Xiao Qiansheng:3.15黄金原油行情趋势解读及精确布局

　　摘要：做投资最怕的莫过于心急，最坏的莫过于冲动。当把分析变成一种任务、把投资变成一种负担，就已经偏离了路线。做投资一定要首先树立正确的投资理念，这是一切的根源，其次做好仓位资金管理，重要的保持良好的心态，赚了不要骄傲，亏了不要气馁，另外辅以扎实的技术功底；在正确的道路指引走下去，以道驭术，透过表象看本质，从K线背后体会多空博弈，主力的搏杀较量，跟随市场的脚步，尊重市场，敬畏市场，跟随市场。你才有可能实现长期、稳定的盈利，投资路上你不仅能赚钱，而且还会收获颇多，轻松才能投资，快乐才可以生活。如果你的能力不足以支撑你现在的现状，那么你就需要一位伯乐帮你指点迷津，需要一位良师助你操控大局，一次选择，可能就是你的一次转折！你信任我，我拿实力来证明！

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　　　　黄金行情走势分析；

Monday(3month15day)现货黄金窄幅震荡，美国的1.9The trillion yuan stimulus plan provides support for gold prices, but the vaccination and the general rise in the stock market also dampen gold's safe haven sentiment. Gold prices remain volatile in the short term, and the market is generally concerned about this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. At present, the US dollar and the stock market may still lean towards bulls this week, which is unfavorable for gold prices. Last Friday's producer price index still indicates potential inflationary pressure in the United States, which may further pressure the trend of gold prices this week. This week's focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and most economists expect the Fed to2023Annual interest rate hike50个基点。通胀的上涨可能引发市场对美联储提前收紧货币政策的担忧，因此对黄金价格有打压作用。分析师表示，现在卖空黄金是危险的，同时，做多黄金也没有好处。本周将迎来美联储利率决议在内的三大央行的利率决议，以及美国2月“恐怖数据”零售销售及初请失业金等重要数据，投资者需密切关注。

　　黄金从技术面看，日线级别，相对低位震荡；KDJGolden fork,MACDGolden fork,5Daily moving average10日均线，短线略微偏向多头，继续关注近两周高点1740Resistance and20日均线阻力，目前20Daily moving average resistance1746.32dollar/盎司附近，若能顶破该阻力，则有望进一步涨向2month19Daily low point1760附近。然后是2month24Daily low point1783附近阻力和1800关口附近阻力，55The daily moving average resistance is currently at1816.44Nearby2month23日高点）。由于1740附近阻力还比较强，金价连续两个交易日上冲受阻，仍需要提防金价重回跌势的风险，目前10The daily moving average is supported by1714.68Nearby, strongly supported1700关口附近，若下破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号。4小时级别震荡；留意布林线轨道1687-1744Regional breakthrough situation. at presentKDJSlight golden cross,MACD死叉初步被破坏，金价有望试探布林线上轨1744附近阻力，但进一步上破的可能性还不大。下方留意布林线中轨1715.51附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则增加短线下行风险。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上萧乾升建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1738-1743Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1710一线支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加萧乾升官微：xqs59168Obtain guidance slots.

　　　期货美原油行情走势分析：

Analysis of crude oil news: Last Friday（3month12In the US market, US Oil fell slightly, with current reports65.85dollar/Barrel, decline0.26%The sharp rise in the US dollar has dragged down oil prices, but Biden's signing of the stimulus bill further boosted confidence in the oil market, keeping oil prices at high levels.OPEC+At the beginning of this month, it was agreed to extend most of the oil production cuts to4This has also boosted popularity. Investors have been investing in commodities such as oil, and they expect that as the global economy grows and vaccination coverage expands, more people can travel this summer, and oil demand will rebound in the second half of the year.FGEIn a report, analysts said, "Assuming the vaccination program is successful, we expect the backlog of demand for gasoline to be released during the peak driving season in the United States and Europe this summer

According to the technical data of crude oil, it fluctuates at high levels after a unilateral rise;MACDHigh position bonding after top deviation,KDJBonding, slightly long spread of the moving average, with significant short-term fluctuations, and increasingly obvious signs of high volatility in small cycles. The possibility of forming an upward three segment structure in daily cycles is high. Pay attention to Friday high above66.20Nearby resistance, if it is breached, there is a possibility of retesting recent highs67.98Nearby resistance. Given thatMACDTop deviation signal,KThe signal at the top of the "black cloud covering the top" at the high line is still there, and the possibility of oil prices fluctuating and reaching the top is also relatively high. On Friday, crude oil prices slightly declined, mainly affected by the rebound in the US dollar, and in the short term4Looking at the hourly trend, prices have continuously retreated, while technical indicatorsKDJEvidence of dead fork in adhesive oil, preliminary support below64.8-65Nearby, if there is a break down, continue to focus on this week's low point63关口支撑。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上萧乾升建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注67.0-67.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below65.3-64.8一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者萧乾升WeiXinNumber（xqs59168）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!

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