Chen Yibo:3.24黄金还会跌吗？黄金白银TD行情分析操作建议...

=====goods in stockgoldMarket trend analysis=====



Tuesday(3month23day)，美元指数刷新近两周高位92.186，现货黄金早盘一度跌逾0.4%，但美债收益率回落限制了金价下行空间。欧洲出台新的抗疫封锁措施使得投资人态度谨慎。投资者关注美国最高决策层即将发表的新言论，以研判他们将容许美国公债收益率升至多高。10年期美债收益率在上周触及近14Month high1.752%后回落，令美元涨势受限，并阻止了黄金价格快速走低。但美债收益率重新走强是大概率事件，市场需要试图找出，让美联储感到痛苦的收益率水平在哪。美元指数本季度以来已上涨近2.4%，这是因为美国迅速推进新冠疫苗接种，以及拜登政府的1.9万亿美元刺激措施料提振该国经济增长，帮助推高了美国公债收益率，吸引投资者买入美元。然而美元指数涨势并未突破近期高点92.506，投资者静候美国政策制定者的评论，据以形成对美元中期展望的看法。



　　黄金从技术面看，金价周一面临看空压力，并一度跌破1734.00dollar/盎司水平。陈亦博认为，只要金价维持在1725dollar/盎司支撑上方，看涨预期才有效，下一目标位于1750dollar/盎司，预计1725.00dollar/Ounces and1750dollar/盎司将分别对金价构成短期支撑和阻力。黄金日线空头趋势不变（目前只有3-4个交易日的下跌行情0，小时级别金价正在形成高点，上升趋势通道将逐步形成，黄金转为高位震荡，4小时线显示，金价仍维稳于整体短周期技术指标支撑位价格上方，短线回落技术指标支撑位影线积极。关注短线走高延续，短线仍较难摆脱震荡走势。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上陈亦博建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support.

Analysis of Silver Market:



At that time, the market could be said to be weak based on whether it should rise or not, and strong based on whether it should fall or not. The continuation trend and indicator passivation are considered strong, while the reactionary trend is considered strong when the distance is short in space or time. The basic skill is to distinguish between strong and weak, as well as the continuity of strength. Distinguish the strength as one and the trend as two. Strong to the vertex will turn, and turning requires spatial or temporal expression. But the price arrived5313After the first line, there was a suppression on the hourly chart, so this is also the reason for the early decline, and if the daily chart wants to strengthen again, it must break through strongly5350Here, and close above, otherwise there will be another downward test in the market5180The probability of the first line, which happens to be the bottom line of the hour chart channel, so this week's focus is on the upward direction5350Suppression, Down5180The support of this range is very considerable in terms of operating back and forth to grasp profits.