Wang Decheng:2.6周评，现货黄金TD黄金期货黄金下周行情分析

     周末其实不仅是休息，更是一种学习自我提升的过程，养成一种习惯在周末再分析近期一个行情、读读书。当然，也不得不感叹时间过的好快，一年也快接近尾端了。而每个周末都是一次冷静的延伸，让你休整之后更好的面对新的机遇与挑战。有些事要学会刻在沙滩上，别轻易的刻在心上，包袱重了容易拖累你奔跑的速度。写周评，其实就是阐述自己对行情走势观点，另一方面是帮助在看的各位分析行情。

　基本面利多因素：

　　1.The House of Representatives of the United States has voted to approve the revised budget plan blue book handed over by the Senate, marking the start of actual drafting on Capitol Hill next week1.9万亿美元刺激计划。届时，刺激计划只需简单多数，就可以获得国会山通过。有关财政刺激计划的进展料将利多gold和白银。

　　2.According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Friday,1Non agricultural employment opportunities increased in the month4.9Ten thousand, unexpectedly lower than expected, and last year11Month and12The monthly data has also been revised down. The weak data highlights the necessity of further fiscal stimulus measures in the United States, which will suppress the US dollar and boost gold denominated in US dollars.

　　3.Affected by weak non farm employment data and progress in the US stimulus plan, the US dollar index closed on Friday91.00, Down0.59%. The decline in the US dollar has boosted gold denominated in US dollars.

　　

  Fundamental bearish factors:

　　1.Late Friday US market, benchmark10The yield of the one-year US treasury bond bond rose to1.15%，30The yield of the one-year US treasury bond bond also rose1.95%. The rise in US bond yields has put pressure on gold.

　　2.According to data released by the US Department of Labor today, as of1month30In the current week, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States is77.9Ten thousand people, lower than what economists in the Dow Jones survey expected83Ten thousand people. As a result, the US dollar index rose strongly and the yield of US treasury bond bonds rose. Strong economic data often bullish the US dollar and bearish gold.

　　3.According to data released on Wednesday in the United States1monthADPIncrease in employed population17.4Ten thousand people, expected increase4.9Ten thousand, the previous value was corrected to decrease7.8Ten thousand people. Strong economic data often bullish the US dollar and bearish gold.

　

   Technical analysis of gold:

　 黄金，周初大跌以来昨日收涨20USD to1814附近，缩减本周跌幅，主因美国就业数据令人失望导致美元走软，疲软就业数据还支持美国出台刺激措施的前景。周五公布的数据显示，美国上月新增就业人数是预期的一半，而12月份就业数字则被下修。美元指数大跌，增加了黄金作为替代资产的需求。1月非农数据增大了美国出台新一轮抗疫纾困刺激措施的可能性，将使政府增大举债规模、导致美元走软，并提振黄金价格。从技术面看，周线图上周收出一根带下影线的中阴线，且位于布林带中轨下方，说明空头仍然强势，但多头也有明显的反弹需求；日线图昨日K线收阳，并形成刺透形态，MACD快慢线虽然死叉运行于0轴下方，但绿柱有所缩量，震荡修正结构比较明显。因此，下周总的思路先看震荡修正，可采取先回撤低多，后反弹高空的策略。重点关注下方1785reach1790Area support, above1820reach1830区域压力。

   goldTDAspect: GoldTD行情跟随现货黄金，下周短线操作上，笔者建议围绕374reach382区间采取区间操作，高空为主，低多为辅。

   goldfutures方面：沪金2016合约行情跟随现货黄金，下周短线操作上，笔者建议围绕376.5reach385区间采取区间操作，高空为主，低多为辅。

   Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。