Li Lianying:3.23Will gold continue to rise? Gold and SilverTD晚间最新行情分析...

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Tuesday（3month23日）亚市早盘，现货gold小幅走低，金价现报1734dollar/盎司附近。金价周一走软，美元下跌和美债收益率回落没有给金价带来喘息的机会，而美国股市上涨削弱了金价的吸引力。黄金价格扭转短暂抛盘，跌破1720美元关口后，目前正恢复接近1740美元。早期下跌的驱动因素是技术面，而复苏的驱动因素则是美债收益率的下降。美债回软但美元获得里拉暴跌的支撑，相互抵消金价涨跌影响的请况下，地缘政治战再重返投资者眼前。欧盟、美国、英国和加拿大同日宣布制裁中国官员，推高风险情绪再利好金价复苏，将持续成为指导关键风险驱动的驾驶盘。



　　美油小幅下跌，跌幅0.05%，因市场再度担忧欧洲的封锁措施可能减缓预期中的油品需求复苏步伐。“德国延长封锁以及法国实施部分封锁，继续压制欧洲的消费信心，”李老师认为“现实是我们距离需求全面复苏仍有一段长路，产能创纪录的回撤才是油市的主要支撑。”根据一份提议草案，德国防疫封锁势将持续进入第五个月，因感染率超过了当局所说的医院可负荷水平。尽管欧洲的疫苗问题以及中国crude oil进口步伐的减缓致使原油futures价格周四下跌了7%，但是来自世界各地的数据表明，需求的复苏虽不平衡却依然稳定。市场的不安可能仍有它的理由。意大利重启封锁表明，一旦疫情蔓延加速，市场的任何涨幅很快便会化为乌有。同样，新冠病例增加后，德国的限制措施可能也会再延续四周。然而整个夏季的形势可能会持续好转，通常那也是原油需求的旺季。



Analysis of Gold Market Trend:



　　黄金从日线图看，金价日线上从3month9dayK线形成看涨吞没形态以来，金价开始超跌反弹，直到周四遇阻于上方趋势线回落，不过周四多空之间的博弈相当激烈，但空头仍然稍占上风。金价冲高回落，并失守5Rihe20均线，目前金价支撑位下移至10Daily moving average1724附近。目前指标看，日线MACD指标正动能柱逐步放大，RSIindex50上方。短线来看，金价日线有反弹修正需求。中长线来看，金价的下行压力仍然很大，金价仍未摆脱下行趋势的束缚。从技术上讲，本周金价上涨表明市场底部已经到位，因为日线图上的九周历史下降趋势线已被否定。多头的下个向上目标是让收盘价高于坚固的阻力位1760and1775. Gold comes from4Looking at the hourly chart, the gold price of the Bollinger Bands has once again leveled with three tracks, and the gold price has fallen back to the vicinity of the Bollinger Bands on the upper track. Short term moving averageEMA5AndEMA10The double line has gradually shifted from a bearish arrangement to a bullish one. In terms of indicators,MACDThe negative kinetic energy column of the indicator gradually decreases,RSIIndicator in47Wandering around the location. In the short term, there is a trend of further rebound in gold prices. The current gold price is above the upward trend line, and it is expected that the previous upward trend will continue in the future. However, it should be noted that there are many obstacles above the gold price, and in the near future, the first obstacle above is1740-1745Near the area, followed by1750-1755Area and1760Gateway;If the gold price is hindered during the rebound process, the target for the decline will be the low point1720-1719Region, testing will be conducted after breaking through the overnight low point1700-1676区域附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support.


   -Analysis of Silver Market:



At that time, the market could be said to be weak based on whether it should rise or not, and strong based on whether it should fall or not. The continuation trend and indicator passivation are considered strong, while the reactionary trend is considered strong when the distance is short in space or time. The basic skill is to distinguish between strong and weak, as well as the continuity of strength. Distinguish the strength as one and the trend as two. Strong to the vertex will turn, and turning requires spatial or temporal expression. But the price arrived5313After the first line, there was a suppression on the hourly chart, so this is also the reason for the early decline, and if the daily chart wants to strengthen again, it must break through strongly5350Here, and close above, otherwise there will be another downward test in the market5180The probability of the first line, which happens to be the bottom line of the hour chart channel, so this week's focus is on the upward direction5350Suppression, Down5180The support of this range is very considerable in terms of operating back and forth to grasp profits.


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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying solves a set online, returns losses, and provides real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.