Zhou Jinrui12.25黄金还会跌吗？外汇黄金行情走势预测及白银策略

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Gold News: Friday(12month24day)，在年底大假清淡的交易中，现货黄金持稳，美元继续承压，美国11月消费者支出自5月开始从病毒引发的衰退中复苏以来首次下滑，残酷的现实令市场预计，美国国会议员不能容忍川普继续给自己挑刺。英镑兑美元扩大涨幅至一周新高，因为市场等待确认英国和欧盟达成贸易协议，这提振了市场对12month31日脱欧过渡期结束后能够避免出现经济动荡的预期，并降低了市场对美元资金的避险需求。因英国脱欧协议的乐观情绪升温，英镑带动金价走高，同时市场还期待更多刺激法案的推出，这也有利于金价。不过对于英国变异病毒的担忧情绪限制了金价。因为美国平安夜，金价整体波动非常有限。
　　
　　黄金技术面：日线级别，金价再度走弱下跌，金价在80日均线阻力压制回落跌破5Rihe50均线，目前金价在10日均线附近获得短线支撑。日线指标看，MACD指标正动能柱相对较小，RSIIndicator in52位置附近徘徊。金价日线关注1855-1858Regional support.4小时级别，金价失守布林带中轨后，金价相对呈现弱势。短期均线EMA5AndEMA10形成空头向下;MACD指标由正动能柱转为负动能柱;RSI指标跌破中线50位置，目前在46位置有所走平下方。1小时级别，黄金仍处于对近期上涨的调整之中，尽管今早表现出一定反弹动能，但力度不大，不排除反弹修正后，还有进一步下探可能，只有上方突破1885一线，才有望改变短线偏弱的局面，甚至小时级别的上涨趋势还有望延续下去。然而一旦其再次走低，下方将直接面对1850一线支撑，该位置正是此轮上涨的61.8%回撤位，作为多头的最后防线，后续还想再创新高，就必须守住这一位置，否则从1820to1905的这一波上涨将会终结，并随之转为区间宽幅震荡走势。综合来看，下周黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议高空为主。上方关注1890-1895One line of resistance, pay attention below1850-1855Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr5857）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
　　TDGold market analysis:
　　
GoldTD：金价在刷新一个月高位后遇阻回落，目前维持高位震荡整理。日线均线指标金叉排列，布林带有向上开口迹象，RSIandKDJ指标金叉加速向上进入超买区域，趋势看涨，技术上短期存在回调需求。总体而言，国际黄金受基本面利好推动，价格表现强劲。但上方中轨压力仍在产生卖盘情绪。指标上，KDJKeep the dead fork down,MACDInsufficient power suggests that there is still a risk of a pullback. Bottom support: Follow1hour5Daily moving average385.4Near Yuan,4hour5Daily moving average383.2Near Yuan,4hour10Daily moving average380Near Yuan. Upper resistance: Focus on gold prices from327.3Yuan rose to449.4element0.5Golden Section Position395.5Near Yuan, the Daily Line Bolin Belt is on track397.6元附近。综合上述操作思路如下：压力：395---397Support:384----383Today's rebound395reach397Area Empty400Loss target384reach383Area, as for the first drop in many384Multiple stop losses nearby380target397上即可。
　　
　　TDAnalysis of Silver Market:
　　
SilverTDThe silver price has been fluctuating in recent days5-10-30日等短期均线范围内冲高回落，整体偏承压。根据近期KFrom the perspective of line shape and indicators,KDJThe dead fork remains downward, while the silver price still leans downwards. however4There is a risk of bottoming out and rebounding at the hourly level, and caution should be taken. Follow above in the day5420Yuan and5450element/Resistance around kilogram, breakthrough visible5550element/Kilogram, pay attention below5100element/Support around kilogram, further attention5050element/Kilograms. The overall operation concept is as follows: Pressure:5520---5550Support:5100----5050Today's rebound5420reach5450Area Empty5500Loss target5100reach5050Area, as for the first drop in many5100Multiple stop losses nearby5000target5420上即可。
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Crude oil news: Thursday(12month24day)European market, US crude oilfutures价格转跌承压48美元，受美国EIA原油、汽油和精炼油库存减少提振，出口连续第二周增加，提振了投资者对燃油需求一定程度回升的希望。而且英国和欧盟有望达成脱欧协议，也提振市场情绪。不过，美国刺激计划再次遇阻，英国又检测到了另一种病毒变异毒株，病毒疫情仍在肆虐，油价的上涨空间受到限制，油价震荡下跌的风险仍未完全排除。
　　
　　原油技术面：原油日线图上来看：布林带微幅朝上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average continues to rise with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈金叉缓和向上红色动能有所放缓，KDJ三线交死叉向右运行，日图行情表现多头趋势列强，4小时图上：布林带三轨朝上运行，MA5On the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方交金叉向上红色动能小幅放量，KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行，油价短线整体运行于多头趋势内。综合来看，下周原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以高空为主。上方短期重点关注49.0-49.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below45.5-46.0Frontline support.