Wang Tianbao3.22Analysis of International Gold Market, Suggestions and Actions for Long Short Operations of Futures Crude Oil...

Successful investors are good at independent thinking and have unique insights. However, this unique insight does not fall from the world or emerge from the underground. It comes from the market and practice. The actual trend of the market is truly accurate and will not change according to people's wishes. In my practice, I often remind myself to keep my investment philosophy and principles as simple as possible. Successful investment is a profit system that keeps repeating, simplifying, and doing things repeatedly. Once things are simple, they become clear, and the constraints on my investment behavior become effective.

　　goldMessage surface parsing:

Spot gold closed on Friday1745.23USD, up0.51%Last week's surge1.07%, creating1For the first time since January, it rose for two consecutive weeks. The fluctuation of stock market and the return rate of treasury bond bonds eased the pressure on the gold price from the high of the day. The trend of the US dollar was unstable, and investors were also evaluating the demand of the market for gold as an inflation hedge tool. After two months of decline, gold prices have stabilized. Commerzbank AG stated that although investors have shifted from safe havens to riskier assets, gold prices have fallen by approximately8%However, its role as an inflation hedge tool has brought some support. Rising bond yields(Causing pressure on gold)And the tension in the stock market(Tends to support gold prices)The tug of war between them is still ongoing.

Technical analysis of gold:

On the gold daily line, there has been a multi-party trend, and it is expected to rebound and rise today. On the weekly line, it has been rising for two weeks, belonging to the rebound trend after oversold! Gold rebounded and rose, but the trend was somewhat volatile, with long and short positions repeatedly difficult to continue, increasing the difficulty of operation! From the perspective of gold's trend, every time a new high is reached, it will be suppressed by bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bearish bear!4On the hourly trend, golden steps50Moving average up, multi headed arrangement! The closest pressure position above is1760-1770Within the area! It is expected that this rebound will at least test this pressure area, and if it breaks through, it will rise to1800upper! In case of obstruction, gold will build and consolidate at the bottom! Gold is currently in a bullish upward trend, with the main focus on being as low as possible in operation. After obtaining support from every major negative sell-off, it can continue to be bullish! Follow Above1760-70Regional pressure! Overall, in terms of the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market, Wang Tianbao suggests that a pullback should be given priority to long selling, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with a focus on the above1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1734-1728Frontline support.

Gold and SilverTDMarket trend analysis:

GoldTDYesterday, gold surged and fell back to370The turning point of the bullish market is under pressure and has retreated, with low opening and low moving tests in the late trading session363Regional Daily LineMa10The moving average gained support and rebounded, while the daily line closed in a bearish manner,KLine running onMa5/10Above the moving average,MaThe golden fork is pointing upwards,macdThe golden fork runs, and the price of gold is360The upward trend remains more volatile, but we still need to pay attention to the international gold trend. It is not expected that there will be a significant fluctuation today360-370High selling and low slag within the interval. Four hours, gold price breaks through the middle trackKThe line rebounded from the downward shadow and resumed its position on the middle track, running in the upward channel. Bling slightly closed,MaLeveling of the moving average,macdThe gold fork has shrunk, and short-term gold prices have encountered obstacles in rising, but the overall volatility is relatively high, maintaining high selling and low slag operations before breaking the level. Wang Tianbao suggests rebounding in operation368/370Short selling, stop loss372.5, look at the goal363Below362/360Long, stop loss357, look at the goal366/368。

SilverTDSilver also rose and fell yesterday5560Under pressure, in the late trading session, due to the international decline in silver, silver opened automatically at a low price5400Nearby support rebounded, with the daily line under pressure on the mid rail, and prices returning to5500Below,MaKeep the golden fork open,macdThe golden cross runs, and the short-term trend is still in a volatile rebound trend. However, there is insufficient momentum, so pay attention to itMa10average5400Gate support, follow in sequence5350/5300Support is a volatile market in the short term, with a range defined as5300-5500and5200-5600Inside. Four hours later, silver gained support and stopped its decline on the Bollinger track,KThe line maintains the shape of the head, shoulders, and floor,MaMulti head arrangement,macdThe gold fork runs but the red column shrinks, indicating that the short-term silver rebound is weak and there is a risk of a pullback, with a focus on Bollinger's downtrend5300Support gains and losses. Suggest a rebound5480/5500Short selling, stop loss5530, look at the goal5380/5350Below5300Regional long, stop loss5250, look at the goal5430/5480；

Beautycrude oilMarket trend analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Last Friday（3month19The rebound in oil prices in Japan is due to increased concerns about the increase in confirmed cases of European viruses and the strengthening of the US dollar. French official local time18On the th, it was announced that in order to curb the worsening of the pneumonia epidemic, Paris and other places will implement a "lockdown" for at least four weeks. A large area of Italy has been upgraded to a red area starting from Monday this week. The blockade by France and Italy dealt a fatal blow to the entire demand recovery theme that had pushed up prices. Due to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's blind eye to the rise in US bond yields, bond market bears are gathering crazily. US Bond Yield Zhou Sichuang14A new high was reached last month, which boosted the US dollar and pressured oil prices to fall.

Technical analysis of crude oil: From a daily perspective, crude oil prices have fallen below the medium track63After that, the adjustment space accelerated to decline. Although the support near the lower track rebounded, the range was small, and the daily line finally closed a super large negative line. The physical space of the negative line was close to giving up the rebound space about a month ago. The short positions of various indicators were arranged. The daily line further looked at the adjustment, and the lower part focused on the lower track58.2Nearby support, if it falls below this support again, it will increase the risk of bearish midline, otherwise it will see a rebound, while the upper mid track63The first line can be seen as a key suppression of the mid-term market. From a four hour perspective, crude oil prices have seen a double negative decline and further extension after breaking the downward trajectory. The short-term space is released relatively quickly, and the indicators cannot keep up with the decline speed. Today, it is expected to undergo a wave of rebound correction, driving the moving average indicator to turn downward and continue to decline again at the beginning of this week. Therefore, we cannot chase short excessively today. To see a decline, we must wait until the rebound before choosing a high altitude. Please pay attention from aboveMA5Short term moving average62.5Suppress, pay attention to yesterday's low point below58.2Support. Overall, Wang Tianbao's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of crude oil today is to focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback and being long, with a focus on short-term operations above62.5-63.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below59.5-59.0Frontline support.

Personal feedback on making orders:

　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.

　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.

　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.

　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.

　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.

This article was originally submitted by Wang Tianbao