Li Lianying:1.12现货黄金、黄金白银TD最新分析操作策略

  Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Lianying, will always be there, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)

  　goldMarket trend analysis:

Monday（1.11日）亚洲时段，黄金维持跌势，最低跌至1816.98dollar/Ounces, for12month16日以来新低，上周五（1month8日）黄金重挫至1828.23dollar/盎司，因华盛顿权力平稳交接的前景以及美债收益率飙升至九个半月高位，重创贵金属市场，1%是长端美债收益率重要的心里关口，上周五晚间低迷的非农数据出来后长端美债收益率开始加速上行，最高突破1.1%，引发贵金属暴跌，黄金连续的下跌让黄金重回下跌通道，预计市场或将进入一段较长的低迷期，不过，美联储的宽松政策仍将让美元继续维持弱势，这为黄金提供了最重要的支撑，本周黄金预计将重回跌势，上周三根阴线轻松跌去此前一个多月涨幅的一半以上，使得黄金重回下跌通道，主要因为拜登被国会确认后，市场对美国经济的未来有乐观的预期，这使得以美元计价的黄金遭到无情抛弃，预期既已形成，短期恐难以改变，市场或将进入一段较长的低迷期，并重新接受经济数据的检验。

　　黄金上周五一度重挫逾4%，黄金最低触及1828.23美元，录得去年11月以来最差周度表现，民主党控制美国参议院增加了对大规模刺激计划的押注，指标10年期国债收益率升至3月以来最高，虽然黄金通常被视为一种对冲广泛刺激可能导致的通胀的工具，尤其是在去年，但这种情况已经发生了改变，随着债券收益率上升，持有非孽息黄金的机会成本增加，从上周走势可以看到黄金短线在1960区域形成阶段性双顶阻力，价格上周最高在触及1959一线后迎来连续性回落走低，这和11month9号那次触及1965一线后的快速走跌如出一辙，上周几乎用三个交易日跌去4周的涨幅，目前短线再度走弱，短线将进一步考验日线级别布林带下轨1800-1790区域支撑力度，日线上看，布林带三轨向下开口运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线死叉向下，KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in Bolin,MACDFast slow line0轴上方死叉下行，红色动能逐渐缩量，KDJ三线死叉向下发散，日线黄金行情偏空，4小时图上，布林带三轨大幅开口运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10Moving average dead cross downward,K线交投于布林中下轨下MA5均线上，MACDFast slow line0轴上方死叉下行，绿色动能逐渐增量，黄金短线行情回落，综合分析操作上李联赢建议反弹做空为主。上方关注1855-1860One line of resistance, pay attention below1820-1815一线支撑。手上有套单的投资者，由于笔者不知道你的进场点位及仓位风险情况等细致因素，需要解套的朋友可添加笔者李联赢（微信；yy57564），本人会根据你的点位与仓位风险情况及时给出具体的解套策略。

　　crude oil·美原油技术面解析：

Monday(1month11day)，国际油价自上个交易日创下的近十个月高位回调，跌逾1%，因欧洲严格的疫情封锁举措，以及中国石家庄市祭出新的出行限制措施，重新引发对全球燃料需求的疑虑。尽管沙特意外减产短期利好油价，但该国努力推进经济多元化，长远来看不利油市。全球疫情继续加重，且封锁范围扩大，这加深了投资者对全球燃料需求的疑虑。另外，美元从两年半低位持续反弹，也给美油带来了下行压力。不过，拜登本周将宣布数万亿美元的新冠救助方案，大部分资金将通过增加借款来获得，这抑制了油价跌势。李联赢表示，如果燃料需求仍受疫情限制，油价可能在未来数月出现回调。世界各地为遏制新冠病例激增而对旅行和其他活动实施的严格限制正在给燃料销售带来压力，削弱了2021年上半年能源需求复苏的前景。

　　原油技术面来看，原油方面，上周受沙特意外减产承诺影响，持续震荡拉升反弹，周五更是冲破趋势线压力最高在52.7，为近一年来的最高点，周线大阳线收高，日线周内形成连阳上涨，不过从日线结构上原油存在极大的超卖风险，无论是技术结构本身，行情已经超出常规的上涨通道上沿，同时指标更是早已显示超买，见顶迹象还是比较明显的，技术上的调整需求一直被积压。上周高点52.7附近及上方就已经是步入风险抛售区域，今日低开后连跌下滑，容易大幅跳水出现，那么操作上反弹高点52.7附近布局空，关注51.3最后起涨点，这里若失守，开始计划波段空，综合来看：今日原油操作思路上李联赢个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方阻力关注52.5-52.7First line, support attention from below50.8-51.0frontline.

　　TDGold market analysis:

GoldTD：金价走势上，自开于392.20元后大幅走低，今日也再度下行，刷新上周低点380Yuan to377.32element/克，不过多头在早间刷新低点后产生回升。在验证周评的再度下跌观点有效外，目前可转为看反弹行事。上方关注387.30element/克初步阻力，进一步关注389.10元以及392元关口阻力，下方关注379.30element/克初步支撑，进一步关注377as well as375.10element/K support.

　　TDAnalysis of Silver Market:

SilverTD：银价上周冲高回落，收取长上影线的看跌K线，本周开盘于5510element/After the kilogram, it dropped significantly and then returned to its original state38.2%At the same time as the retracement line supports below, it also falls below the middle track and30日均线支撑，且最低触及5019元。本周一银价再度刷新低点至5019element/千克后产生反弹，不过指标上，KDJandMACD仍整体的空头信号持强。仍未排除看空的风险。故此，点位上，反弹上方关注5245element/Kilogram resistance, and5335Yuan,5580element/千克阻力。下方关注5050element/千克初步支撑，进一步关注下轨4980element/千克附近支撑；以及4800Support near the yuan.

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Here is my current price order within the group. I usually have real-time layout of current price orders for everyone to keep up with. As a straightforward person, I won't keep accurate market trends. As long as I have accurate orders, I will use the group's current price orders to enter the market for everyone!! Everyone mainly focuses on their private real-time layout, and I don't have any reserved guidance!!! Because the big market needs to be grasped in a timely manner, if not grasped, it may result in a loss order! I believe everyone has experienced this!!!

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.