Li Juxin:3.30黄金行情走势分析、黄金多单解套及原油操作...

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　　goldMarket trend analysis

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(3month29day)欧洲交易时段，市场情绪略有好转，欧洲股市在很大程度上撇开了亚股尾盘的不安情绪。眼下，对冲基金、大宗交易、欧洲新冠病例增加以及苏伊士运河疏通等消息充斥市场，但对疫苗接种以及美国3万亿美元基建计划的乐观情绪仍支撑市场风险人气，美元基本持稳，现货黄金持续走低失守1710美元。即使债券收益率的升势出现了停顿，这对零收益的黄金也几乎没有提供支撑。越来越明显的是，强势美元是金价下跌背后的罪魁祸首。美国疫苗方面取得令人鼓舞的进展，激发了人们对美国经济更快复苏的希望，从而提振了人们对美元的兴趣。如果美元在未来一周延续涨势，这可能会拖累金价走低。如果欧洲的新冠肺炎相关担忧加剧了风险规避，金价仍可能反弹。

　　黄金技术面：目前市场基本面方面还是比较混乱的，前期美国债价格一直是在下跌，市场避险资金出逃刺激黄金下跌，但是避险资金的出逃也并没有去选择进入股市，这代表了市场情绪也是在处于观望之中，鉴于目前全球的格局依然不稳定的情况下，我们目前是倾向于去看多黄金的，短期内关注下1702-1698附近的得失去择机做多，若是直接跌破区间内那么则会去关注下1700附近的关口得失，若是能够朝上运行目标是看1760-1780附近。从黄金1H周期图可以看出，上周五黄金波动幅度较小，主要维持在1721to1736Range fluctuations, from a morphological perspective, indicate that gold is still in the internal consolidation of the triangle region, indicating that there is no clear direction for gold and it can continue to operate in a volatile manner. fromMACDAs can be seen from the indicators,DIFFas well asDEALine in0轴偏上方双线有靠拢死叉迹象，说明黄金短期有往下回调需求支撑；综合分析，操作上价格控盘李钜鑫建议上方关注1732-1727Resistance, pay attention below1702-1698Support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

　　原油消息面解析：随着新冠感染率上升以及油价逐渐丧失上涨势头，基金经理在上周以去年11月以来的最快速度卖出石油futuresandoption；数据显示，截至3month23日当周，对冲基金和其他货币基金经理卖出了相当于8800万桶石油期货和期权，其中卖出布油5100Ten thousand barrelsNYMEXandICEMeiyou2100万桶；多数抛售是对现有多头头寸的平仓，而不是建立新的空头头寸；当前多头头寸与空头头寸的比例为5.5:1，由于多数基金对油价上涨进行了押注，而空头头寸所剩无几，此时市场更易受到任何持仓行为的影响。

　　原油技术面：原油经过大跌后开启底部调整走势，而且是宽幅震荡走势，从走势上看黄金维持在57-62区间内运行，当前靠近压力位置，原油底部宽幅震荡，基本上一日涨，一日跌的走势，而且走单边行情，今日行情遇阻回调，那么今日单边下跌概率较大，第一支撑是59.4一线，第二支撑就是57.3附近！先看第一支撑59.4！因为随着震荡的进行，震荡的幅度必然会逐渐缩小！所以下跌先看第一支撑位置，如果没有衰弱的迹象则继续看跌至第二支撑57.3附近！综合来看，原油晚间操作上价格控盘李钜鑫建议原油区间震荡运行，高抛低吸操作！守关键压力支撑位置择机进场！综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上李钜鑫nbc1983建议上方短期重点关注62.5-62.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below59.2-59.0Frontline support.

　　

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This article is provided by Li Juxin. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Juxin explains a set online, pays back losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:（GOLD68668）Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.