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前言:所有交易原则的东西必须遵守且不可逾越,比如仓位管理,比如风险控制中的止损,剩下的是方式方法的问题,而方式方法因人而异,世上没有完全相同的两片树叶,同样也没有完全相同交易方法的两个人,不同的性格,不同兴趣,不同的品行都会导致方法的多样性,但对于自身而言,坚守一种方法且通过交易经验的累积不断的优化固定下来是对交易有帮助的!如果一天一种交易方法,那么想要稳定的盈利轨迹就会很难。交易之道:紧随趋势,宏观共振,不要孤注一掷,铁一般的交易纪律,欢迎交流技术、方法、心得。
Daily InternationalgoldInternationalcrude oilPaper gold, paper silver, gold silverTDComprehensive online guidance and analysis 【 Guidance WeChat:lxhq281】Suggestions for the operation of the gold and silver series, real-time consultation and interpretation of gold and silver, and early layout of short-term and medium to long-term plans.
======Gold trend analysis======
利多消息面:1.US President elect Biden announces1.9A trillion dollar stimulus plan, the first part of a two-step plan; among3500Billion US dollars for local aid, in addition1600Billion for vaccine and testing expenses. The launch of a large-scale stimulus plan will boost demand for gold.
2.Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said on Thursday that "now is not the time to discuss exiting the ultra loose monetary policy" and promised to issue a large number of notices in advance before the Fed starts discussing reducing its large-scale bond buying program. Loose monetary policy will suppress the US dollar and benefit gold.
3.The latest data released by the United States shows that1month9The number of initial jobless claims for the current week has increased96.5Ten thousand people, an increase from last year3The largest since the end of the month, expected78Ten thousand, the previous value is determined by78.7Revised to 1000078.4Wan. This shows that with the increase of COVID-19 cases, the labor market is continuing to suffer. Weak economic data often bearish on the US dollar and bullish on gold.
利空消息面:指标10The yield of one-year US treasury bond bonds is approaching10Hovering around the monthly high point, it started to rebound last week1%The above. The steady increase in long-term bond yields may ultimately weaken some interest in precious metals.
Gold Technology: DailyK线图来看,黄金持稳在关键支撑1820上方,但是上周金价虚假上破下行通道形成的看跌前景依然有效,后续可能延续通道内跌势,所以短期下破1820继续走低的风险较大。一旦有效跌破1820,往下初步目标将看向1760附近,继续往下可能向通道下轨(Currently located1725)寻求支撑。如果短期反弹,上方初步阻力在1860,进一步阻力关注1880。4Looking at the hour line,EMA 50指标支持金价呈看空倾向。除非金价反弹突破1858,并且维持在这一水平上方,否则看空预期仍将有效,预计今日金价交投将位于支撑位1815以及阻力位1858。1Looking at the hour line,K线始终在布林中轨下方空头通道中运行,上方均线MA60andMA100压制。然而,下方1830附近支撑同样比较明显,连续两次下探,均不能跌破。所以,金价目前面临的形势是,上有阻力,下有支撑。从整体上看,金价运行,整体是空头,震荡下行。昨日暴跌,形态上已经收出了三重顶形态,看跌信号。所以,今日李潇翰操作上建议以反弹空为主。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota
黄金操作策略:建议反弹1858Nearby empty orders enter, target1840-35Stop loss5dollar.
======Analysis of crude oil trend======
原油消息面:伊拉克油长表示,由于库尔德地区未履行自身的减产义务,伊拉克近期减产执行率为79%,正与欧佩克+成员国谈判,以允许推迟执行补偿减产。伊拉克油长称,预计油价将保持稳定,2021年第一季度达到约57dollar/桶,沙特自愿减产10010000 barrels/日对稳定市场有利。
欧佩克月报将2020年全球原油需求增速预期从-97710000 barrels/日调整至-97510000 barrels/Day, expected2021The annual global crude oil demand is9591.010000 barrels/日,维持2021年全球原油需求增速预期为59010000 barrels/日。另外月报显示,欧佩克12Increase in monthly crude oil production2810000 barrels/Day.
原油技术面:日线来看原油从今年低点以来启动上涨,整体来看可能启动新的推动浪,目前已经向上突破50The integer level is expected to continue to push the wave structurally.4小时线,原油突破上升通道,周四回踩通道后再度拉升,多头形态结构完好。1Hour chart shows how crude oil47.18启动上涨,结构上看目前在走第五浪的延伸,短期原油5-5上升推动浪可能只是开始,短期向上调整的概率比较大。李潇翰建议53.00Long nearby, stop loss52.00Nearby, stop earning55.00附近。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota
寄语:我们常羡慕别人的幸运,但你不知道那是别人酝酿了很久才发出的光芒,你羡慕别人的美好,却不知他们在背后付出了多少,还傻傻地将这一切归结于他们运气好,可这世上哪有什么天生的幸运,不过是以往努力的积攒,当努力到一定的程度,幸运自会与你不期而遇。
This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!
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