Wang Decheng:1.18摒弃纯短线交易，美盘黄金原油行情分析

    What I want to emphasize this time is a99%The fatal mistake that all investors make is to only operate in the short term. The author can confidently tell investment friends that any trader who only operates in the short term will definitely lose, and it is basically impossible to make a profit. Only by focusing on medium to long term trading and supplementing it with short-term trading can you have a profitable opportunity. Otherwise, you will find that in the end, all of your principal has become transaction feesfuturesFortunately, the first-hand handling fee is only a few tens of yuan. If you do itgoldforeign exchangeThe handling fee of 300 or over 600 yuan per day is too high for frequent short-term transactions. Investment friends who have been trading for a long time must have a deep understanding of a phenomenon, which is that earning three orders is not enough to offset the loss of one order. However, once you turn an order into a medium to long term profit of several hundred points, you will find that the profit of one medium to long term order can offset the loss of about ten short term orders. This is the flaw of pure short term trading. So I advise everyone to stay away from the kind of teacher who makes you frequently operate short-term orders every day. You must adjust your mindset and learn to gradually turn short-term orders into medium to long term orders. Futures products such as coke, coke, coal, iron ore, apple glass, etc. are now in a unilateral market, which is a good opportunity to layout the medium to long term.

   Fundamental analysis:

    现货黄金早盘开盘暴跌1800附近，随后开启反弹，暴力反抽，引发V型反转。早盘给出顺势放空操作策略，及时止损离场，避免更大损失。午盘走强，盘面已变，回落顺势干多。

　 川建国临下台之前怂恿其铁杆支持者，围攻新政府，制造麻烦，制造贸易摩擦等。美国2万多国民警卫队调至华盛顿，混乱加剧。拜登政府宫不理一份总规模高达1.9万亿美元的财政刺激计划，主要用于疫情防控、对居民、小企业、州和地方政府的援助等。这份计划没有任何新意，只有一项，那就是直升机撒钱。所以，通货膨胀在即，美政府债务违约风险增加。黄金避险情绪拉升。

   

   Technical analysis:

    现货黄金方面：黄金早盘跳水大跌1803美元，反弹重回1830美元，跌势猛，反弹快，波幅激烈，区间拉大!今早间截止到目前金价波幅空间已达30美金之多，且多方现已全部收复下跌失地，再度稳固于1820Above the US dollar.

　

　　上周尾盘金价回撤后收低，趋弱态势得以延续，加之美元走出反弹，黄金价格承压下跌，临近1800美元关口位时支撑明显，反弹后收复失地也足以彰显多方势能的强劲，因此现阶段不可盲从再追空。进一步反弹阻力位于1833reach1835美元区域，若能突破顺势再看1845Around the US dollar.

　　由于今日恰逢美国假期，市场会提前休市，在此之下较大的跌势难以再现，个人认为激烈的波幅或将留至周三周四时段呈现，因此白盘中只要价格守稳于1820美元上方，即可介入做多看高至1835美元，突破再看1845美元目标。

　

   beautifulcrude oil方面：美油价上周五盘自53高位上方承压回撤，盘中回撤触及52后最终收低，周线方面录得小阴柱，价格运行于布林上轨下方，周期均线继续保持上扬态势，短周期指标拐头下探，有待放量后的指引，周线谨慎看待空头。

　　从日线级别来看，几乎是录得光头光脚阴柱，实体部分下穿短期均线，今早间空头得以延续，然截止到目前来看下探的空间有限，其他各周期均线同样呈多方排列，短周期指标下探势能放缓，日线调整寻求基本完结。

　　52是我们上周尾盘预期给到的入场做多位，稳健期间等待51，既然当前已经给到，那么即可先行介入场，本身我们对于后市美油价走势预期就是看涨，因此不因短期的回撤就改变策略方向。

　　强势不回撤，回撤不强势!若本轮美油价上涨并未结束，那么就不能期望回撤能有多大空间，再有回撤就视为是调整。

　　调整到位，支撑有效，必会再涨突破。接下来美油价上涨还是先看53，继续企稳于53上方，那么多方进一步延涨还是要看55High position.

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。