王德诚：都在疯涨，6日铁矿焦炭螺纹鸡蛋甲醇期货行情分析

      

    Iron ore main contract:

    行情分析：铁矿今日收小阳线，日内呈现震荡整理。形态上看，铁矿多头格局破坏，现阶段触底反弹。今日铁矿再次收阳，多头表现强势。均线组合开始拐头向下，趋势线不强。MACD动能柱下方收量，空头表现乏力。整体来看，铁矿超跌反弹，多头表现积极。铁矿三连阳，强势反弹走高。笔者之前预期1000就该企稳了，市场下破后快速反弹，有种洗盘见底的感觉。铁矿虽说多头形态走坏了，但并不意味着行情走空。相对于螺纹而言，笔者认为铁矿多单更为稳妥一些，更有希望冲击前高位置，甚至走出新高。也不同于煤炭等品种，现在已经走出新高，高位风险比较大。笔者认为，铁矿后市或将高位宽幅震荡，或将走出新高，转势走空的可能性比较小。铁矿低位多单可尝试参与，空单需谨慎。

　 Coke main contract:

　　行情分析：焦炭今日收中阳线，日内呈现震荡走高。形态上看，焦炭持续走高，多头形态明显，暂无明显见顶信号。今日焦炭震荡上行，再次走出新高。均线组合呈现多头排列，关注10Daily moving average support.MACD动能柱上方放量，呈现顶背离。整体来看，焦炭多头趋势明显，多头表现积极。焦炭这波拉涨也是够狠的，受消息面的刺激，持续走出历史高位，多头形态毋庸置疑。说实在的，焦炭完全没有理由参与空单，只有追不追多单的考量。笔者认为，现在焦炭来到3000整数关口处，多单可考虑先止盈观望，或者做个利润保护。朋友们应该理性投资，这么高的位置，不建议追涨，更不建议盲目摸顶。

   螺纹钢主力合约：

     行情分析：今日螺纹钢窄幅波动运行60Multiple point reporting4398一带小阳线，现货：唐山钢坯报3770，成交较差。全国主要城市螺纹钢价格续跌、成交减少，北京4050，上海4440。港口铁矿石价格小涨，焦炭月底加速去产能、焦化厂提涨100元。近期钢厂产量续降，futures回落直接拉低现货价格和成交量，库存已经降至同比低位，降速减缓，钢厂维稳挺价，贸易商随市出货。技术面上螺纹钢放量上攻行情走势形态，日线级别有望继续上涨行情走势，笔者建议螺纹钢回调4372支撑上方分批进场多单思路策略。

   Egg Main Contract:

    行情分析：今日鸡蛋窄幅横盘整理60Report at around o'clock4138一带小阳线，养殖端补栏积极性有所提高，孵化场订单量缓慢增加，种蛋利用率提高，减轻供应端压力，同时气温的下降，鸡蛋可存储时间也可适当延长，也给行情提供底部支撑。再加上，近期猪肉价格明显上涨，亦给鸡蛋行情提供利好支撑。玉米、豆粕价格高位强势运行，养殖户在饲料成本逐步递增的情况下提价意愿强烈。随着下游食品厂、农贸市场春节前备货或将逐步启动，鸡蛋市场走货加快，本周库存继续下降。但是随着鸡蛋价格涨至高位，蛋商采购较为谨慎，终端消化需要时间，预计短线鸡蛋价格或将逐步趋稳。

   甲醇主力合约：

　　甲醇高开高走盘中小幅震荡日内表现相对强势，报收小阳线。甲醇中线多头趋势未变短线小幅反弹，近期有望调整止跌重回涨势，建议短多可持有，盘中激进可尝试少量逢低建仓多单，稳健继续空仓观望。操作上甲醇短线弱势整理短多可持有，目前多空反复震荡行情，盘中激进可尝试少量逢低建仓多单，新仓多单止损放在2370附近，稳健建议继续空仓观望。

   写在文末：做交易我一直在强调理性投资，何为理性投资？笔者一直认为理性投资的第一点就是要认识到投资理财的风险性，不管你是做goldforeign exchangeTrading or futures trading carries great risks, so you must not invest too much money in playing with it. It is not easy to make money by speculating in foreign exchange or futures, especially when you don't know anything, so don't invest too much money in trading. I saw some salespeople's articles where they made a profit of several thousand dollars from selling orders today. How much will they double the funds tomorrow,I feel embarrassed when I look at it myself. A simulated transaction created by a simulated account is deceiving people. It's not like making so much money when it comes to trading. If it were to make so much money, wouldn't it be like becoming a multimillionaire long ago? Why bother writing articles here. So all investment friends must remain rational, open their eyes to distinguish between truth and falsehood, and use a small amount of funds to trade. Do not let investment affect your normal family operation, let alone be forced to increase funds and continuously lose money when the position is about to explode.

   Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。