本周市场焦点主要是美联储利率决议,利率决议公布之后,goldSoaring25USD, Breakthrough1640美元附近阻力位压制,打开上行空间,上方压力位关注1760美元附近。目前市场看多黄金意愿有所增强,黄金ETF持仓数据显示,本周五黄金RTFIncrease in position3.5吨,这距离上次出现增持,已经过去了接近三周时间。不过市场能否持续增持犹未可知,数据显示,从今年1月份至今,黄金ETF一共仅仅出现了5次不连续的增持情况,其他时间ETF持仓数据均处于减持状况,因此不可过分乐观。
黄金月线依旧是空头趋势没有改变,只是目前月线蜡烛图偏离均线,所以短周期才会有反弹趋势。本月月线均线MA5Suppress in1800,而均线MA10放平压制在1849一线。结合月线的裸“k”斐波拉契回调线组合判断,目前上方阻力分布在1762First line, followed by1832-36一线,最后是1858frontline.综合而言:可大致判定本轮反弹的高点在1800-1830section.
周线目前macdLow dead cross reduction, agility indexstoRepair the hook upwards; And it has been two consecutive weeks with a bullish candlestick, so it is currently judged that the weekly level is starting to rebound. At the same time, because the candlestick chart collection station this week hit the moving averageMA5,所以下周走势一定还是逢低做多为主。目前上方均线MA10And the moving averageMA60Adhesive pressing1786-1790One area, but with the opening of next week's moving averageMA10Continue to move down1775Nearby, while moving averageMA5It will also form short-term support1736。根据周线裸“k”Look, currently1724Becoming a short-term strong support, similarly1762-63成为目前的强制。日线多头比较明显,因为macdBelonging to low level golden cross high-volume operation, agile indicatorsstoAfter the downward correction of the hook, there is a possibility that it will continue to hover near oversold, so the indicator currently shows a bullish trend on the daily line. And the moving averageMA5andMA10也呈现向上移动形成支撑,所以黄金下周是看涨走势。短期黄金压制在均线MA30nearby1762一线,不过随着下周开盘压制位将下移。同样均线支撑也将上学。因此我们下周将是以逢低做多为主。
根据日线裸“k”形态看,目前黄金还在均线1753-1724Within. Stand firm1753价格就会直接冲击1776-1785frontline.4小时目前也比较明显,macd零轴附近死叉向金叉转变,灵动指标sto勾头向上修复,并且蜡烛图在中轨上方运行,而短期均线粘合中轨并且短周期均线MA5向右上方运行,因此4小时是看涨走势。并且4小时裸”k”形态属于符合是头肩底形态,只要价格站上1760并将上涨。
国际黄金操作策略:
①周一早间开盘直接在1737-40Loss1732, look at the goal1751-1760破位持有
②早间在1760附近可以做一次短空,小止损1764, look at the goal1754-1750that will do
③1726-28Loss1722.target30-80dollar
本文由陈鼎昭(官微:cdz885-公众号:陈鼎昭)原创供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对crude oilThere is in-depth research on commodities such as gold and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.