3.26gold1720-1745Large and violent oscillations,WPerfectly unraveling the market trend

　　goldMarket trend analysis

　　黄金消息面解析：现货黄金小幅下跌，跌幅0.27%，美国至3month20Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week68.4万人，为至2020year3month14日当周以来新低，四季度GDP终值上修至4.3%，数据公布后，黄金创出日内新低。另外，美元上涨也拖累金价下跌。对黄金市场而言，基本面仍然很重要，而基本面并没有出现什么改变。10年期国债收益率的表现并不能预测美国经济走强，投资者们需要更谨慎一些。“黄金的一大问题在于似乎在于有两大阵营的看法，一群人对欧洲新的防疫封锁感到忧心.另一群人则是非常乐观看待经济前景。

　　黄金技术面：金价继续承压于上方趋势线一带，行情陷入横盘，多空双方势均力敌，不过随着今明两天重要数据的到来，行情有望迎来区间突破。从黄金1H周期图来看，黄金目前构建的趋势为震荡下行修正，目前价格波动在下行区间通道的上轨压力附近，该位置同时为前下跌K线位置，大概率将对价格产生一定的承压，从RSI技术指标上看，价格运行中轴修复，形态有修正作用，从K线组合形态上看，行情平稳运行，自前期三角形空间打破形成目前震荡下行空间，表明该位置存在多空博弈，随着低点开始不断上移，高点降低的下降形态，大概率行情将在震荡修复之后或将大概率向上突破；黄金日线收看涨刺透形态，但价格处于震荡区域，指示意义不大。4小时周期价格重回1738美元压力位，且试探有效。形态上有构筑复合头肩顶的可能。李潇翰建议关注上方1750-1755美元区域的压力和下方1720-1725美元区域的支撑。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

　　原油消息面解析：美油大跌，跌幅3.42%，因随着欧洲实行新的抗疫封锁举措，燃料需求疑虑浮现。隔夜油价上涨，因之前一艘巨型集装箱船在苏伊士运河搁浅，人们担心这一事件可能导致原油运输受阻。李潇翰认为“有(苏伊士运河阻塞和美国需求)这么多的因素，实在无法缓解本周稍早提出的需求担忧问题。尽管焦点在欧洲，但印度和巴西等发展中经济体的新冠病例数也在上升，发展中经济体对石油需求能否持续成长至关重要。”业内消息人士表示，全球多地实施新一轮封锁措施可能会打乱石油输出国组织(OPEC)和其盟友降低减产力度的计划，此前随着今年早些时候油价稳步上涨，产油国们一度希望放松减产。

　　原油技术面：原油昨日守住前一日低点开盘整理启稳，强势收复前一日部分失地，最高一度触及61.30.And the daily closing is at a high level, and today's opening is also at a neutral high position. The daily trend is bullish and bearish, but this pattern appears at a high level, not a low level. If it appears at a low level, it is easy to stop falling and reverse. And appearing at a high level can only indicate that the short term is accompanied by a sawing path. It is not simply a weak unilateral decline. There may be a correction for oscillations today. Pay attention to the previous high points of the falling platform above62.0Due to the significant rebound yesterday, we will first make a comeback in the short term today, but we need to pay attention to whether the daily trend can recover. The market can only fall again after closing down the next day, otherwise it will experience short-term fluctuations.4小时一波连阳式反弹，连阳后伴随小阴线回踩确认，特别是在震荡行情中，在连阳之后，阴阳循环是常态。故操作上李潇翰建议上方阻力关注61.2-61First line, support attention from below58.2-57.2Frontline. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Li Xiaohan to learn about the latest market situation. The specific entry points for order making strategies are subject to the guidance of the actual market! Li Xiaohan's WeChat:lxhq281。