Li Lianying:1.18现货黄金今日行情分析，原油周初操作建议解套

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  =====goods in stockgoldMarket trend analysis=====

Last Friday（1month15日）现货黄金小幅上涨，拜登公布1.9万亿美元刺激案并没能再次拖累金价下跌，而初请失业金人数的陡升和鲍威尔的鸽派表态给金价提供了部分动能。另外，IMF敦促各国继续货币大放水，全球2021年或继续加码量化宽松，这将为金价中长期上涨提供支撑。不过，投资者仍然需警惕目前市场看空情绪较浓，美债收益率仍处于2020year3月以来高位，黄金后市仍有下跌空间。日内关注美国12月核心零售销售月率，这被称为恐怖数据，数据能直接反映消费情况，对经济有重要指引作用。此次数据预计将好于预期，不过仍处于负区间，可能对黄金造成一定的拖累。

From a golden technical perspective, at the daily level,MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，黄金多头短暂的反攻势头被空头扑灭，黄金周四录得十字星，本周行情陷入横盘状态，短线多头可能继续发力，但空方依然占据优势地位，后市有望继续发力带动金价下跌。下方关注200日均线所在初步支撑1842，联赢认为若跌破200日均线，空头有望稳固自己的优势地位，进一步支撑看向76.4%Fibo retreat position1809附近。上方初步阻力关注50%Fibonacci retreat1861Further attention38.2%Retreat position1884。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注1838-1843Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1810Frontline support.

　　=====internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis=====

Last Friday(1month15day)美原油仍处于近十个月高位；油价周四小幅走高，受美元疲软和亚洲大国原油进口数据传出的利好信号提振，但对欧洲新冠感染病例飙升和疫情新一轮封锁导致全球石油需求担忧重燃令油市承压。联赢总体来看，拜登推出的万亿刺激计划和亚洲大国原油进口的增长推动油价上行，但美国就业数据的疲软反映目前美国就业市场复苏已经停滞，出现了全面下滑的趋势限制油价上涨，OPEC的减产或提振美国页岩油的产量，也对油价上涨空间受限，美国疫情的恶化显然表明经济复苏是艰难，更是拖累油价。美油受美元疲软和亚洲大国原油进口数据传出的利好信号提振，但对欧洲新冠感染病例飙升和疫情新一轮封锁导致全球石油需求担忧重燃令油市承压。另外，拜登的1.9万亿美元刺激计划也利多原油。

From the perspective of crude oil technology, daily level,MACD金叉，红柱变短，显示上涨动能减弱，KDJ金叉，但显示存在超买。均线多头排列，多头牢牢把持盘面，但短线需警惕存在回调需求。投资者不宜过度追高，不过操作时仍以逢低做多思路为主。联赢认为日内保守者可以选择观望，激进者可择机入场，上方初步压力在1month13Daily high point53.93，进一步看向2020year2month20Daily high point54.66。下方初步支撑位在1month8Daily high52.75Further attention10日均线支撑位51.68。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注53.8-54.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below52-51.5Frontline support.

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  This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.