Xie Hongyuan:3.31黄金走势操作建议,黄金今日能否反弹.

gold从技术面看，周一金价大幅下跌，继续承压于上方趋势线，后市可能将寻求二次探底，完成W底或者头肩底，筑底完成后可能迎来上涨行情。下方需要关注的支撑是1700整数关口，若跌破1700，则关注近期低点1676附近的支撑。上方阻力位看向1718、1728、1740。日线级别震荡下跌；金价多日承压于布林线中轨后，周一终于跌破了1720关口重要支撑，短线看空信号有所增强，KDJDeadfork signal continuation,MACD红色柱萎缩有死叉趋势，短线金价偏向延续跌势，初步支撑在1700整数关口，也是3month12日低点支撑所在，若跌破该支撑，料将进一步下探布林线下轨1676.72附近支撑（也是近期低点支撑所在）；能否进一步下破，还有待观察，目前来看，可能性有所增加。谢鸿远认为若金价能够守住1676.72附近支撑，则需要留意W底的可能性。短线的话，上方1720关口已经转化为强阻力所在，5Daily moving average and21Daily moving average at1722.8附近，若不能收复该位置，后市短线偏向空头。布林线中轨阻力在1732.07附近，若意外收复该位置，则破坏短线看空信号。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上谢鸿远建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1700-1705Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1677-1672Frontline support.

crude oilMarket trend analysis

原油消息面解析：油价第二天上涨，美油创近一周新高至61.77dollar/桶，因交易员关注本周的OPEC+会议，并揣测新的需求疑虑将促使该组织控制产量。纽约原油futures上涨近1%，连续第二天攀升。油价有望连续第四个季度上涨，这得益于石油输出国组织及其盟友持续抑制供应以及市场乐观预期新冠疫苗将提振全球需求。市场对近期需求复苏的担忧，尤其是在欧洲重新实施封锁措施的情况下，提高了投资者对OPEC+将在周四会议上限制产量的预期。谢鸿远认为上次会议的情况可能会重演，而沙特或许会再次强硬。

　　原油技术面：本月油价冲高至67.9Afterwards, there was a continuous decline, and the early economic optimism drove the rise of crude oil. As the inventory of crude oil increased at the end of the month, it was mainly affected by the resurgence of the epidemic, leading to the current decline in crude oil prices. From a monthly perspective, the price remained at53.5On the upside, we can continue to maintain the mid-term upward trend, with weekly pricesKThe line continues to decline, and the technical indicators are on the short side. The lower middle track is supported by54附近，结合大级别走势来看，目前中期原油价格依旧处于空头趋势，短线上面，日线上原油在上次跌破上涨趋势线后，KThe overall pressure on the middle rail is obvious, and the upper part is affected byMA10Diurnal*连续回落，下方关键关注57Nearby, if further downward, pay attention53.5-54Interval support,4Looking at the hourly trend, the current price has fallen below the medium track, with the top61.3附近双顶阻力，技术指标均处于处于空头，