Tan Xinsheng:3.24黄金无惧强势美指反弹 晚间操作策略安排

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goldInformation analysis:

Wednesday(3month24day)，国际金价上涨，美国公债收益率刷新逾一周低位至1.587%，金价摆脱强势美元的影响。之前美联储主席鲍威尔让国会放心，通胀不会失控，美元随后走强，现货黄金回落1724后小幅反弹并突破1730关口，金价最高至1734Nearby, currently trading at1731Near.

美债收益率回落，给金价提供支撑；另一方面，美联储发出的低利率信号和进一步财政刺激的可能性限制了金价跌幅，欧洲方面的新增病例数再次攀升，欧洲复苏将再次受到打击。德国、法国和意大利正在扩大防疫限制措施。同时印度新冠病例数正在蹿升，疫情对经济复苏再度构成威胁，这可能会进一步支撑金价。但美元守在两周高点附近，美联储官员出现2022年加息的言论，短线金价重回跌势的可能性仍未完全排除。

本交易日关注美国2月耐用品订单月率、鲍威尔和耶伦周三22:00将出席参议院银行业委员会听证会，其证词讲稿与周二的一致。此外美联储官员巴尔金、威廉姆斯以及戴利都将发表讲话，卡普兰最新发言异常鹰派，可留意其他官员对加息的态度。

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Gold market analysis:

技术面上的黄金，跟上周相似的，周初表现比较平淡，那么较大行情的波动就会留在后半周，而且形态尚未选择，这是本周的重点，形态选择出结果，后续的行情可以参考形态做一波短期的行情跟随。而我们选择以四小时布林带形态作为短期的行情方向指引，形态的变化将指引一波短期的行情方向。

形态开口，以生命线（1735）作为多空主导权分界线看行情的进一步倾斜，形态收窄，则围绕布林带上下轨的区间（1725-1745）进行运行修正。同时配合双线区间进行运行，本周周一周二均是反弹确定双线上轨压力，然后承压回落下探的，现在仍是处于双线区间1742-1722区间内，仍是保持这个区间内运行，直接行情破位现有的区间，就确认为四小时形态也将开口，然后就参考开口的对待即可。

亚市先跌后涨，欧盘很关键，想要继续破低，欧盘必须跌，欧盘没有跌，则选择权又交给美盘了，而且还是昨晚的那个问题，价格下去（或上去了），形态没有变化（打开），意味着震荡依旧，只是围绕区间快速来回跑而已。

对于今日做空的机会，还是必须得等待前面两天反弹确定的双线上轨压力1740-1742范围，然后防守布林带上轨1745区域，以此作为压力看承压回落。而下方支撑继续重合1725-1723区域，欧盘能够直接跌破，则美盘高空继续看跌，欧盘跌不破，金价就还会去找1740-1742Area.

因此，在亚市先跌后涨破高点的情况下，欧盘防守低点，先给出多单计划，保持震荡对待，等待反弹确定双线上轨压力再参与空单计划，现在多单已经进场，继续持有即可。思路如此，若是破位放量，则后续需要做的便是跟随参与即可，震荡中等待选择。

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1、黄金持有1727-1728Multiple orders nearby, stop loss1720Next, let's take a look at the target first1734-1740/42Area, break hold

2、若黄金反弹1740-1742区域附近受阻布局空单，止损1745On, target1734-1730-1727Near the area, take a look down1725-1720Area, break hold

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As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!