Xiao Qiansheng:4.2Gold and SilverTD原油休市下周实时行情分析走势

Investmentgoldcrude oil不是多就是空，两个方向，却透漏着不简单，每个人都有自己的想法，不管是对趋势，还是短线，但有些人是固执的，在黄金投资市场懂得认错及时调整的人，才能在这个市场赢取一杯羹。犹如人生，太多做人的道理大家都明白，可是终究还是战胜不了自己个性的弱点。所以说，要想在这个市场上把握到属于自己的那一份收益，你就必须遵守这个市场的规则。

　　现货黄金·伦敦金行情分析：

Message: Thursday(4month1day)黄金价格延续从9个月低点附近反弹的势头，因在投资者权衡拜登2.25万亿美元刺激计划的影响之际，美债收益率与美元下跌。纽约商品交易所6Monthly goldfuturesrise in price12.80美元，涨幅近0.8%, closing per ounce1728.40美元，周三该期货收高1.8%。大宾认为，这是结构性熊市中的向上修正，并补充称，金价可能攀升至1740美元，随后国债收益率恢复升势将推动金价再度下跌。美国劳工部公布的上周初请失业救济人数增加6.1万、升至71.9万，远高于市场预期的67.5万。初请失业救济数据“非常差”，提高了市场对黄金的避险需求。金价第一季度表现是数十年来同期最糟糕的一次，因全球经济复苏和疫苗接种使避险需求下降，同时美元和美债收益率上升也削弱了黄金的吸引力。关注工纵好“萧乾升”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份！

　　技术面：黄金经过了周一周二的大幅杀跌，周三的急速上涨，行情倾向于运行震荡区间横盘走势。周四白盘阶段震荡上扬，从最低点1705Up to1720位置，虽然短线展现出强势，但极其迅猛的上涨行情，往往不会走出太大的空间，当市场靠近上方的阻力位置附近，还是会倾向于杀跌回落。

　　宽幅洗盘震荡整理的行情，最重要的是锁定市场的震荡区间。目前市场的最为重要阻力是1755-1677Corresponding golden ratio0.618，处在1728位置。市场最为重要的支撑是1677~1715Corresponding golden ratio0.618，处在1694位置。行情倾向于运行1728~1764的震荡横盘，震荡中心在1709，短线围绕1709进行高空低多。

　　市场大周期倾向于在1728-1694区间震荡，震荡中心在1709位置。下周作上萧乾升建议触及到1730做空，触及1694做多。但若价格波动较小，很难触及到1728or1694的位置。可以关注滞涨止跌信号进行布局。只要行情距离1709有一定的空间，并且收出滞涨止跌信号，便可以进行高空低多布局，止盈目标放在1709的位置。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流官微：xqs59168I will try my best to help you solve your problems.

　　T+D黄金白银行情分析：

GoldTD: GoldTDReport collection356.68Closing down1.52%or5.52元，反弹关注358.5附近压力，突破上看362.5关键阻力，突破短线偏多，上看364.5-365.5附近。反之1710美元下依旧有创新低可能，回撤关注355附近能否形成有效支撑夯实双底形态，如国际黄金有效破位1678美元将打开新的下跌空间，下看1600and1559Around the US dollar.

GoldTDStrategy:

　　1Suggestions355.5-355Long, stop loss353.5, Objective358.5-362.5

　　2Suggestions362.5Short selling, stop loss364, Objective360.5-355

SilverTD: SilverTDReport collection5010Closing down2.26%or116点，反弹关注5020压力，突破上看5100关键阻力，如能继续突破短线偏多，上看5190整数位附近及以上。反之24.6美元下偏空，依旧有再创新低可能，回撤关注4950支撑，跌破下看4890附近，再下看向4780关键支撑位。

SilverTDOperation strategy:

　　1Suggestions4780Long nearby, stop loss4740, Objective4980-5020Looking at breakthroughs5080-5100Key resistance.

　　2Suggestions5100Short and stop losses in nearby light positions5140, Objective5020-4980。

　　期货原油·WTIAnalysis of crude oil market:

Message face:OPEC+会谈前夜美国致电沙特，强调确保能源价格可负担的重要性，石油输出国组织(OPEC)+会议召开前夜，美国致电沙特阿拉伯，强调“可负担能源”的重要性，给其是否减产的决定增添了新的不确定性。代表们表示，OPEC+周四会谈将商讨多个选项，包括维持现有的减产或是温和增产。该集团的高级别官员暗示应当态度谨慎，关注需求的脆弱性和新冠疫情反复的风险。许多OPEC观察人士预计该组织将把当前产量配额至少再延长一个月。美国能源部长与沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒阿齐兹亲王的此次通话是否会影响谈判方向仍不可知。沙特能源部的一位发言人没有立即就此置评。了解上述两位官员通话情况的知情人士称，两人讨论了美国与沙特在可再生能源、碳固存等领域的协作，而非石油市场。

　　技术面：日线级别震荡；MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉，均线交织，短线走势缺乏明确方向，考虑到油价之前从布林线下轨反弹趋势仍未被破坏，继续关注布林线中轨62.37附近阻力，若能顶破该阻力，则增加后市看涨信号；进一步阻力继续关注3month10Daily low point63.13位置和3month18Daily high point64.88位置。鉴于周二油价初次受阻于布林线中轨，下方留意周一低点59.41附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则增加油价再次下探布林线下轨支撑的可能性。

Crude oil4小时级别震荡；布林线轨道水平运行，继续关注布林线轨道58.41-62.27Regional breakthrough situation. Although oil prices have previously been hindered near the Bollinger Line track and have fallen back, they have currently received support from the Bollinger Line mid track. It is necessary to be cautious of the possibility of oil prices testing the Bollinger Line track resistance again. If this resistance is exceeded, it is expected to open up new upward space. Focus on63.88Nearby resistance, this position is67.98-57.25Downtrend61.8%Retract position. Stay tuned below60Integer level support, with the middle track of the Bollinger Line also near this position. If this support is breached, the oil price may be higher and further exploration of the lower track of the Bollinger Line may occur58.41附近支撑。综合来看，短线操作思路上萧乾升建议以反弹做空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注60.7-61.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below58.0-57.5一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以萧乾升微信xqs59168指导实盘为准！

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This article was submitted by Xiao Qiansheng. I have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Professional and technical director Xiao Qiansheng has provided online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.