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Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Lianying, will always be there, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)
欧洲疫情加重影响欧元汇率,利多美元间接影响gold,而英国脱欧成功消除了欧元区部分不确定性,反提振了欧元,并间接影响金市。因此从汇率的角度美元、欧元涨跌互现,而黄金亦表现高位震荡。短期来说黄金仍面临两方面不利影响,也制约着市场看涨情绪。一是美元受欧洲疫情加重影响,汇率存在被动抬升预期,对黄金形成一定压制,但美联储和政府联合宽松预期下美元仍处下降通道,投资者也在衡量金市如何对冲美元。
上周四,在零星的公司账户交易的推动下,美元兑大多数G-10货币受获利回吐的推动而上涨。今年3月,美元兑一篮子货币一度飙升至102.99的三年高位,年底美元指数报89.95,年内下跌6.78%, compared to3月高点低12.65%。周末比特币大涨超14%,市场避险情绪有所升温,投资者对疫情的扩散、2000美元支票法案的搁浅、即将到来的佐治亚州参议员选举以及本周非农就业数据均深感不安。从基本面来看,在2020年末各国继续出台宽松的货币政策以支持经济。以及尽管疫苗开始投入使用,但是各国新冠确诊病例仍在创单日新高。
国际黄金技术面,假期结束后周一(1month4日)亚洲时段,现货黄金跳空高开,金价在20Rihe50日简单移动均线上方的突破值得注意,因为这是一个看涨的趋势。黄金前一交易日收小阴线,价格受100日均线压制明显,短期均线依然多头排列,MACD黄白线保持弱势水上运行,短线下跌空间不大。金价突破8月高位以来的下行趋势线,有望进一步上涨。4小时走势一波台阶式整理上升,伴随着反复的下探回升后的突破,拉动指标向上,节奏上以震荡向上呈现,多头比较强势,今日跳空高开后,留意回踩确认突破口后能否进一步加速推动向上,短期的压力已经被消化。配合小周期的多头整理向上。短线震荡偏多,不过日线还没有形成单边,本周依旧以震荡为前,多头为后的趋势对待。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上李联赢建议回调做多为主,高位短空为辅。上方关注1948-1953一线阻力,下方短线支撑在1918-1920。
goldTD: GoldTD日线收取一根上影线长于下影线的实体阴柱,日线布林带向收口发展,MACD金叉持续放量;4小时线上布林带呈现收口状态,MACD死叉再次形成并开始放量;小时线上布林带有向下发展趋势,MACD死叉深度放量;总体而言,国际黄金受基本面利好推动,价格表现强劲。但上方中轨压力仍在产生卖盘情绪。指标上,KDJKeep the dead fork down,MACDInsufficient power suggests that there is still a risk of a pullback. Bottom support: Follow1hour5Daily moving average387.4Near Yuan,4hour5Daily moving average385.2Near Yuan,4hour10Daily moving average383Near Yuan. Upper resistance: Focus on gold prices from327.3Yuan rose to449.4element0.5Golden Section Position395.5Near Yuan, the Daily Line Bolin Belt is on track397.6元附近。综合上述操作思路如下:压力:397---400Support:387----385Today's rebound395reach397Area Empty400Loss target387reach385Area, as for the first drop in many387Multiple stop losses nearby385target398上即可。
另一方面,疫情进入2021年仍没有放缓的迹象。本周全球单日死亡人数屡创历史新高。德国、日本、韩国等多个国家在2020年最后一天新增病例都创下纪录。新冠病毒肆虐美国全境,佛罗里达和纽约州单日新增病例均达历史最高水平。加州成为继纽约州和德州后,第三个死亡人数超过2.5万人的州。弗吉尼亚州单日确诊病例也创纪录,累计死亡人数超过5000。目前市场预计美国12月份就业数据将较为疲弱,经济学家预期就业人数将增加约7Ten thousand, for4月份数据下滑以来的最低水平。李联赢认为当前的全球的抗疫封锁措施似乎仅是石油市场上的一个减速带,交易商似乎要乘着疫苗推广的浪潮把乐观情绪带到2021年。下周的OPEC+会议也迫在眉睫,俄罗斯似乎将推动增加供应,因为该组织在使布伦特crude oil价格回到每桶50美元方面取得了相对成功。
原油日线图上来看:布林带微幅朝上运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average continues to rise with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈金叉缓和向上红色动能有所放缓,KDJ三线交死叉向右运行,日图行情表现多头趋势列强,4小时图上:布林带三轨朝上运行,MA5On the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方交金叉向上红色动能小幅放量,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行,油价短线整体运行于多头趋势内。综合来看,今日原油短线操作思路上李联赢个人建议以低多为主。上方短期重点关注49.5-50.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below46.0-46.5Frontline support.
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Here is my current price order within the group. I usually have real-time layout of current price orders for everyone to keep up with. As a straightforward person, I won't keep accurate market trends. As long as I have accurate orders, I will use the group's current price orders to enter the market for everyone!! Everyone mainly focuses on their private real-time layout, and I don't have any reserved guidance!!! Because the big market needs to be grasped in a timely manner, if not grasped, it may result in a loss order! I believe everyone has experienced this!!!
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This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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