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Chen Yibo:3.19黄金多空不延续,今日行情分析及操作建议

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goldaspect:

  昨日金价走低,刷新本周低点至1719.33dollar/盎司,美元走强、美债收益率飙升打击了黄金的吸引力。不过随着股大跌促使一些避险买盘的出现,帮助抵消了美债收益率上涨带来的压力,令金价得到支撑,现货黄金尾盘较日低反弹17USD, to1736美元附近。美国经济复苏跑赢其他国家的预测推动美元上涨,在周四打击了金价,与此同时,黄金ETFPosition held by2月中旬以来连续减少,创有记录以来最长连降。在出现“市场噪音与某些避险资金流入”的背景下,科技股遭到抛售,黄金价格走高。但美债收益率的上升可能使金价的上涨难以为继。

  昨日黄金欧盘回撤,美盘前期继续下破,那么我们结合前日凌晨的行情可以短暂的判定,昨日的上涨也是受利息决议所引起的报复性洗盘反抽,从形态而言,我们可以把形态分析一下,前期所承压的1740一线也成为了短线内的多空分水岭,日线走势图上看,近期行情多空连续性都比较差,k线依然位于均线系统下方,多头趋势目前站上,50均线继续呈现向下倾斜,没有出现明显的拐头迹象,在黄金四小时可见多头并不强烈。一方面是因为市场基本消化美联储放鸽这一波利好,另一方面,美元强势不利黄金。4hourK线走出头部形态,大阴线下行,刺破中轨支撑。小时线KLine break1747and1744之间遇阻,综合来看,今日关注金价头肩顶形态是否有效,操作上建议更高空低多,上方关注1755-1757dollar/Ounces, support attention below1720-1713dollar/盎司支撑。



Operation suggestions:

 反弹1755-1757When encountering obstacles, look at the target1740-1735,破位下看,损5dollar

    Fallback1715-1713Long nearby, stop loss5USD, target1725-1730Near the area

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