Tan Xinsheng:3.29黄金走势多空拉锯 操作先区间高空低多对待

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goldInformation analysis:

随着黄金投资者持续逢低买入和逢高卖出，金价上周整个星期都持续在横向盘整，更是出现走低的迹象。现货黄金上周五美盘前呈震荡走势，一度跌至1721附近，美盘后出现反弹，尾盘小幅回落。美元指数上周五小幅下跌，最终收于92.76；10年期美债收益率上周五欧盘后波动较大，尾盘出现较大幅度拉升，最终收于1.679%。美元和美债收益率回跌幅度不高，持续给黄金施加压力。但疫情案例增加和欧洲封锁措施，再加上美联储的宽松政策，正哄抬着避险黄金的价格。金价目前走势尚不清楚，暗示着投资者犹豫不决和即将发生波动。

本周投资者重点关注美国3月的非农数据：本周五公布的美国3月季调后非农就业人口预期录得增加60Ten thousand people, the previous value was an increase37.9万人。失业率则预期从6.20%Descend to6%。周三，美国将先公布3monthADP就业人数，目前市场预期该数据将录得增加40.3Ten thousand people, the previous value was an increase11.710000 people.

另外，本周三美国总统拜登将就经济愿景发表讲话。拜登上周五在首场总统新闻发布会上表示，将会在下周前往匹兹堡的行程中公布更多有关基建刺激法案的细节。本周三还有多位美联储官员的讲话需留意。此外，全球新冠疫情及地缘政治局势也可能会影响金价走势。

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Gold market analysis:

现货黄金上周五触底反弹维持区间震荡，周五早间金价小幅上探1729一线后扩大短线回落幅度最低触及1723一线，进入下午盘金价反弹1729附近，此后一度维持1725-1729区域窄幅整理。欧盘开盘金价再次小幅走高触及1732一线后再度走低，美盘开盘前夕金价加速下探1721一线形成短线低点快速反转表现，美盘交易时间金价维持震荡走高，最高触及1736附近，周六凌晨金价震荡回落小幅回踩1730一线，整体金价维持区间走势并未表现出明显摆脱震荡动能，日线录得实体柱较小阳线。

当前金价仍处于日线移动平均线技术指标支撑压力位价格区间，短期回踩日线技术指标支撑位表现积极，整体日现移动平均线呈收窄形态，维持较长周期偏空震荡走势，短期区间改变仍将面临有效性较强技术指标支撑压力位影响。小时线显示，短期金价低点反弹震荡走高，再度企稳于小时线技术指标支撑位价格上方，整体小时线技术指标呈粘合收窄形态，短期技术指标维持偏震荡趋势指引形态，并未表现出明显单边延续动能。

黄金已经持续震荡两周时间，到目前依旧没有破位震荡区间的迹象。本周一黄金上方阻力先关注1736-1740Region, followed by1745；下方先关注1721-1724Regional support, followed by1720得失。操作上，周一黄金1745-1720区间未破前进行高空低多布局，一旦确认突破1720-1745区间，就可以顺势跟进一波趋势。另外，震荡过程中难免出现虚破的情况，对于这种走势，判断破位的标准就是突破后的回踩或者反弹不再进入此震荡区间内，否则就不是有效突破！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1Gold Callback1721-1724Multiple orders placed near the area, stop loss1718Next, let's take a look at the target first1732-1736Area, look up1740-1745Area, break hold

2Gold rebound1736-1740Lay out empty orders near the area and stop losses1745Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1732-1724-1721Area, break hold

Full day real-time online guidance WeChat:SCLC415】This article was written and released by Tan Xinsheng. Please indicate the source for reprinting. Because of the delay of network push and the timeliness of sending documents, the above content belongs to personal analysis. Real time market risk control needs to be flexible to deal with, and eliminate the risk of carrying orders. The content is only for reference. Investors should bear their own operational risk accordingly!

As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!