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山高挡不住南来雁,墙高隔住北来风,浪再大挡不住鱼穿水,山再高遮住太阳红,张手挡不住风,扯耳挡不了雨,杀了公鸡,也阻止不了天亮。成功,等于小的亏损,加上大大小小的利润,多次累积。交易之道,守不败之地,攻可赢之敌。金市如战场,资金就是你的士兵,要先胜而后求战,不能先战而后求胜。来到这个市场是为了赚钱,但是这个市场却不是全自动提款机,与鳄共泳有风险,入市捞钱需谨慎。风的方向是由树决定,人的方向是由自已决定,要想赚钱,你必须能容忍和接受横盘的痛苦以及大波动带来的刺激。任何一个市场只能给一个位置,不能给一个未来。下对注,赢一次;跟对人,赢一世,在市场中不在于活得长与短,而在于顿悟的早与晚,读万卷书不如行千里路,行千里路不如阅人无数,阅人无数不如名师指路,名师指导不如跟着王添宝的脚步,经师易得,人师难求。聪明的人看得懂,精明的人看得准,高明的人看得远。
goldLatest Market Analysis
Analysis of Gold News: Monday(3month22日)美元指数小幅下跌,受美债收益率大跌拖累。美元兑日元小幅下跌,土耳其总统撤换央行行长的做法引发了新兴市场汇市的连锁反应,并令避险日元重新因为资金涌入得到买需。现货黄金小幅下跌,新兴市场连续加息引发黄金多头的恐慌情绪。在3month11日美国通过了高达1.9万亿美元的经济刺激法案之后,多个经济体已无法忍受美元引发的本国货币贬值和恶性通胀,宣布加息。3month17日,巴西加息;3month18日,土耳其加息,3month19日,俄罗斯加息。里士满联储行长托马斯-BalginThomasBarkin当地时间周日晚间表示,美国经济困难正处于从新冠病毒大流行引发的衰退中“完全复苏的边缘”。他说,在这种支持下,经济在很大程度上已经复苏,最近颁布的1.9万亿美元疫情救助计划推动了家庭收入和储蓄的激增,有助于抵消仍然严重的失业。我对经济完全复苏抱有希望。
黄金技术面分析:日线图上,金价在1745The resistance platform is obstructed3Trading days, although the highest has touched1755But the final closing price is1745Below, there is a short-term resistance platform for the daily line. Due to the long-term downward structure in the early stage, gold prices have been hindered and fluctuated during this rebound, or a pullback is normal. Breaking through resistance is only a matter of time. What needs to be concerned about is whether the market will experience a deep pullback. Just pay attention to this issue, last week's low point1718Will the entity fall below? Therefore, for the daily line, all pullbacks before breaking at this position are given a long opportunity, and the daily long position can be referred to1725Up and down, this position is the top to bottom transition point of the daily upward structure. The daily gold price was indexed by Xiaoyang, reducing the deep retreat of gold prices to1700The nearby risks have laid the foundation for adjusting the daily range fluctuations, while in terms of resistance1854Since the decline38.2%1744.82The physical situation of breaking the limit, and the target for further increase after breaking the limit is50%Callback bit1765frontline.
Gold4Hours from1815The high point forms a local top downward trend, and after correcting for a single positive rebound during the continuous negative downward trend, the continuous negative trend is repeated. On Friday, there was almost no rebound in the extremely weak downward trend, and the path of consolidation while falling was carried out, with very little room for rebound and breaking through again1750Afterwards, this level is the critical point of strength and weakness. From the closing position, it has already moved a long distance and may lead to a wave of early falls. In response to the extremely weak unilateral downward trend, only by actively opening and directly entering the short position can we avoid short positions.
Gold from1From an hourly perspective, the recent low and high points of gold prices have continuously moved up slightly, forming an upward wedge shape. It is not difficult to see that the range of gold prices is gradually narrowing inward. Before the channel breaks, short-term operations can be carried out around this channel, and the upward trend line at the lower edge of the channel supports the position1730Nearby, pay attention to the gains and losses of this position during the day. This trend line has been rising since the bottom of this time and is of great significance. It is also the first entry position to consider for multiple short-term orders. In the short term, the key focus that needs to be supported is1718,和日线一样,上周的低点位置,由于短线是高点低点上移的震荡上涨格局,所以前一次的低点是在金价这段上涨中不能跌破的位置,一旦跌破,此格局将遭到破坏,而当高点不再创新高,低点反创新低的时候,也是意味着短线的反弹结束的时候。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上王添宝建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1725Frontline support
crude oilLatest Market Analysis
原油消息面解析:美油小幅下跌,因市场再度担忧欧洲的封锁措施可能减缓预期中的油品需求复苏步伐。美油小幅下跌,现报61.41dollar/Ounces, decline0.05%,因市场再度担忧欧洲的封锁措施可能减缓预期中的油品需求复苏步伐。这个受到疫情最严重冲击的行业之一眼下正在一步步回归正常,世界重新动起来的各种迹象从中可见一斑。汽油、柴油、航油的消费水平现已达到了一年多来的最高水平。市场的不安可能仍有它的理由,德国延长封锁以及法国实施部分封锁,继续压制欧洲的消费信心,现实是我们距离需求全面复苏仍有一段长路,产能创纪录的回撤才是油市的主要支撑。根据一份提议草案,德国防疫封锁势将持续进入第五个月,因感染率超过了当局所说的医院可负荷水平。美国总统拜登也刚刚签署了规模1.9万亿美元的抗疫救助计划,致使分析师们大幅上调了经济增长预期。得益于经济的复苏和刺激和疫苗接种计划的进展,西方世界的原油需求势将出现反弹,欧洲疫苗方面出现的问题难以改变经济的前景。
原油技术面分析:原油短线走势变动较大,中线略微偏向空头。从日线上来看,单边上涨后震荡筑顶;MACDHigh dead cross,KDJ高位死叉,王添宝认为收复21Daily moving average63.07前,后市偏向震荡下行,初步支撑在60整数关口附近,进一步支撑在55Daily moving average58.01Nearby,2month9Daily low point support at57.27附近,若失守该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。由于之前,油价在55日均线附近获得支撑,短线超跌之后展开反弹,如果油价收复21Daily moving average63.01附近阻力,则削弱短线看空信号;强阻力在上周四高点64.88附近。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上王添宝建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注62.0-62.5One line of resistance, pay attention below60.3-59.8Frontline support.
本文由王添宝分析师独家原创,本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处
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