1.10黄金周评：黄金大非农利多反而暴跌的背后真相，黄金...

Preface: When making investments, reading articles is not just about analyzing the market and providing operational suggestions. The market is constantly changing, and most articles have lag and timeliness from analysis to completion. The specific operation should still be based on the real time point of the actual market. Moreover, the amount of investment funds varies, and the methods of making orders will also vary. Therefore, when reading the article, the focus should be on learning, understanding why the market needs to be analyzed in this way, and determining the operational approach. In order to integrate and learn from one's own practical operations to form one's own operating methods, no longer rely on others, have one's own trading ideas, improve one's trading sense, and achieve one's ability to trade!

Just entered the marketgoldSilvercrude oil的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做黄金、白银、原油来讲是很大的困扰，所以李潇翰欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。

　　======非农数据利多反而导致黄金暴跌的背后原因======

　　黄金消息面：国际现货黄金周五(1month8day)承压重挫，从日内高位一度下跌近70美元，晚间最低触及1828dollar/盎司，虽然非农报告意外“大爆冷”，但不仅没能为黄金带来足够的避险提振，反而催生的美债收益率上行风险令黄金遭遇巨量买盘的冲击。

　　非农数据方面，美国劳工部最新公布的报告显示，美国12月非农就业报告意外爆冷：减少14万人，为去年4月以来首次录得负值；12月失业率持平于6.7%，结束此前7连降的趋势。就业人数和失业率双双表现不佳，虽然可能会在一定程度上影响市场的风险情绪，从而为黄金带来避险需求，但实际情况显示，鉴于先行数据的表现不佳，非农爆冷已在市场的预计之中，因此对于避险需求的提振效果已经后继乏力。

　　另一方面，非农爆冷反而刺激美国国会尽快推出更大财政刺激的迫切感，这样的预期就直接指向了更加快速的经济增长，期间可能会带来通胀压力，为黄金带来部分支撑，但如果通胀压力过大的话，不排除会令美联储更早开启紧缩政策。这样的结果就是利率回升，美元反弹，黄金自然就承受极大的卖盘冲击。

　　除了非农数据外，其他消息面来看，英国伦敦进入“重大事故”状态。宣布因疫情恶化，伦敦进入紧急状态。英国伦敦市长在推特上写到：今天我宣布伦敦进入紧急状态，因为我们城市已经陷入疫情危机。现在，每30个伦敦人中就有1人感染了新冠病毒，会有更多人死亡。”他还警告，如果现在不立即采取行动，英国医疗系统可能会不堪重负，更多的人将会死亡。

　　综上所述：李潇翰认为这份非农报告意味着更大财政刺激措施的迫切感正在提升，可能导致更好的经济增长和更高的利率，这些对于黄金而言都是很大的利空。同时催生了美债收益率上行风险加剧，导致黄金遭遇巨量买盘的冲击。后续美债收益率肯定加剧，从而黄金破1900关口后，由多头趋势转化成空头趋势，李潇翰后市预测：美元贬值，加上美国实际收益率的小幅下降，意味着贵金属价格在上个月飙升，为2020年的优异表现画上了完美的一笔。在2021年剩余时间里，金价将徘徊在1900美元左右，然后在2022年第一季度末跌至1875美元。一旦公债收益率开始变动，虽然变动幅度不大，但方向是正确的，这就是未来的方向。疫苗需要多长时间才能发挥作用并有望结束疫情，这是有争议的，但这一旦发生，美国的复苏将更加强劲，这将导致美元走强。短线重点关注1875一线阻力，不破即空的思路。

　　黄金技术面：黄金跌破上涨通道之后一发不可收拾，最低1828，跌幅远超出预期，周线收长影阴线。单看目前走势，黄金再大涨上去突破1965的概率太小了，这种情况之下，上周的大阳线就有可能是单阳不连阳。后期估计要继续回落一波，周线阻力1908，也可以理解为趋势线下破回抽确认。支撑在下方的实体部分，大概1777，也可以说是最近的多空分水。1777不破还会大区间横盘，一旦有效破位，下方空间就打开了，再跌100-200美金也不出意外。日线周五收大阴，正常走势下周还有一跌，不过最近走势阴线基本没有超过三根的，所以还是要防止回调。上方阻力1865，4小时最后一跟大阴线的起跌点，触及可以空一波。4小时级别，一根大阴线下打，全部吞没早盘上行空间，收出形态看跌。1小时线级别，K线始终运行在均线MA100之下，反弹空间受到积压；30分钟级别，布林线，均线同步协调向下运行，整体走势看空。综合来看，黄金下周操作上李潇翰个人认为黄金整体信号看跌，基本面和技术面同步协调，下周保持高位放空操作，上方阻力关注1855-1875First line, support attention from below1820-1800First line. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given based on the actual market price. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the direction of the market can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtain guidance slots.

　　=====原油利好共振燃旺油市人气=====

　　原油消息面：利多因素：1，沙特自愿减产10010000 barrels/day,2，美国原油库存下降；利空因素：抗疫形势严峻，仍带来利空风险；综上所述：李潇翰认为如果燃料需求仍受疫情限制，油价可能在未来数月出现回调。世界各地为遏制新冠病例激增而对旅行和其他活动实施的严格限制正在给燃料销售带来压力，削弱了2021年上半年能源需求复苏的前景。

　　原油技术面：日线上分析来看，昨日原油继续展开上涨，盘中录得带上下影线的中阳，行情大概率或将继续上涨；4小时上看，原油持于MA5-10日均线不断上行，当前布林带处于开口期，MA均线走出双金叉后三线向上，KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线金叉向前，原油再一度再刷新高位，短期内有小幅回落需求，回撤完毕后会再次上涨；综合来看，原油下周操作思路上李潇翰个人建议回调做多为主，上方阻力关注51.6-52.3First line, support attention from below50-49.5First line. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given based on the actual market price. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the direction of the market can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtain guidance slots.

　　========== 如何正确投资黄金、白银==========

　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.

　　2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.

　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.

　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.

　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.

　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial.

　　寄语：在这个多空难测的市场上，仍然是有人赚的到钱，也有很多朋友做的不够理想，在该做空的时候，怕冲高，该做多的时候，怕回落，其实这就是人心，这就是技术，人心就是最大的技术。有时候你会知道，真正影响你的不是价格，而是心中想象的东西太过于多，李潇翰愿做你的引路人。趋势在心中，操作在指导，行情到来时，你若把握不住或不准，套单、锁单、亏损，可随时找到我，为你在迷茫的投资市场指明方向！你在我就在！你赢，我陪你君临天下；你输，我陪你东山再起！

My name is Li Xiaohan (WeChat:lxhq281），我为交易而生，如果你有什么不懂得可以随时关注我，本文由李潇翰独家撰写，投资有风，交易需谨慎。贸然入市是愚者，找对人了是智者。一条小船在海里漂流，如果你不扬帆，那么就永远在大海里漂流。目前对全球金融市场（例如国际黄金，TDGold and silver, crude oil,foreign exchangeandfutures市场）具有深入而独特的见解。每次分析都不是一种情感游戏，也不是一种情感释放。每个开仓和平仓都是专业表现。李潇翰认真写好每份分析报告，并传达了宝贵的投资思想，希望物有所值，值有所得。