Li Lianying:2.25国际黄金最新行情走势分析及白银TD今日操作...

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　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Wednesday(2month24day)，国际金价冲高回落，徘徊在上日所及一周高位1816.02dollar/盎司下方附近，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔的言论提振黄金的吸引力，但投资者更关注总统拜登如何落实刺激计划。最新现货黄金快速下挫近4USD to daily low1804.56dollar/盎司，日内转跌0.06%。和上午小涨的局势不同，黄金风向已经变了，且大量空头正在聚集。其中，最核心的一点就是——昨日美联储主席再次强调维持量化宽松的态度其实是利好黄金的。但这并没有改变美元的表现和美国债券的中性走势。而且，随着收益率攀升，跟随市场走势的基金正在积极建立美国国债空头头寸。10年期美债收益率与Hedge Fund Research Inc．的Macro/CTA指数之间的30天滚动相关系数本周达到了3月份以来的最高水平。甚至机构MarketPulse表示，金价目前已在1760.00美元的斐波那契区域附近大致形成双重底部。这突出了它作为一个长期关键支撑区的重要性，现在失守这一水平几乎肯定会让黄金走向1600The low point of the US dollar.

　　不过，长期来看，随着全球债务不断刷新记录，美股随时有崩塌风险，随着通胀回升，黄金避险价值将为其冲击2200美元提供动能。瑞士信贷贵金属分析师Fahad Tariq表示，总体来说，实际利率的环境和美联储的态度对黄金是利好的，预计金价今年将继续在上行趋势中，有望涨至2200dollar/盎司水平。如果美联储真的改变其鸽派表态，那么从美联储态度来看，很难认为增加就业的优先级是高于限制通胀的。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日走势比较复杂，先扬后抑再收复，早间开盘慢涨中刷新高点至1815上方，白盘震荡之后，欧盘走弱，多次上涨、回落形成来回震荡走势，整个盘面表现出缓慢曲折，最终确认低点在1795附近，晚间美盘破底下行之后又走出探底回升格局，最终收线在1805，日线虽然收阴，但K线站稳在5，10日均线之上，因此今日可能还在连涨中走出新高；

　　技术面来看，日线大阳后紧跟小十字K修正，调整之后盘态可以看到多头相对强势，多头暂未离场，那么今日重点关注1815昨日高点，一旦有效破1815则大概率走延续上攻冲击1820-1830，目前日线中轨压力下移至1820-1821。4小时级别针对周初的反弹进行了回踩确认，回踩1795附近再次启稳，短线此位是多空临界点，要想转空需要跌破1795运行之下，反之维稳会反复去摸高延续反弹。小周期中黄金处于小时线布林中的标准震荡，均线发展平稳，今日开盘又走出一波拉升，那么回测以1795作为防守，依托1803-1800可逢低跟多，而上方首次上冲无法过去1820-1821也可以短空试探，由于可能是震荡，中间点位尽量不参与，短期的走势依旧保持反弹上涨修正！综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上李联赢建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1820-1822Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1780-1775Frontline support.

  今日白银行情分析：

SilverTD自昨日晚盘开于5745element/After kilogram, first walk low to5608元处的5日均线支撑附近，随后走势探底回升，延续至今日周三白盘，未完全收复跌势，但整体仍偏向走高。周线级别仍看好中期上行，故此日内的回撤支撑，仍可作为多单看涨的入场位置。小时线上白银TDThe technical form of a circular arc top,KThe line oscillates upwards and bears pressure aboveMA5/10Moving average,MA均线金叉向上延续，布林开口，今日时段关注反弹5785Under pressure; Focus on Bolin Middle Rail5565.5附近的支撑；指标MACD死叉势能增量，短线震荡偏震荡上涨的格局整体而言，今日白银TD依旧是震荡反弹的趋势，操作上李联赢建议回调做多为主。

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  本文由李联赢供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对crude oil、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，技术总监李联赢在线解一套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。