Xie Hongyuan:3.26-3.27黄金收官之战,黄金行情趋势操作建议

Friday（3month26Asian period, spotgold小幅几乎持稳，交投于1727Nearby. Thursday（3month25day)金价冲高回落，小幅收跌0.45%，因美债收益率小幅上扬，美元触及四个月高位，华尔街三大stock market index也都录得上涨，这些因素削弱了无收益黄金的吸引力。另外，初请数据及鲍威尔略带鹰派的发言也打击了金价。不过由于世界重要航道苏伊士运河仍处于瘫痪状态，且欧洲疫情再度爆发，市场避险情绪为金价提供部分上涨动能。劳工部周四公布的数据显示，在常规的州失业救济计划中，随着企业重新开门营业和疫苗接种资格范围扩大，企业裁员情况正出现缓和。这是新冠疫情开始以来首次申请失业救济人数首次降到70万人以下。由于交易者寻求明确的方向信号，金价一直停留在每盎司1730美元左右的横向交易区间内。过去几个月来，各国央行对经济注入大量流动性，支撑了黄金牛市理论，但不确定性仍可能转瞬就到，因为股市任何重大修正都可能触发黄金的新反弹。另一方面，通胀和紧缩都是令黄金市场担忧的两大词汇。

国际黄金技术面：周四价格整体偏震荡回弹，连续多次测压5、10Daily line1735But in the end, it did not make it to the station. The daily line received a small yang, and in terms of daily structure, although the yang line was closed yesterday, it did not make it to the station5、10Above the daily line, it is still near the pressure of the medium rail. Currently, the market is trading within the middle layer of the moving average. According to the technical structure, although its performance is relatively strong, there is no effective rebound momentum, making it difficult to get rid of the overall weak situation. The smooth downward trend of the medium rail has laid the foundation for a decline. The technical indicators of the daily lineKDJThree line bonding downwards,MACD动能缩减，价格有进一步下行趋势

from4From an hourly perspective, the current price trading is near the middle track, with signs of downward development in the moving average oil, with the Bollinger band facing downwards and upward1740Becoming a key resistance during the day, with attention below1720Short term support, currently gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations. Can we take a new direction and pay attention to the situation of range breaking, technical indicatorsKDJThree line bonding upwards,MACD绿色动能柱缩减。

操作建议上谢鸿远个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1740-1745Frontline resistance, focus on below1720-1715Frontline support.

crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡；上一交易日油价大跌，尽管布林线下轨再次给油价提供支撑，但多头的信心已经遭到极大的打击，尤其是短线下行趋势线的压制仍在，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，需要提防油价震荡下破布林线下轨支撑的可能性，目前布林线下轨支撑在57.15附近，若下破该支撑，则油价偏向在后市跌向54.84附近，这是33.64-67.98Upward trend38.2%回撤位。上方初步阻力参考60整数关口，下行趋势线和10Daily moving average resistance61.30附近，布林线中轨阻力在62.30附近，若能收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上谢鸿远个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注61.7-62.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below58.0-57.5Frontline support.