Li Lianying:12.31Gold, crude oil, silverTD最新分析及操作策略建议

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　=====goods in stockgoldMarket trend analysis=====

Thursday(12month31day)未来几周对于黄金市场重新获得上行动力至关重要。传统上，一月份是黄金季节性需求疲软之前的最后一段狂欢时间。在过去的十年中，现货黄金有8年在一月份上涨，只有两年的一月份下跌。这与二、三月份形成鲜明对比，因为在二三月份黄金更多的是下跌。这种季节性走势变化并非没有道理，从11月中旬的排灯节，到圣诞节，再到2月中旬的农历新年，首先在印度，然后在西方，然后在第一大黄金消费国中国，黄金珠宝需求都会大增。尽管实物黄金市场很少决定价格走势，但是当金融避险需求减弱时，实物市场可以给价格带来重要的支撑。历史表明，黄金在第一季度的后半段很容易遭受严重抛售，这或许是受到了ETF抛盘的带动。

From a golden technical perspective, at the daily level,MACD金叉，整体沿11月底延伸的趋势线震荡上涨。此前两次触及1900阻力位，不过最终都回落转跌。本周五为元旦假期，预计本周交易清淡，预计在最后两个交易日金价站上1900的可能性不大，大概率仍以震荡整理为主。上方关注压力区间1900-1910，进一步关注布林带上轨压力1909and23.6%斐波水平1928, supported below1875Further support on1850。若金价跌破上行趋势线，短期加大看跌风险。突破上方阻力区间则有望进一步直接挑战2000大关。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1900-1905Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1873Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Li Lianying to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order making strategies, the entry points can be found on Li Lianying's WeChat account:yy57564Based on actual offer guidance!

　　=====internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis=====

Thursday(12month31day)During the Asian period, US crude oil fluctuated narrowly and is currently trading in48.33dollar/桶附近，原油周三上涨，受美国原油库存减少和英国批准第二款新冠疫苗的支撑，但供应同比增加带来压力。总体来看，美国上周原油库存增加、英国批准第二款新冠疫苗给油价上涨提供动力，但油价上涨或受限于美国的刺激措施在参议院受阻的可能性，油价后市走向，还需关注1month4dayOPEC会议，俄罗斯认为有必要在“不破坏市场平衡、不引发供应过剩的情况下”逐渐增加原油产量，本次会议需关注OPEC+的另一个重要成员国沙特是否会支持增产。

　　原油技术面来看，日线级别，高位震荡行情，MACD死叉，油价上方又面临50附近的强阻力，短线突破可能较小，大概率仍然震荡整理此前涨幅为主，中长线有望突破50，并向上打开进一步上升空间。上方初步压力在28Daily high point48.96，进一步在近期高位49.43. Preliminary support below12month10Daily high point47.74Further support on12month4Daily high point46.68。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李联赢建议以回调低多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注48.9-49.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below46.5-47Frontline support. The article can only provide a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and timing of the unwinding, please follow Li Lianying's official WeChat account:yy57564将实时给出

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.