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======Gold trend analysis======
利多消息面:1.美国当选总统拜登公布1.9A trillion dollar stimulus plan, the first part of a two-step plan; among3500Billion US dollars for local aid, in addition1600亿为疫苗和检测费用。大规模刺激计划的推出将提振黄金的需求。
3.美国最新公布的数据显示,至1month9日当周初请失业金人数录得增加96.5万人,增幅为去年3月末以来最大,预期78Ten thousand, the previous value is determined by78.7Revised to 1000078.4万。这显示出随着新冠病例的增加,劳动力市场正持续受挫。疲弱经济数据往往利空美元,利多黄金。
Gold Technology: DailyK线图来看,黄金持稳在关键支撑1820上方,但是上周金价虚假上破下行通道形成的看跌前景依然有效,后续可能延续通道内跌势,所以短期下破1820继续走低的风险较大。一旦有效跌破1820,往下初步目标将看向1760附近,继续往下可能向通道下轨(现位于1725)寻求支撑。如果短期反弹,上方初步阻力在1860,进一步阻力关注1880。4Looking at the hour line,EMA 50指标支持金价呈看空倾向。除非金价反弹突破1858,并且维持在这一水平上方,否则看空预期仍将有效,预计今日金价交投将位于支撑位1815以及阻力位1858。1Looking at the hour line,K线始终在布林中轨下方空头通道中运行,上方均线MA60andMA100压制。然而,下方1830附近支撑同样比较明显,连续两次下探,均不能跌破。所以,金价目前面临的形势是,上有阻力,下有支撑。从整体上看,金价运行,整体是空头,震荡下行。昨日暴跌,形态上已经收出了三重顶形态,看跌信号。所以,今日李潇翰操作上建议以反弹空为主。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota
欧佩克月报将2020年全球原油需求增速预期从-97710000 barrels/日调整至-97510000 barrels/日,预计2021The annual global crude oil demand is9591.010000 barrels/日,维持2021年全球原油需求增速预期为59010000 barrels/日。另外月报显示,欧佩克12Increase in monthly crude oil production2810000 barrels/Day.
原油技术面:日线来看原油从今年低点以来启动上涨,整体来看可能启动新的推动浪,目前已经向上突破50The integer level is expected to continue to push the wave structurally.4小时线,原油突破上升通道,周四回踩通道后再度拉升,多头形态结构完好。1Hour chart shows how crude oil47.18启动上涨,结构上看目前在走第五浪的延伸,短期原油5-5上升推动浪可能只是开始,短期向上调整的概率比较大。李潇翰建议53.00Long nearby, stop loss52.00Nearby, stop earning55.00附近。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota
This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!