1.4黄金走势还会涨吗？黄金原油白银操作建议及空单解套

Preface: To continue in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. In this way, it can provide you with clear guidance in a volatile market, even if the profit is small, it is very easy and there is a sense of achievement; In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you are right, strive for maximum profit, but when you are wrong, you can control risks and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly adding positions to reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk.

　　============goldMarket trend analysis============

　　黄金消息面：在特朗普意外签署了这一揽子计划后，全球市场受到提振。因特朗普签署援助法案推动了对经济复苏的押注，华尔街主要stock market index周一创下历史新高，金融和能源类股上涨，避险美元则受到压制，而美元的走弱给金价提供支撑。

　　近期趋势关注：美国刺激法案的进展，市场还将将密切关注佐治亚州的决选，这场选举将决定谁将控制美国参议院，以及明年预计会推出多少刺激措施。拜登下周一将前往亚特兰大协助竞选工作。1month5日，美国佐治亚州的两个参议员席位决选，决选结果将会决定参议院的控制权归属。1month6日，美国众议院和参议院将举行联席会议，以审核和记录选举人选票。

　　鉴于最近的封锁浪潮，我们看到一些经济体出现了双底衰退。在新年伊始以及明年第一季度，忧虑情绪再度上升，可能会拖累市场利率。我们怀疑是否有足够的资金将10年期国债价格拉低至50个基点，但回落至75个基点区域是有可能的。如果这个时机与经济刺激计划同时出台，应该足以让金价再次走高。”

　　今日短线关注：芝加哥联储主席埃文斯在美国经济学会线上年会，就当前经济情况和货币政策发表讲话；亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克参与ASSA线上年会的讨论，题为“衡量新冠疫情对经济影响的新方法”。

　　黄金技术面：在月线上收出大阳线，并且吞没上个月k线实体，多头非常强势，随着刺激法案的落地，相信明年还会有更多的放水政策，黄金作为避险抗通胀的最佳品种，加之当前的黄金已经在2000点附近维持了5个月的调整，随时可以发动下一波行情！黄金日线一直企稳1880一线，多头的坚挺也是毋庸置疑的，目前自然就是继续持仓看涨，不破位1880一线，就是干多，不破不立，俗话说99度永远是温水，交易市场不是差一点的问题，而是支撑位以及阻力位切换的问题，黄金四小时k线一路上扬，布林带轨道明显向上倾斜，开口继续加大，丝毫未缩减的迹象，k线全部位于布林带中轨上方，低点不断抬高，上升通道不改,1880一线支撑坚挺，多头直奔2000，50均线向上倾斜，直接45度角上扬，一步一个台阶上，黄金行情如预期正在走1小时级别的向上震荡节奏，这个节奏预计将会持续，其后将有可能轮动为1小时级别的向下震。整体来讲，行情属于高位震荡行情，继续关注近期4小时级别的顶部构建机会。综合分析，短线先看涨，操作上李潇翰回调做多为主，后期中线波段空单布局，利润预测30个点，上方关注1905-1910Resistance, pay attention below1885-1880Support.

　　============crude oilMarket trend analysis============

　　油价消息面：特朗普在周初签署了总规模达2.3万亿美元的新冠纾困法案(9000USD100mn)and2021财政年度预算(1.4Trillion US dollars)。这一消息提振了风险市场，但随后参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔表示，拒绝就2000美元发放支票进行单独快速投票。这些都为油价带来了利好。

　　数据方面，美国两大能源机构发布的报告均显示，截至上周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存降幅超预期，库存的下降在一定程度上缓解了人们对欧佩克+将在明年开始向市场供应更多原油的担忧。另外，考虑到最近针对疫情的措施，汽油库存的下降则反映了假日中旅行有所增加，使得市场反应积极，价格小幅上涨。

　　油价技术面：原油日线来看从今年低点以来启动上涨，整体来看可能启动新的推动浪，目前在50整数关口受阻，结构上有望走调整。原油四小时级别上看，原油在12month18touch49.4水平高位后出现承压下跌走势，刚好也是原油合约转换后，油价出现了快速下跌走势，进一步表现了原油多头主力想扫掉一部分多头头寸，引起的油价回撤下行走势，向下运行了一个震荡ABC下跌走势，最低给到46.0水平位置，出现企稳，随后上涨出现加速阶段，进一步改变油价回落格局，多头开始逐步进场。1小时图看油价从49.43高点启动下跌，目前仍然处于调整阶段，从整体结构来看很可能走出5波下跌，目前很可能走小反弹结构，操作上李潇翰建议原油短线逢高做空。上方压力位于48.85and49.40The lower support is located at47.60and47.00。

　　==========李潇翰交投之道风控篇==========

　　AProfit is a product of risk rather than desire. Risk always comes first, and risk can be controlled and avoided on its own, but not avoided, because any gain in profit is a return that can only be obtained by taking on a certain level of risk. As long as the trading mindset is correct, we should take risks that should be taken calmly.Correct analysis and prediction are only the first step towards successful investment,The foundation of successful investment requires strict position management and stop loss management,Rigorous self psychological and emotional control.

　　BPsychological control first, risk management second,The importance of analytical skills is paramount, and traders must overcome excessive focus on asset equity or incorporate personal subjective needs into their trading, leading to increased greed and fear, resulting in tactical confusion,Strategic deviation ultimately leads to a complete failure of what needs to be done, and trading can only yield more when there is no desire. Doing what needs to be done is not what you want to do the most. The market is not a place for you to seek stimulation, nor is it your withdrawal machine.

　　CIn market fluctuations, there are70%About the time is volatile, only30%If the time left or right is a unilateral upward or downward trend, then accumulating small victories is the key to long-term success. Don't be too greedy in trading, enter in batches. When entering and replenishing positions, the position should be small. Although the profit is relatively small, accumulating small victories is a big victory, which can lead to long-term success.

　　寄语：在这个市场上，平静的表现下其实暗波汹涌，很多投资朋友轻易的进入，往往遍体鳞伤，散户乱闯乱冲和送钱无差别，任何时候都要相信，科学、专业的技术一定会让你走出阴霾，走向光明。我希望我能帮助更多的人，就犹如我自己对这份工作的定位是服务一样，人与人之间是相互的，信任是合作的开始。

This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!