Chen Yibo:3.23Gold and SilverTD震荡，最新行情走势操作建议

goldMessage surface parsing:



Monday（3month22日）现货黄金震荡走弱，回落至1740关口下方，因美债收益率持续上涨，增加了持有黄金的机会成本，而且美元指数也小幅上涨，逼近逾一周高位；技术面方面，金价受到布林线中轨压制，短线面临重回跌势的风险。上周五（3month19日）金价小幅上涨0.51%，因美国国债收益率经前一交易日飙升后回稳，且通胀忧虑和本周股市的不安情绪给予黄金支撑力。另外，数据显示全球最大的黄金ETF-SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量十连跌后首次增加3.5吨。美债收益率的上涨或仍将成为主要的金价利空因素，如果美联储官员对美债收益率的上涨继续默不作声，可能加大美债空头的抛售。另外，股市上涨也将提振市场风险情绪，打击避险黄金。利多方面，地缘政治的博弈加剧以及拜登政府继续推行刺激计划的进展可能提振黄金的吸引力，欧洲第三波疫情的爆发也可能吸引部分欧洲资金进入金市。本周主要关注四季度GDP终值、2monthPCE物价、美债收益率走势及美联储官员讲话等。日内美联储主席鲍威尔将在21:00发表讲话。本周关注焦点仍然是美债收益率及美联储官员的讲话。



Technical analysis of gold:



On the gold daily line, there has been a multi-party trend, and it is expected to rebound and rise today. On the weekly line, it has been rising for two weeks, belonging to the rebound trend after oversold! Gold rebounded and rose, but the trend was somewhat volatile, with long and short positions repeatedly difficult to continue, increasing the difficulty of operation! From the perspective of gold's trend, every time a new high is reached, it will be suppressed by bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bear!4On the hourly trend, golden steps50Moving average up, multi headed arrangement! The closest pressure position above is1760-1770Within the area! It is expected that this rebound will at least test this pressure area, and if it breaks through, it will rise to1800upper! In case of obstruction, gold will build and consolidate at the bottom! Gold is currently in a bullish upward trend, with the main focus on being as low as possible in operation. After obtaining support from every major negative sell-off, it can continue to be bullish! Follow Above1760-70区域压力！综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上陈亦博建议反弹做空为主，下方关注1720-1722一线支撑。上方短期关注1740-1743一线压制，破位看1750-1755一线重要压制。



Gold Operation Strategy: Rebound1740-1743Short on the first line, stop loss1748.6, Objective1728-1730frontline



　　　　黄金TDTrend analysis:



Monday（3month22Japanese goldt+d承压走低，黄金tdThe latest price for trading is364element/克，早盘美元兑土耳其里拉一度暴涨15%，投资者担心里拉后市的波动可能会威胁到其它金融市场，纷纷涌向美元避险。在经过两个月的下跌之后，金价已经企稳。虽然投资者从避风港转向了风险较高的资产导致金价今年下跌约8%，但其作为通胀对冲工具的角色带来了一定的支撑。债券收益率上升和股市紧张情绪之间的拉锯战还在持续。我们目前预计黄金将在未来几周触底。黄金连续2周反弹，但仍承压于多根均线及处于下行通道中，总体走势偏弱。日线受10日均线支撑，短期均线仍呈金叉，4小时呈震荡上行，综合来看，黄金T+D短线操作思路上建议低多为主，上方关注367-368One line of resistance, pay attention below362-360Frontline support.



SilverTDTrend analysis:



Silvertd日线上周四出现难得的百点中阳拉升，实现一阳穿多线的格局，但周五未能延续强势，而是直接跌开回踩，收阴十字星，在周末消息面影响，周一直接低开低走，下方无均线支撑参考，多头量能减弱，MACD快线拐头向下，即将触及慢线（一旦成型就是日线级别死叉），行情更加利于空头；从4小时来看，早盘低开低走，空头量能释放，完成一阴穿多线，跌破上升通道，60线直接失守，MACD快线加速向下击穿0轴，行情更加利于空头；综合来看，白银T+D短线操作思路上凯盛建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注5380-5430One line of resistance, pay attention below5250-5200Frontline support.