2.22How to operate golden Monday? What are the operational suggestions and trends for gold and crude oil today

　　crude oilAnalysis of the latest trends at the level:

Crude oil news: Friday（2month19US crude oil falls in Japan2.49%to59.02dollar/The barrel, for the second consecutive day of decline, has further fallen from its recent high as energy companies in Texas are preparing to resume work, following the closure of oil and gas fields in the state due to severe cold weather and power outages. US Oil Weekly closed lower1.19%, marking the largest decline in two months, ending the previous two weeks of consecutive gains. The oil prices in the first three trading days of this week were mainly affected by the shutdown of Texas oil wells and refineries, leading to a record breaking oil price13A new high in the past month. In the last two trading days, due to market expectations that refineries would take some time to resume operations, there was an oversupply of crude oil, and oil prices fell for two consecutive days. In the coming weeks, Saudi Arabia may announce an increase in production, and the US Iran relationship is expected to further ease, which may further drag down oil prices. Investors need to closely monitor. The current production limit of the organization is slightly over70010000 barrels/Day, accounting for approximately7%,OPEC+Promise to restore contracts in stages this year150The production capacity of 10000 barrels depends on market conditions. Riyadh and Moscow have different views on the speed of resuming production, and Russia is usually more enthusiastic about quickly resuming production. For oil importers, there are increasing signs that the strengthening of the oil market is becoming a problem.

Technical aspects of crude oil:KDJDead fork,MACDThe red bar has shortened, oil prices have fallen from high levels, and the moving average system still maintains a bullish position. In the short term, oil prices rose and fell on Thursday, indicating that bulls may temporarily be exhausted. Coupled with the appearance of overbought signals, bears are expected to seize the opportunity to counterattack. from11month2So far, oil prices have been in a state of excitement, with a near increase30The risk of a pullback in the US dollar is gradually accumulating,2Since the beginning of the month, the bulls have been fully engaged, accelerating the process of oil price peaking and laying the foundation for the subsequent correction of the market. Investors are advised to wait and see for the time being, as long positions are expected to resist and the market may be volatile. They can wait for opportunities to enter the market at a low level in the future. Li Xiaohan believes that preliminary resistance from above should be taken into consideration5Daily moving average60.33Further attention can be paid to the pressure at various integer levels. Preliminary support below focuses on daily lows58.60Further attention2month12Daily low57.41and20Daily moving average56.73Nearby. In the medium to long term, the upward trend of oil prices remains good, and it is possible to consider continuing to buy long on dips after a pullback. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy, Li Xiaohan suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to the low and long positions, supplemented by a rebound to short positions, with attention from above61.5-62.0One line of resistance, pay attention below58.5-58.0Frontline support. Li Xiaohanlxhq281

SilvertdAnalysis of the latest trends at the level:

SilverTDNews: The recent series of data released by the US government highlights the serious impact of the epidemic on the US economy. According to data from the US Department of Commerce,2.22The real GDP of the United States shrank in3.5%, creating1946The largest annual decline since the beginning of the year. But to save the economy2.22The trillion dollar rescue plan has been deadlocked in the US Congress due to a dispute between the two parties. Yellen said,2.22The trillion dollar proposal may help the United States restore full employment within a year. Yellen said that without sufficient support, the US labor market may have to2025It takes years to recover. If a sufficiently strong stimulus package is introduced, the United States is expected to2022Restore full employment in the year, otherwise there is a risk of slowing down employment and economic recovery. Once the United States passes this high2.22Trillion dollar stimulus plan under pressure91The US dollar index below is bound to decline again;Of course, this silver is good news.

SilverTDMarket analysis: Friday(2month19day)silvertdToday's opening price report5510element/Kilogram, silvert+dThe highest price touched today5565element/Kilogram, lowest probing5403element/Kilograms, as of publication, silvertdnewspaper5469element/Kilograms, increase in price-1.16%. silvertdYesterday, the white market rose and fell, closing slightly positive. Open in the evening at5510element/After weighing kilograms, it rises again to5565The high point of the yuan encountered resistance and fell back, continuing until Friday. The trend remained under pressure, but the mid track and30The daily moving average provides strong support for it, and it is expected to rebound in the short term, but overall it still tends to decline. Pay attention to the two support points below to see the rebound, and pay attention to the opening price and short selling near yesterday's high point above. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy, Li Xiaohan suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to the low and long positions, supplemented by a rebound to short positions. Please refer to the above for more information5500element/Kilograms, and5560Near the element resistance; Follow Below5400element/Kilograms, and5330-5300element/Kilogram support. Li Xiaohanlxhq281

　　goldAnalysis of the latest trends at the level:

Golden news: The Federal Reserve suddenly takes action! The gold commodity market is in full swing! According to data released by the Federal Reserve yesterday, as of2month17The balance sheet size of the Federal Reserve of Japan has broken records to7.56Trillion US dollars, an increase from the previous week1152Billions of dollars, this is the actual performance of the Federal Reserve continuing to promote loose policies. US Treasury Secretary Yellen's latest statement supports the need for significant fiscal stimulus in the United States. In addition, data released yesterday showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States reached86.1Ten thousand people, exceeding the expected value by approximately10Ten thousand people, the highest level in four weeks, is the latest sign of a slowdown in the recovery of the US job market. All of these are bearish for the US dollar, and analysis suggests that if the US dollar index effectively breaks down90The checkpoint may be the beginning of a new round of decline in the US dollar. The decline of the US dollar has brought breathing space to the commodity market. However, in the future, we still need to be careful of the pressure of US bond yields on gold. If the US Treasury yield continues to rise due to expectations of a larger fiscal stimulus plan, bears may regain control.

Gold Price Analysis: Gold opens this week1825.46dollar/The ounce continued to decline on Tuesday, with a sharp drop of nearly35The US dollar has fallen1790The US dollar threshold is expected to be lowered before the release of "terrorist data" on Wednesday1780The US dollar level fell briefly on Thursday1770The US dollar briefly surged after Friday's US session1790After the US dollar level fell again, it eventually closed at1784.10dollar/ounce.10The return on one-year US Treasury bonds has strengthened again, increasing the opportunity cost of holding interest free asset gold, thus making the resistance to gold's rebound even greater. US Treasury Secretary Yellen(Janet Yellen)He said that the United States needs a large-scale COVID-19 rescue plan to achieve a comprehensive recovery, which effectively boosted market risk sentiment. The rise of the stock market also limited the rebound of gold. Unless there is a significant catalyst to reverse this trend, gold prices may continue to hover, and next week, attention needs to be paid to whether the large-scale US fiscal stimulus plan can pass smoothly, which may bring a turning point in the market.

Last Friday, it fell first and then rose. After recovering from the decline, it fluctuated. The decline has temporarily come to an end and a mode of adjustment and oscillation has begun. Next week, the upper level will still pay attention1790Pressure, if unable to break through any further short positions, gold has been falling for two consecutive weeks and the decline is approaching100The US dollar, although a bearish decline, has experienced an average daily decline and has not experienced a major bearish sell-off, while gold is currently at a low level1765If the position is supported in the short term, there is a possibility of adjustment and rebound. What is the focus below gold1765-1760The support on the front line is focused on1795-1800The pressure on the front line, short-term fluctuations within this range, high selling and low buying operations, only to break through again1760-1800Only then can we follow up on the situation. In the medium to long term, gold prices are still in a downward trend and the trend is weak. If it can break through the above trend line, it is expected to further rise. Overall, in terms of short-term gold trading strategy, Li Xiaohan suggests a rebound in the high altitude, with a focus on short-term attention above1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support. Li Xiaohanlxhq281

Technical analysis of gold: From the perspective of gold daily trends, gold prices are reboundingMA5After falling under the pressure of the moving average, prices further hit a low point on Friday. CurrentlyMACDThe indicators are in a dead cross process, and the moving average cluster shows a bearish arrangement, with an overall weak performanceKDJWhen the indicators decline, it is necessary to be cautious of the pull back effect of indicator adjustments on prices. from4From an hourly cycle perspective, the price varies from1760The rise has broken through1789At the small high point of the market, the bearish trend has come to an end, and short-term price fluctuations are mainly more pronounced. But there is still significant resistance above1796Location, market is expected to be within1796There are multiple twists and turns in the vicinity1796Before breaking through, one cannot chase high. from1Looking at the hourly cycle, the price varies from1760Going up, after1777to1768The pullback, pulled up to1791Position, its bullish trend is supported by1772Position, just hold on1772If the position does not break, the market can start a long rise in the band and break through1796You can increase your position in the trend band and make multiple orders later. The overall trend of the market should be based on the trend of approaching long positions. When the key resistance position is above, there will also be a short-term pullback, with opportunities for both long and short positions. At the beginning of the week, let's take a look first1772Support, hold on and stay bullish long, but in the short term1786-1788You can make profits and reduce positions nearby. And pay attention to it1790-1796Short term opportunities for regional stagflation. Once the price breaks through1796If the position is higher, continue to increase the position and make multiple orders in the band, which is bullish1835Above. In summary, gold holdings are extremely light positions1778Multiple bands, touching on Monday1778You can still go long, stop loss1772Short term touch1786-1788You can reduce your positions and leave the remaining positions in the band. Follow Above1790-1796The stagflation short-term short selling single machine meeting. Once there is a breakthrough1796Continue to increase positions and lay out more bands.

Wen, Li Xiaohanlxhq281