Chen Yibo:3.18黄金最新操作建议和白银走势分析

　　相信近期在市场有博弈的投资者应该都有同样的感觉，在经历过前期暴涨暴跌之后，gold就陷入无休止的震荡，每一次多空都没有延续，在每一次的探底回升都让一些人看到了反转趋势的曙光，可市场是残酷的，一次又一次无情扫掉激进抄底的投资者，每一天我们都在谈论把握趋势做长线，可是每一天都会有散户朋友被所谓的趋势单扫损出局，那么陈亦博在这里明确告诉大家，想抓趋势的红利，就如同吃甘蔗，去掉头尾吃中间段才是明智选择，当下的行情局势并不明朗，我们何必急急忙忙的去抓底，完全可以等待行情走出了区间做出选择，再顺势跟进，市场不缺聪明人，缺的是不贪心的人。



Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:



　　黄金消息面解析：金价周三走高，现货黄金一度涨逾1%, refresh3month1The highest point since the beginning of the day1751.65dollar/盎司，此前美联储官员继续预期基准利率至少在2023年底之前都将接近零，尽管他们上调经济展望以反映出对美国经济复苏的更乐观情绪。美元在联邦公开市场委员会政策声明公布后下跌提振了金价。美联储声明称，复苏步伐放缓之后，经济活动和就业指标最近有所上升，但受疫情影响最严重的行业仍然表现疲弱。美联储并预计今年通货膨胀率的上升将是短暂的秦泽冉表示，在美联储政策决定后，由于美元指数下跌，黄金出现迅速攀升。黄金上周初曾触及九个月低点，今年以来因美国国债收益率劲升和经济增长预期而受到打压。



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从日线上来看，黄金一根大阳柱拉伸至中轨线上方，收线于中轨线上方1744On the first line, as expected, a bald line was recorded in the session and effectively stabilized1740The US dollar barrier, as gold has effectively broken through1740Within the day, gold will continue to focus on the medium track, with a higher probability of stabilizing or trading horizontally at a high level;4小时级别上探布林道上轨处承压回落至中轨附近震荡，短线区间收敛，小时线级别布林道也紧紧收口当中，黄金技术面短期维持一个区间震荡偏上行的走势，今日区间震荡参考1735-1760At the same time1740It can be considered the key point of today's strength and weakness, breaking through in the Asian and European markets1740Gold turns extremely weak,1760It's difficult to continue without breaking the long end! Gold still stabilizes above the middle track of the Bollinger Belt, and the big positive line has clearly stopped its decline. Even if the negative line retreats, it is still above the middle track of the Bollinger Belt. The opening of the Bollinger Belt continues to increase, while tilting upwards,50均线显然变得平缓，下行趋势线被遏制住，大阳线全部位于均线上方，综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上秦泽冉建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1757-1762Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1735-1730Frontline support.



Shanghai Gold2106Trend analysis:



　　昨日沪金同样是区间震荡整理在363-367区间横盘，凌晨美联储会议公布后，沪金跟随国际黄金上涨，刷新高点至368.1区域，当前价格突破日线中轨走强，MaThe golden fork is pointing upwards,macd金叉红柱扩大，说明黄金多头强烈，预计还将延续上涨，重点关注370多空分水岭阻力压制，谨慎追涨，下方关注363-360区域支撑。四小时和小时线，沪金低位盘整后，在消息面刺激下破位上涨，布林向上开口，MaMoving average with multiple heads arranged,macd金叉放量，沪金处于多头强势格局中，早间预计会延续上涨走势，操作上以逢低买入为主。操作上陈亦博建议回撤364Long nearby, stop loss362, look at the goal368/370First sight370Short selling, stop loss372, look at the goal365/363.



　　国际白银，昨日在25.7-26.1区间呈现震荡偏弱走势，盘中多次回撤25.7区域支撑企稳反弹，并在凌晨收消息面影响小幅走强，最高测试26.5区域，于日线中轨承压，K线收阳并吞没前一根阴线，形成“阳包阴”吞没看涨形态，MaKeep the golden fork up,macd死叉缩量快慢线粘合有形成金叉的意思，底背离势能扩大，说明白银短线震荡偏强，关注26.5突破，上方看27.0/27.3Area, follow below26-25.7区域支撑。四小时和小时线，低位盘整后K线形成圆弧底破位拉升，布林向上开口，MaMulti head arrangement,macd金叉势能扩大，说明白银处于多头反弹走势中，操作上保持逢低买入为主。


Shanghai Bank2016Trend analysis:



　　昨日走势下探回升，于5350附近企稳反弹，在凌晨受消息面影响，多头延续少年工作，最高测试5480附近，当前价格站上日线Ma5/10Above the moving average,Ma向上拐头，macd死叉粘合有形成金叉的趋势，说明沪银处于反弹走势中，关注中轨5500关口突破情况，今天白盘预计会延续多头趋势，操作上我们逢低买入为主。四小时和小时线，沪银处于上升三角走势中，当前在回撤5350附近企稳反弹，K线连阳排列，ma向上勾头，macd金叉势能放量，说明白银处于强势反弹走势中，短线建议回撤做为主，下方关注5400、5360支撑。日内操作上陈亦博建议回撤5400/5380Long, stop loss5355, look at the goal5500/5530Test above5550/5560Short selling, stop loss5610, look at the goal5400



Paper Silver:



During the day, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, and silver as a whole fluctuated downward along the short-term moving average. Under the strong pressure of the US dollar index, silver was unable to maintain a strong upward trend, and the market did not break the pressure above5.7Starting to enter the technical callback. fromKFrom the perspective of line technology, there is a decline and engulfment pattern at the hourly level, and a short-term correction is inevitable. Silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a fluctuating downward trend, starting fromKFrom a structural perspective, the current downward trend of the oscillation is still ongoing,KThe line runs on the lower track of the Bollinger belt, and theoretically it also runs in a falling or oscillating structure, with the high point in the figure5.6-5.76Element is pressure,5.1-5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to the early stage5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以陈亦博认为纸白银回踩过后反弹上涨概率较大。白银短线下行趋势较为明显，但随着动能的逐渐释放，低位反弹概率亦较大，操作上依旧低多布局思路为主。


SilverT+DOperation suggestions:



SilverTD5490-5510Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5540, look at the goal5450-5410nearby

SilverTD5320-5350Batch long nearby, stop loss5290, look at the goal5400-5450nearby