Li Lianying:2.22黄金、原油晚间最新行情走势分析附解一套

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Spotgold价格分析：

    消息解读：美联储突然出手！黄金商品市场大动！美联储昨日公布的数据显示，截至2month17The balance sheet size of the Federal Reserve of Japan has broken records to7.56Trillion US dollars, an increase from the previous week1152亿美元，这是美联储继续推进宽松政策的实际表现。美国财长耶伦最新表态力挺美国需要大额财政刺激。另外，上周公布的数据显示上周美国初请失业金人数达到了86.1Ten thousand people, exceeding the expected value by approximately10万人，以来最高水平，这是美国就业市场复苏放缓的最新迹象。这些都对美元形成利空，分析认为，如果美元指数有效下破90The checkpoint may be the beginning of a new round of decline in the US dollar. The decline of the US dollar has brought breathing space to the commodity market. However, in the future, we still need to be careful of the pressure of US bond yields on gold. If the US Treasury yield continues to rise due to expectations of a larger fiscal stimulus plan, bears may regain control.

　　行情解析：黄金上周开于1825.46dollar/The ounce continued to decline on Tuesday, with a sharp drop of nearly35The US dollar has fallen1790The US dollar threshold is expected to be lowered before the release of "terrorist data" on Wednesday1780The US dollar level fell briefly on Thursday1770The US dollar briefly surged after Friday's US session1790After the US dollar level fell again, it eventually closed at1784.10dollar/ounce.10The return on one-year US Treasury bonds has strengthened again, increasing the opportunity cost of holding interest free asset gold, thus making the resistance to gold's rebound even greater. US Treasury Secretary Yellen(Janet Yellen)表示，美国需要大规模的新冠救助计划来实现全面复苏，这令市场风险情绪得到有效提振，股市上涨的同时也限制了黄金的反弹。除非有重大的催化剂扭转这一趋势，否则金价可能会继续徘徊不前，而本周就需要关注的是美国大规模财政刺激计划能否顺利通过，这可能会带来一个行情的转折。

Last Friday, it fell first and then rose. After recovering from the decline, it fluctuated. The decline has temporarily come to an end and a mode of adjustment and oscillation has begun. Next week, the upper level will still pay attention1790Pressure, if unable to break through any further short positions, gold has been falling for two consecutive weeks and the decline is approaching100The US dollar, although a bearish decline, has experienced an average daily decline and has not experienced a major bearish sell-off, while gold is currently at a low level1765If the position is supported in the short term, there is a possibility of adjustment and rebound. What is the focus below gold1765-1760The support on the front line is focused on1795-1800The pressure on the front line, short-term fluctuations within this range, high selling and low buying operations, only to break through again1760-1800后我们才能顺势跟进。中长线来看，金价仍处在下跌通道中，走势偏弱。若能突破上方趋势线，则有望进一步上涨。

    技术分析：从黄金日线来看，金价在反抽MA5After falling under the pressure of the moving average, prices further hit a low point on Friday. CurrentlyMACDThe indicators are in a dead cross process, and the moving average cluster shows a bearish arrangement, with an overall weak performanceKDJWhen the indicators decline, it is necessary to be cautious of the pull back effect of indicator adjustments on prices. from4From an hourly cycle perspective, the price varies from1760The rise has broken through1789At the small high point of the market, the bearish trend has come to an end, and short-term price fluctuations are mainly more pronounced. But there is still significant resistance above1796Location, market is expected to be within1796There are multiple twists and turns in the vicinity1796破位前，不能追高。

    from1Looking at the hourly cycle, the price varies from1760Going up, after1777to1768The pullback, pulled up to1791Position, its bullish trend is supported by1772Position, just hold on1772If the position does not break, the market can start a long rise in the band and break through1796You can increase your position in the trend band and make multiple orders later. The overall trend of the market should be based on the trend of approaching long positions. When the key resistance position is above, there will also be a short-term pullback, with opportunities for both long and short positions. At the beginning of the week, let's take a look first1772Support, hold on and stay bullish long, but in the short term1786-1788You can make profits and reduce positions nearby. And pay attention to it1790-1796Short term opportunities for regional stagflation. Once the price breaks through1796If the position is higher, continue to increase the position and make multiple orders in the band, which is bullish1835以上。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1775-1770Frontline support.

  crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　消息解读：美国原油跌2.49%to59.02dollar/The barrel, for the second consecutive day of decline, has further fallen from its recent high as energy companies in Texas are preparing to resume work, following the closure of oil and gas fields in the state due to severe cold weather and power outages. US Oil Weekly closed lower1.19%, marking the largest decline in two months, ending the previous two weeks of consecutive gains. The oil prices in the first three trading days of this week were mainly affected by the shutdown of Texas oil wells and refineries, leading to a record breaking oil price13个月以来的新高。后两个交易日由于市场预计炼油厂需要一段时间才能恢复运作，导致原油供应过剩，油价连续两日下跌。未来几周沙特或将宣布提高产量，美伊关系有望进一步缓解，这都有可能给油价带来进一步拖累，投资者需密切关注。

　　技术分析：原油经过近一年的上涨，终于出现了调整的迹象，上周跳空高开后再次新高后急跌调整，这是我们此前说过的见顶迹象的一种可能！从当前的走势看，原油即便不是顶部也需要一个大的调整，原油现已经涨势周线压力位置，即便后市继续上涨，也需要相应的调整后才能再次拉升，所以我们按照先震荡的思路看一波调整，下方的支撑则是57.6-58.4区域，站稳57.6-58.4一线的情况下，原油还是维持看涨思路，但一旦破位，我们就要转空看跌，原油反弹先空，60.0-60.8区域内尝试干空，防守61.2附近，综合来看，原油操作思路上李联赢建议反弹高空为主，低多看涨为辅，上方短期重点关注60.2-60.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below58.4-57.6Frontline support.

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.