Li Lianying:1.11早间盘面走向怎么看？黄金原油最新分析操作...

  Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Lianying, will always be there, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)

  　---非农数据利多反而导致gold暴跌的背后原因：

　　黄金消息面：国际现货黄金周五(1month8day)承压重挫，从日内高位一度下跌近70美元，晚间最低触及1828dollar/盎司，虽然非农报告意外“大爆冷”，但不仅没能为黄金带来足够的避险提振，反而催生的美债收益率上行风险令黄金遭遇巨量买盘的冲击。

　　非农数据方面，美国劳工部最新公布的报告显示，美国12月非农就业报告意外爆冷：减少14万人，为去年4月以来首次录得负值；12月失业率持平于6.7%，结束此前7连降的趋势。就业人数和失业率双双表现不佳，虽然可能会在一定程度上影响市场的风险情绪，从而为黄金带来避险需求，但实际情况显示，鉴于先行数据的表现不佳，非农爆冷已在市场的预计之中，因此对于避险需求的提振效果已经后继乏力。

　　另一方面，非农爆冷反而刺激美国国会尽快推出更大财政刺激的迫切感，这样的预期就直接指向了更加快速的经济增长，期间可能会带来通胀压力，为黄金带来部分支撑，但如果通胀压力过大的话，不排除会令美联储更早开启紧缩政策。这样的结果就是利率回升，美元反弹，黄金自然就承受极大的卖盘冲击。

　　除了非农数据外，其他消息面来看，英国伦敦进入“重大事故”状态。宣布因疫情恶化，伦敦进入紧急状态。英国伦敦市长在推特上写到：今天我宣布伦敦进入紧急状态，因为我们城市已经陷入疫情危机。现在，每30个伦敦人中就有1人感染了新冠病毒，会有更多人死亡。”他还警告，如果现在不立即采取行动，英国医疗系统可能会不堪重负，更多的人将会死亡。

　　---Analysis of gold market trend:

　　李联赢认为这份非农报告意味着更大财政刺激措施的迫切感正在提升，可能导致更好的经济增长和更高的利率，这些对于黄金而言都是很大的利空。同时催生了美债收益率上行风险加剧，导致黄金遭遇巨量买盘的冲击。后续美债收益率肯定加剧，从而黄金破1900关口后，由多头趋势转化成空头趋势，李联赢后市预测：美元贬值，加上美国实际收益率的小幅下降，意味着贵金属价格在上个月飙升，为2020年的优异表现画上了完美的一笔。在2021年剩余时间里，金价将徘徊在1900美元左右，然后在2022年第一季度末跌至1875美元。一旦公债收益率开始变动，虽然变动幅度不大，但方向是正确的，这就是未来的方向。疫苗需要多长时间才能发挥作用并有望结束疫情，这是有争议的，但这一旦发生，美国的复苏将更加强劲，这将导致美元走强。短线重点关注1875一线阻力，不破即空的思路。

　　黄金跌破上涨通道之后一发不可收拾，最低1828，跌幅远超出预期，周线收长影阴线。单看目前走势，黄金再大涨上去突破1965的概率太小了，这种情况之下，上周的大阳线就有可能是单阳不连阳。后期估计要继续回落一波，周线阻力1908，也可以理解为趋势线下破回抽确认。支撑在下方的实体部分，大概1777，也可以说是最近的多空分水。1777不破还会大区间横盘，一旦有效破位，下方空间就打开了，再跌100-200美金也不出意外。日线周五收大阴，正常走势下周还有一跌，不过最近走势阴线基本没有超过三根的，所以还是要防止回调。上方阻力1865，4小时最后一跟大阴线的起跌点，触及可以空一波。4小时级别，一根大阴线下打，全部吞没早盘上行空间，收出形态看跌。1小时线级别，K线始终运行在均线MA100之下，反弹空间受到积压；30分钟级别，布林线，均线同步协调向下运行，整体走势看空。综合来看，黄金操作上李联赢个人认为黄金整体信号看跌，基本面和技术面同步协调，保持高位放空操作，上方阻力关注1855-1875First line, support attention from below1820-1800First line. Due to the fact that the author Li Lianying is not aware of the trading positions and detailed information of your positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding strategies for unwinding. For those who need to unwind, please refer to the individual (official WeChat account:yy57564)。

　　TDAnalysis of gold market trend:

GoldTD：金价周四的探底回升未对其后市增加看涨力度，并在周五再度低开，继续承压运行，仍维持在10日均线支撑上方运行，但其回落的空头信号则有所增强，暗示不排除有跌破的可能，另外周线级别金价冲高回落，再度回归中轨下方运行，也增加了其后市的看跌力度，多头需再度站稳此上方方可增加看涨空间。下方关注375.70element/克支撑，进一步关注370.80element/Ke Support, Follow Above388.30element/克阻力，进一步关注390.80element/Gram resistance.

　　TDAnalysis of silver market trend:

SilverTD：银价昨日晚间低点承压，也未延续前日探底回升的力量，银价维持承压走势，指标整体偏向利空，主图10日均线支撑对其产生支撑，但也有跌破风险，故此跟黄金一样，虽都处于这波反弹的上升通道趋势支撑中，但仍有跌破的预期。故此，上方关注5150element/Preliminary resistance in kilograms, further attention5210element/千克阻力，下方关注4950element/Preliminary support for kilograms, further attention4830element/Kilogram support.

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  本文由李联赢供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对crude oil、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，技术总监李联赢在线解一套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。