Li Lianying:1.19黄金局部震荡最新分析策略及原油白银TDoperation...

  Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Lianying, will always be there, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)

  goldMarket trend analysis;

　　消息面分析；周一(1month18day)截至美盘提前休市，现货黄金收报1837.75dollar/Ounces, rebounding more than30美元；亚市早盘一度跌至1805.18美元，为近七周以来最低水平；因美国大规模疫情纾困的前景盖过美元走强的影响，并提振黄金作为通胀对冲资产的吸引力；李联赢表示，在这样的水平，黄金市场继续相对受到支撑，因为当前美元的涨势与避险需求的关系更大，而不是明显的转强，美国的刺激计划规模非常大，可能在1.9万亿或1.5万亿美元，无论哪个结果都对黄金利好。今年的通胀主题不容忽视。有了民主党控制白宫和国会，政府将不会止步于1.9万亿美元，这将对资产负债表造成压力。由于印钞，债券收益率开始预测通货膨胀率将上升。市场担心印钞。美联储的通货膨胀率多年来一直很低。如果我们最终达到2％的通胀率，那可能是美联储无法控制的情况之一。这将对黄金有利。

　　技术面分析；从日线来看黄金后期还是倾向于下破，目前处于整理蓄势阶段。短线可能伴随较大的反复。今日的开盘价1836，相较于区间1863-1803，相对处于中性位置，上下突破都有一定难度，短线暂时看在区间内震荡。李联赢从4小时一波快速的下探回升，使得MACD指标底部背离，短线局部进入修正，这也是昨日没有再次下破走弱的原因，一直持稳在低点上方震荡。而惯性的下探回升后形成连阳反弹。使得弱势不延续。反弹可能会再次去接近或者摸高上轨处，局部还是看在区间内拉锯，既然是震荡，且波动基数大，卡点依旧是关键。目前的位置相对中性，损位不好设置，我们还是耐心等待靠近1850-1852附近阻力去择机高空。在反弹中去高位布局空，后市波段看破1800.只是目前短线需要一定时间整理蓄势。综合分析操作上李联赢建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅；上方关注1845-1850One line of resistance, pay attention below1810-1815Frontline support.

　　---TDAnalysis of the latest gold market:

GoldtdAspect: Goldtd在周一早间跟随国际黄金下跌，低开低走测试380关口企稳反弹，最高测试385位置，日线收带长下影阴柱，在Ma5均线下方，布林向下开口，MaShort positions on the moving average,macd死叉向下，整体处于弱势格局，小时线和四小时，黄金td下探回升短线于布林中轨承压，在价格跌破388后行情整体走势震荡偏弱，重点关注386/388区域阻力压制，短线预计维持在380-386区间震荡的可能性比较，操作上可以在区间内高沽低渣。指导レ信czxi000

　　---silverTDLatest market analysis:

SilvertdAspect: Silvertd周一同样是在刷新低至5076后，下探回升，最高测试5223区域，但收盘未能站上5200上方，日线收长下影阴柱于Ma5The moving average is under pressure,Ma均线保持空头排列，macd死叉运行，说明白银整体震荡偏弱，短线重点关注5220/5240区域，依次是5300/5330阻力，日内重点关注5240/5260区域阻力也是此前的关键阻力位，下方关注5150、5100/5080支撑，依次是5020/5000Gate support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Message surface analysis; Tuesday(1month19day)亚市盘初，美原油交投于52.38dollar/桶附近，油价周一小幅下跌，因美元走强、担忧全球病例数激增以及疫苗接种进程缓慢，盖过了中国第四季经济增长数据好于预期的影响。需要提醒的是，原定于北京时间每周三凌晨公布的API原油库存系列数据，因为周一美国假期，本周延迟至北京时间周四(1month21day)before dawn05:30公布，周二（1month19Day)IEA公布月度原油市场报告。尽管美元走强，亚洲实物价格继续低于一个月前的水平，但石油futures价格保持稳定。利比亚石油产量下降提振油价在关闭一条泄漏的输油管道后，利比亚的石油产量下降了约2010000 barrels/日，这突显出该国在经历了近10年的内战后，维持石油产量是多么困难。

　　技术面分析；日线级别，KDJDead fork,KLine break5日均线，并测试10日均线支撑。若跌破10日均线，短线可能进一步回调。李联赢从中长期来看，油价看涨趋势不变，短线的下跌并不改变逢低做多的交易逻辑，反而是低位入场的机会。上方初步阻力关注5Daily moving average52.81Further attention1month13Daily high point53.93。 Preliminary support and attention below51关口，进一步支撑关注1month5Daily high point50.2and1month4Daily high point49.83。综合分析操作上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注53-53.5One line of resistance, pay attention below51-51.5Frontline support.

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  This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.