Li Lianying:2.22黄金原油今日最新行情分析操作建议附解一套

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Spotgold行情走势分析————

Last Friday（2month19日）现货黄金探底回升并小幅走高0.48%to1784.25dollar/盎司，一度触及七个月低点1760.81，但随后因美元走低而扳回跌幅，不过2021年迄今黄金已经下跌逾6%。上周金价下跌2.19%, creating1month8日当周以来的最大周线跌幅，因美债收益率持续走高使得金价承压，同时疫情的逐步缓解也进一步施压金价下跌。不过，美联储报告及纽约联储主席Williams重申为美国经济提供“强有力的支持”为金价提供支撑。另外，经济数据喜忧参半也给了金价喘息之机。分析师表示，耶伦的言论令市场更加期盼纾困计划的通过，而更大规模的刺激方案会造成更多债务，推动美元贬值，从而提振金价。我们预期下周会有更大的波动，因为数位美联储官员预计发表谈话，这会让投资者和交易者更加议论纷纷。他说，毫无疑问，黄金已经卖超了，反弹即将到来。

　　黄金从技术面看，黄金上周五先跌后涨，收复跌幅后震荡，下跌暂时告一段落，开启调整震荡模式，今日上方还是关注1790压力，如不能突破再空！黄金已经连续两周下跌，并且跌幅也已经接近100The US dollar, although a bearish decline, has experienced an average daily decline and has not experienced a major bearish sell-off, while gold is currently at a low level1765位置短线获得支撑，会有调整反弹的可能！黄金今日下方关注的是1765的支撑，日内反弹回踩此位置后直接大幅拉升，站稳此位置可以直接多，上方关注的是1790的压力，短线维持此区间内震荡，高抛低吸操作！只有再次破位1765-1800后我们才能顺势跟进。中长线来看，金价仍处在下跌通道中，走势偏弱。若能突破上方趋势线，则有望进一步上涨。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and timing of unwinding, please follow Li Lianying's official WeChat account:yy57564Will be provided in real-time.

Internationalcrude oil行情走势分析————

Last Friday（2month19US crude oil falls in Japan2.49%to59.02dollar/The barrel, for the second consecutive day of decline, has further fallen from its recent high as energy companies in Texas are preparing to resume work, following the closure of oil and gas fields in the state due to severe cold weather and power outages. US Oil Weekly closed lower1.19%, marking the largest decline in two months, ending the previous two weeks of consecutive gains. The oil prices in the first three trading days of this week were mainly affected by the shutdown of Texas oil wells and refineries, leading to a record breaking oil price13个月以来的新高。后两个交易日由于市场预计炼油厂需要一段时间才能恢复运作，导致原油供应过剩，油价连续两日下跌。未来几周沙特或将宣布提高产量，美伊关系有望进一步缓解，这都有可能给油价带来进一步拖累，投资者需密切关注。种种迹象表明，美伊关系正在发生根本性的改变，如果美国重返伊朗核协议并放松对伊朗的制裁，这可能在未来给市场带来300万—40010000 barrels/日的潜在供给增量。伊朗方面此前表态拜登上台后将在3month21日起将其原油产量增至45010000 barrels/日，出口增至23010000 barrels/日。这将极大削弱OPEC+的减产利好，对后市油价是个潜在威胁因素。

　　原油技术面来看，KDJDead fork,MACDThe red bar has shortened, oil prices have fallen from high levels, and the moving average system still maintains a bullish position. In the short term, oil prices rose and fell on Thursday, indicating that bulls may temporarily be exhausted. Coupled with the appearance of overbought signals, bears are expected to seize the opportunity to counterattack. from11month2So far, oil prices have been in a state of excitement, with a near increase30The risk of a pullback in the US dollar is gradually accumulating,2月以来多头更是火力全开，加速了油价冲顶的进程，也为后面的回调行情做了铺垫。联赢认为上方初步阻力关注5Daily moving average60.33Further attention can be paid to the pressure at various integer levels. Preliminary support below focuses on daily lows58.60Further attention2month12Daily low57.41and20Daily moving average56.73附近。中长线来看，油价上涨趋势维持良好，可以考虑回调后继续逢低做多。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注60.8-61.3Resistance, short-term focus below57.8-58.3Frontline support.

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.