝地反击吃掉了周一、周二失地，至少买盘力量强盛，所以这种力量还将延续，至少日图的大阳限制了今天下跌的空间，日线大阳，但整体只是下跌的一次大幅修正，说反转还为时过早，因为阳线拉升过度，均线跟不上，就是二次再次大幅上扬，日图还需一次二次的确认，由于周五休市，哪时间预期会到下周二确认，所以从时间上看，周一多头还将延续。从当前盘面来看，月线价格在22月均线受支撑，本月预期先上后下。



　　四小时初步VType reversal;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，短线偏向多头，若顶破布林线中轨1733.43附近阻力，当下价格探底回升，出现这种形态，预期会出现两种情况，一是小幅回落直接拉升，形成冲高回落，二是金价经过拉升，对于均线来说直接大幅拉升时间不够，至少需要修正二到三根K线才能继续展开一次上行后正式走日图的确认，所以对于日内偏向于修正，以时间来换取空间修复指标的超买，所以连阳上行不可怕，能否形成有效突破是关键。从多周期来量化来看，日线上方重点压制在1733and45Here, the upper limit is1760，对于日内来看四小时图预期会反复二到三KFrom a horizontal to vertical perspective, if the price rebound is too deep, it directly affects the continuity of the upward trend, so for the expected decline1710就是比较理想的多单入场点。综合来看，黄金下周短线操作思路上陈亦博建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1733-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1710-1705Frontline support.

　纸白银走势分析：



Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, with some short-term setbacks. In terms of short-term operations, maintain a much lower mindset and a higher point5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0The yuan support has not been damaged, so Chen Yibo believes that paper and silver have risen again to5.32-5.57概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上依旧低多布局思路为主


SilverT+Dquotations analysis



SilvertdThe daily line has ushered in a long-awaited positive line. Despite a sharp sell-off last night, it suddenly rose sharply, causing a slight decrease in bearish positions compared to bearish positions. The moving average still remains downward,MACDThere are signs of passivation on the express line and signs of a stop in the market, but the overall situation is still relatively short;4From an hourly perspective, after a continuous decline this week, the market finally rebounded last night, and the bullish market showed signs of strength,60The moving average starts to flatten out,MACDThe initial success of the golden fork indicates a bearish rebound in the market;1At an early age, Lianyang rebounded and directly broke through the Bollinger medium track. Although it fell back, it still stood firm on this line. Currently, it is operating near the Bollinger medium track, transforming from pressure to support, and the moving average only exists60The line forms a short line pressure, and the multi head gauge can maintain a release state,MACDFast Line Breakthrough0The slope of the axis is acceptable, and the market is more conducive to a rebound. Biden likes to send assists! Overall, Chen Yibo believes that silverTDAlthough the overall trend is favorable for bears, there is a desire and motivation for continued rebound in the short term within the day, with a focus on the changes in bullish capacity and4hour60The suppression situation of the line can be increased earlier in the day, and only when the bullish amount is obvious can it be opened short.



SilverT +DOperation suggestions:



SilverTD 5110-5130Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5160, look at the goal5050-5010nearby



SilverTD 4980-5000Most batches nearby, stop loss4950, look at the goal5050-5100nearby



　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;



　　4month1Japan and the United States saw a slight increase in crude oil, while Iran's exports increasedOPEC+Lowering demand expectations has raised concerns among bulls and attracted widespread market attentionOPEC+The ministerial meeting to be held within the day will discuss5Monthly production level, widely expected by the marketOPEC+The current scale of production reduction will be maintained, which may provide support for oil prices. The attitude of Saudi Arabia needs to be closely monitored. Technically speaking, oil prices are temporarily in a volatile trend, with significant short-term fluctuations and a slight bias towards bearish positions in the short term.



From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACDThe dead cross signal continues, and the mid track of the Bollinger Line has a significant impact on oil prices. In the short term, there is a possibility of once again exploring the support of the offline track of the Bollinger Line. Currently57.02Nearby, if the support is breached, increase the neutral bearish signal; Further support reference2month4Daily low point55.30Nearby, then54.87Location, which is33.64-67.98Upward trend38.2%Retract position. Focus on100Daily moving average53.34Nearby support,1month13Daily high point53.93The location also needs attention, as it is located in the1The month is a period of strong resistance, which has now transformed into a period of strong support. Due to the interweaving of moving averages, the short-term variables are relatively large;KDJGold fork operation, oil prices still hold55Daily moving average59.15Above, if we regain the upward trend and break through the middle track of the Bollinger Line62.16Above, there will be an increase in bullish signals in the future.



　　4From an hour's perspective, it oscillates; Continue to pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Line58.74-62.06Regional breakthrough situation. at presentMACDDead fork, if it falls below the Brin line58.74Nearby support increases short-term bearish signals. becauseKDJApproaching the overbought area, if the oil price adheres to the support near the lower track of the Bollinger Line and rebounds to the middle track of the Bollinger Line60.40Above, short-term bullish signals will be added. Further reference57.25-63.13Regional breakthroughs will indicate the direction of the central line trend. Overall, in terms of crude oil operations next Monday, Chen Yibo's personal suggestion is to start with empty first and then increase, with the top following62.0-62.5Resistance, short-term focus below60.0-59.5Frontline support.