CCR全自动炒币机器人：币圈中，有灰犀牛现象吗？

什么是灰犀牛呢？

「它生活于非洲草原，体型笨重、反应迟缓。人们常年看得见成群结队的犀牛在远处吃草，却从不担心它靠近并造成伤害。然而，当灰犀牛群受惊狂奔时，却是致命的杀手」，用来比喻“大概率且影响巨大的潜在危机”。这一概念，由美国作家米歇尔·渥克在《灰犀牛》一书中提出。

简单说灰犀牛现象即是一个既存的威胁，显而易见，却被视而不见。举凡金融危机、气候变迁等，都可能是最后带来重大后果或影响，进而引起蝴蝶效应的灰犀牛。一般来说，灰犀牛算是比较负面的名词。但若是基于这个想法，尤其是这种显而易见，却被视而不见，在投资中，也是获得超额利润的最好时机。

主流的经济学基于人力的理性、自利、完全信息、效用最大化等来进行基本的假设，而在行为经济学中，它将行为分析理论与经济运行规律、心理学与经济科学有机结合起来，以修正现今经济学模型中的错误或遗漏。

而行为经济学对于现代金融理论有巨大的影响，说明了人类并非理性的做出正确的判断，尤其是在金融市场中更为显著。投资者并非是完全理性的。在行为经济学家眼中，投资者卖出已有利润但股价仍在上升的股票，死抱已亏损而且股价持续下降的骰票，均为非理性行为。

因为人的不理性，让灰犀牛有了出场的机会。在以前比特币从2万美金的高点跌至6000美金且持续震荡时，市场上充满了悲观的情绪，进而选择忽略每个消息，反而错失了涨回8000美金的机会。在交易上，独立思考，是唯一的解方，我们绝大多数时间都需要耐心观察、思考。若我们驯服了灰犀牛，将会有意想不到的收获！

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