Tan Xinsheng:4.1黄金复苏有待考验 日内黄金走势操作分析布局

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goldInformation analysis:

本周三，现货黄金自1677附近的日低大幅反弹，日内一度上破1700、1710两大关口，最高至1715Nearby, closing at1707附近，收复前一天的大部分跌幅。现货黄金第一季度累跌约10%, for2018年三季度以来首次录得季度下跌，且创2016年底以来最差季度表现。美元指数周三扭转前几日的涨势陷入整理，最终收跌险守93Gateway.

周三晚间，美国3monthADP就业人数公布，录得增加51.7万人，增幅创去年9月以来新高，前值上修为17.6万人，就业市场继续全面缓慢复苏。机构评论称，3月服务行业的就业增长明显超过了最近的月度平均水平，其中休闲和酒店行业的就业增长最为显着。今日晚间20:30The United States will announce to3month27Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week.

美国总统拜登周三公布了其基建计划的第一部分。拜登表示，基建计划包括就业和家庭两部分，是时候重建美国中产阶级，计划在全美建设50万个电动车充电站。拜登据悉将敦促通过提高企业税来抵消2.25万亿美元经济刺激计划的影响，提议将全球最低税率设为21％，将企业税率定为28％。美国参议院少数党领袖麦康奈尔表示，考虑到“大规模增税”以及其对国家债务的潜在影响，不太可能支持拜登的基建计划。白宫将在当地时间上午10:30(Tonight Beijing Time22:30)向参议员介绍基础设施计划，警惕美债收益率和美元走高对金价产生压力。

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Gold market analysis:

现货黄金周三触底反弹大幅收涨，周三早间金价自1786一线小幅下探最低触及1677一线后短线开启震荡走高，进入下午盘金价最高触及1688一线，欧盘交易时间金价一度维稳于1688-1682整理区间，形成短期震荡区间小幅上移。美盘交易时间金价先小幅回落1682后止跌震荡走高，此后小幅回踩1687一线后开启强势上行模式，形成连续单边走高维持。周四凌晨金价最高触及1715一线后温和回落企稳于短线1707一线，日线录得实体柱较为强势阳线。

短期金价反弹幅度扩大形成日线技术指标压力位价格回踩走势，当前日线移动平均线并未随着短期反弹出现较大技术指标形态改变，仍维持向下交叉偏空排列形态。4小时线显示，短期反弹形成短期较为强劲筑底表现，短期金价处于4小时技术指标支撑压力位价格区间，整体4小时技术指标呈粘合收窄形态，维持短期偏震荡趋势指引形态。短期金价触底反弹形成较为强劲反转表现，日内重点关注自1687一线强势走高，高点区间维持表现。

本周开市以来周一周二黄金走势空头主导强势，但在本周三金价横久不跌导致空头趋势未能形成，反而有促成金价二次底部结构的形成，目前金价再次进入到大区间的震荡走势当中。对于本周四接下来的行情而言，既然现在我们定义为大区的震荡，那么在接下来得行情走势当中，谭鑫晟分析认为我们需要关注以下几点：

1、黄金上方先关注1715-1720区域压制，若上破1720关键性支转阻压制并企稳，将增加市场看涨情绪去测试1728-1733-1737Area and1740-1745区域或更高位；

2、黄金下方先关注1700关口，其次是1690-1680区域；后市金价若是企稳于1700关口或1676低点上方，则本轮下跌趋势止步，黄金本年度二次筑底将成功，黄金将进入“黄金多头时代”金价将会扬帆起航上攻1800及更高位置。

综上所述，空头趋势要想形成则必须下破1676这一位置，反之回落不能有效突破将形成二次底部结构形成筑底！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1Radicals1710-1712Lay out empty orders near the area and stop losses1720上，稳健者1715-1720区域附近有效受阻布局空单，止损1724Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1710-1700Area, take a look down1690-1680Area, break hold

2Gold1700-1701区域附近支撑有效布局多单，止损1694Next, let's take a look at the target first1710-1715-1720Area, break hold

Full day real-time online guidance WeChat:SCLC415】This article was written and released by Tan Xinsheng. Please indicate the source for reprinting. Because of the delay of network push and the timeliness of sending documents, the above content belongs to personal analysis. Real time market risk control needs to be flexible to deal with, and eliminate the risk of carrying orders. The content is only for reference. Investors should bear their own operational risk accordingly!

As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!