Xie Hongyuan:4.1黄金非农在即布局开始,Analysis of Gold Market Trend

Thursday(4month1day)Asian morning market, spotgold基本持稳，现报1707dollar/盎司附近，昨日金价大涨逾30美元。黄金价格迎来三周最大涨幅后，却迟迟无法重返高位，目前仍持续位于1707美元附近震荡。美国总统拜登的2.25万亿美元基础设施支出计划，无法使得市场满意，再混合疫苗复苏减弱的新闻，美债重新回稳坐上1.7位置，施压金价复苏涨势的冲劲。观望后市风险指标，中国的财新制造业PMI对亚洲盘市至关重要，而任何疫苗和疫情更新也将继续挑战贵金属价格。

Gold trend analysis:

昨日黄金虽如预期承压回落，受美元强势再拉升影响，黄金回落幅度有所放大，跌破1700Integer bit, punctured below1680，形成双底支撑，日线最终再收得一实体饱和阴线，整体弱势形态尤为明显。日线结构上来看，在前一日行情收阴线贯穿跌破均线带后，短线行情有延续性的回落是无可厚非的，但是在日线级别指标已经显示超卖的情况下，黄金还能扩大反弹落空间也是超出意外的，导致这种现象的出现主要原因有两个：一是美元在已经持续走强的情况下突然再拉升，给黄金带来极大的压力；二是本周非农数据将公布，在此之前市场情绪变得尤为紧张，导致行情出现异动走势

从日k线结构形态来看，在前两日均收实体饱和阴线的情况下，今日黄金大概率是会有进一步的延续回落的，下方可关注支撑1698-1703Nearby testing shows a high probability of falling below the expected level, and you may want to focus on trend line support below1690Nearby. At present, the daily moving average crosses downwards and the trend of weakness is obvious,1715整数位作为前期的交易密集点位也转化为短线的关键压力。总体黄金已经发出多头信号，形成双底支撑。短期黄金存在反弹，但方向上仍是偏空，综合来看在操作上谢鸿远建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方先关注1720-1725一线阻力，下方需关注1688-1695一线支撑。谢鸿远黄金短线操作95%胜率随时验证！

Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound1720-1723Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss5Points, target1710-1705Nearby, break down and take a look1700frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1700-1702Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1710-1715Nearby, break down and take a look1720frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

技术面来看，crude oil昨日盘中反复盘整61.1-60区间，在美盘EIA数据影响下，原油午夜走出了暴跌空间，刷新低点至58.8，我们布局的61空终有收获，日线大连阴，整体偏弱，短期原油仍然存在下滑空间，原油双顶回落，再度在凌晨延续破低。早盘窄幅震荡，顶底转换压力是在60.4。从技术面上来看，原油日线目前大连阴，整体偏弱，可能还有下跌空间至前期57.3，因此，本周接下来两个交易日谢鸿远还是建议以做空为主，谢鸿远建议关注凌晨反抽的高点在59.8一线，以顶底转换压力为防守去空！上方关注60.2-60.5dollar/Bucket, lower support attention57.5-57.3dollar/Bucket support.

Reference for crude oil operation strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Above the rebound of crude oil60.2-60.5Short selling nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.0-58.0Nearby; Dislocation57.5Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multi order strategy:

Below the crude oil correction57.3-57.5Nearby long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.5USD, target58.5-59.0Nearby; Dislocation59.5Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)