Wang Tianbao3.11Will gold continue to rise and fall? Attach Gold Long Short Strategy

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　　3month11Daily, spotgoldSlightly increased as US bond yields fell after the release of sluggish inflation data, and Biden1.9The trillions of dollars stimulus bill was successfully passed in the House of Representatives. In addition, Biden will soon launch a larger infrastructure plan, which is expected to bring new momentum to the gold price. But institutions are concerned that large-scale rescue funds will drive up the stock market, which will weaken the demand for safe haven. Short term gold prices may have successfully bottomed out and may rebound further within the day. However, it is not ruled out that a second bottoming may occur, and there is still significant upward resistance. Pay attention to the European Bank resolution and the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits within the day, and the initial claims data is expected to be positive for gold.

　　crude oilSlightly up, trading in65Nearby. Wednesday's US Oil Rise1.36%to64.69dollar/Barrel, due to accelerated vaccine promotion, optimistic global economic recovery estimates, and a significant decline in US gasoline inventory, but last month's surge in crude oil inventory after a cold wave in Texas limited the increase in oil prices. In addition, the passing of the Biden stimulus bill through Congress has also boosted the confidence of oil market bulls. However, Saudi Arabia2The monthly reduction in production is only60Ten thousand barrels, which limits the further increase in oil prices. The short-term oil price has slightly slowed down and may undergo high level consolidation. Follow within the dayOPECPublish monthly crude oil market report.

Analysis of Gold Trends

From a daily perspective, gold once again ended in a small positive on Tuesday, while the daily trend bottomed out5The daily moving average has steadily rebounded, and gold prices are currently stable10Daily moving average, ending with a short shadow bar, plusKDJThe upward opening of the golden cross indicates that the short-term market has the conditions for further rebound, and the next step for bulls is to hit the middle track of the Bollinger Belt1760Nearby resistance, but the overall structure of the daily line is still in a weak position, with indicatorsMACDThe dead cross is still there, Green Energy is slightly shrinking, the daily moving average is short, and the upward pressure level is still relatively strong, so pay attention to space while bullish in the short term!

Looking at it in four hours, yesterday's gold price was1720Multiple nearby incidents*The US market has pulled up strongly and closed at a high level, indicating that the market will continue to rise today. Currently, the Bollinger Belt has moved up the track and opened its mouth for operationMA5/10The moving average gold cross supports the rise of gold prices,macdDouble track operation to maintain the upward trend of the golden cross, currently the express line has broken through0Axis, red column can operate at full capacity,KDJThe golden fork opens upwards, so Guan Ming is optimistic about further rebound today. Stay tuned below1718-1720Moving average support, further focusing on medium rail1705Nearby bullish!

　　3month10Suggestions for daily gold operations:1Radicals1718-1720Go long;2Moderator1705Going long nearby;3Moderate rebound1760Short when near!

Analysis of crude oil trend

From a daily perspective, crude oil ends with a short shadow bar on Wednesday, indicating that the oil price is belowMA10The daily moving average has gained support and the downward trend has come to an end. The daily moving average is still in a long position, but the indicatorsmacdThe high gold fork oscillation, coupled with the three track leveling of the Bollinger Belt, and the short-term bias towards oscillation, remains a concern below today10Daily moving average62.9Support, further focus on China Railway61.7Supports bullish sentiment, with upward focus on the upper track66.1Nearby resistance, further focus on high points67.9Resistance! Looking at the mid line, it is still in an upward trend. If oil prices can maintain the mid track, there is still a chance of volatility and rising in the future.

Looking at it in four hours, the oil price has reached a high point67.9After falling back below the mid track, the current four hour rebound has stopped near the lower track, and the indicator is upKDJThe golden fork opens upwards,MA5/10The moving average is dead cross, butMA5The turning of the moving average pierced upwardsMA10The moving average shows signs of forming a golden cross,MACDThe fast and slow lines are dead crossed, but the green energy begins to shrink,4There is no clear bullish direction for the development of the hour, but after yesterday's rebound, today's focus is on the medium track65.1The situation of gains and losses, if it can effectively break through the medium track, it will be further bullish, otherwise it may still fall back again!

　　3month10Recommendations for daily crude oil operations:1Radicals65.1Short selling nearby;2Stable63Going long nearby;3Stable66, and68Short selling nearby!

Author - Wang Tianbao